Tol-in-Gaurhoth VII (The Saga goes ever on and on)

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

As was promised, here are the few solid facts we've got so far:

Dancing Spawn: accused Saurreg

Durelin: thinks there may be a Fea/Eomer team

Eomer: defended mormegil and Nilp

Fea: suspicious of TGWBS, defends Nilp and Wilwa

Kath: accuses TGWBS, defends Fea

Kitanna: defends mormegil

Lhuna: accuses Nilp, incriminates herself with howls at the moon

LMP: accuses Lhuna with help from the stars

Mormegil: accuses Saurreg

Nilp: voted for himself, unsurprisingly. Yes Wilwa, he does that often.

Oddwen: accused Nilp

Saurreg: accused Nilp

TGWBS: accused everybody. Defends his accusations of Fea/Eomer as a joke. Also defends Spawn.

Wilwa: accuses morm and TGWBS

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

Now that the facts are all together, her are some random theories floating around my head. Take them seriously only at great need, because I doubt I'm right.

Lhuna/Oddwen/Saurreg as wolves, trying to take out innocent Nilp. LMP is Seer in this scenario. Role thinly veiled with astrology talk. Perhaps morm as Seer? He does pin Saurreg for eating his own sheep.

Mormegil/Eomer/Kitanna as wolves. They all defend Mormegil.

There are several ways for wolves to act, but it boils down to two options: they are working together, or they are working apart.

In a village this size, they might assume that working together would go unnoticed amongst all of the hubbub. I'm not so sure that this is how it would go though, because any wolves would know that there are some bright young (and old, eh LMP? ) minds in this village who keep tabs on anything that seems like working together. If you make a list, you can easily see trends. So on the one hand, it seems like the wolves would know better than to defend or accuse as one.

However... there is the beautiful act of bluffing. If the wolves know how idiotic it would be to work together, than obviously the village does. If the village assumes an act of sheer stupidity as being impossible, then the wolves have a perfect opening. The trick for us, I think, is to remember that nothing is impossible. Improbable is the most likely.

Still... Day 1 is meaningless until about Day 3. After that, you see what you were utterly blind to before. Since it is not yet Day 3, we are blind.

I say that, for lack of any better ways of doing this, we lynch Lhuna for these reasons:

1. LMP pegged her with the stars (which, as he said, are "at least" as accurate as anything random we do)
2. She came in howling at the full moon. Silly theatrics? Bluff?
3. It's not like we've currently got anyone better

Conversely, I say we kill Saurreg because I can't understand half of what he says.

Or we kill Eomer, because tradition is, after all, tradition.

Obligatory lie: I'm the Seer.

[mormegil]

Here is my list of people I feel are acting most like wolves. The first list are the most suspicious and the second are suspicious but not as much as the first

1. Durelin
2. Elf-warrior
3. Encai
4. Saurreg



1. Kath
2. Dancing Spawn
3. Oddwen
4. Oromin
5. TGWBS

Not a lot to go on with the first day but this is my list and I currently defend all the others.

[Saurreg]

Me canna help but feel dat sumthings afoot 'ere. Why ol' why haf Morm, Spawn and Fea all suddenly 'ermarked me for dah gallows?

D'ish ol' coot husn't sez anything sus'pis und dah fingers 're o'relly pointed at 'im. For no good reason I reckon. Nothing being able to undahstand me aren't me fault.

Wot wrung did me dewl to deserve such ac... accu... fingers!

Prrray tell laddie und lassies cuz like they say of ol' , he who throws dah stone be'er stay clear or 'll land on 'is head. Und woodn't dat be ah sorry sight?

[Durelin]

Maybe Morm's list has something right on it. 'Tis a bit random, but aren't all our guesses?

Okay my dears, I think we need to figure some other things out before we just lynch somebody. It's important that we do that of course (and hopefully lynch a bloody werewolf), but we also need to get things started to give us the ups on the wolves. So I think it might be time to suggest who the Hunter should want to kill if he/she is killed, who the Seer should dream about, and...well, I guess it'd be hard to tell the Ranger who to guard, but we might try that too. It's all going to be hard to say, but...we need to put our heads together.

Since there's more good heads than bad heads, we should at least get something out of these...

Speaking of heads... *wanders off toward a rhododendron* Pretty pretty pretty...oop, dead *pick*...pretty pretty pretty pretty preety...dead *pick*...pretty...

[the guy who be short]

A vote? For me?! The wonderful village smith?!?!

Oddy - The Abacus is usually used to pick a person at random, but it chose dancing spawn, who I think isn't suspicious enough to lynch at the moment.

My vote shall wait a while yet. There's a lot of suspicious people about...

[Kitanna]

I'm tempted to vote for Saurreg, simply because I can't understand half of what he said. But that would be a waste of my vote because I don't find him all that suspicious.

Reading through what everyone has said I find TGWBS to be a little suspicious. Not using your abacus? I'm shocked and horrified.
I'm watching Fea too. She was a dirty liar before, there's no telling if she's a liar now...
But I don't know if I find those two so suspicious that I'll vote for them today.

I'll probably do the Estel thing and pull someone randomly.

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

Fea, I did defend Morm but that was from a mirthful remark right at the start. More telling perhaps is that I threw doubt on the merit of his plan of randomly picking a villager to lynch.

And this:

I am slightly troubled by Morm's list. Why he has, on a number of occasions, mentioned The Elf-Warrior as seeming suspicious, I cannot fathom.

As for Saurreg, he appears to be mixing some Scots into his dialogue, thus I can understand him better than all of you. I don't think he's suspicious at all. But then, I'm not sure if I'm finding anyone really suspicious at the moment.

Except maybe Fea. Honestly though, her list troubles me slightly because it does not distinguish between serious theories and clear mirth.

So Fea and Mormegil are at the top of my list, even though I reckon they're probably both innocent. I'm really sorry guys but there is so little to go on. Still, I eagerly await your defence of my feeble accusations. I think I could be easily swayed on this day.

[dancing spawn of ungoliant]

Here's my little leaky scenario.

The wolves are The Elf-warrior, wilwa and mormegil. Why, you ask. Because:
Elf-warrior defended morm in his first post and so did wilwa. After twelve minutes wilwa said that she thinks mormegil's eagerness to kill is suspicious. It was like they had suddenly remembered that they were supposed to keep it schtum.

After that mormegil suspects Elf-warrior. Elf-warrior is on second place in mormegil's list so he doesn't actually have to vote for him today. Tomorrow he can have another suspects and if Elf-warrior is a wolf, mormegil can defend himself with his suspicion list.

Wilwarin keeps repeating that she is confused (three times in a row). I think it's rather suspicious. "Oh, I couldn't be a wolf, I'm a first timer." Hmm...

The Elf-warror has posted quite many times but he doesn't really say anything. He promised to comment his suspicions and voting later... I look forward to that.


Saurreg and lmp, I don't want to see either of you dead (yet). I thought that winking smileys would tell that I wasn't entirely serious in my comments of you. Guess not.

I had to read Saurreg's last post thrice, though, before I understood it. Is "o'relly" already? Couldn't figure that one out.

[Durelin]

All suspicions are leaky...though what you say makes sense.

Though I guess at this point most anything makes sense....

At this point I'm tempted to vote for Morm simply because he's suspicious of me, for no reason as I can tell.

*Note: cross-posted with Eomer