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12-22-2012, 06:04 PM | #41 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2007
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Maybe we should look for someone saying "I'm the Cobbler wolves please don't kill me". That strikes me as the only coded message really worth sending, but I'm not really getting that from Morsul's doggerel or Boro's clickety clacking.
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12-22-2012, 06:06 PM | #42 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Nah, it's more like what an ordinary day we're having, don't you think? That's all the complicated my head and messages get.
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12-22-2012, 06:21 PM | #43 | ||
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12-22-2012, 06:23 PM | #44 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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Sally - Little Cindy Lou Who: Showed up, said next to nothing. Has been crying for Suzy all day. It would be good to see another post from her, even if it's banter.
Shasta - Jack Frost: Was delayed by making Suzy's grave arrangements. Nothing has caught his eye, and he thinks Legate is the only one who's said anything of substance. I can't blame him for thinking nothing's caught his eye when nothing much has caught mine yet either. G55 - Rudolph: Can't participate much toDay due to real life, but will vote. Wants to make a snowflake monument. Would a Christmas-hating wolf be willing to suggest that as cover for their flinty-hearted ways? Coppermirror - The Ghost of Christmas Present: Having lots of fun with banter! But also getting down to business now. Steve - Valkotukka:...Has he actually posted at all? I don't think he has. Morsul - The Grinch: Presented us with a lovely rhyme. One day he'll adore Christmas cheer, just you wait. Makes several joking comments and thinks this will be a silly game. I certainly hope it will be properly jolly. He complains that Legate was singling him out, and makes some first impression comments about four players, there not being enough to go on for the rest. Nerwen - The Sugar Plum Fairy: Shared reindeer language interpretations with us, and suggested through that that Boromir is a hooved wolf. Could be nothing but a joke. Could be an opportunistic Seer trying to hide an accusation, but probably isn't. Could be a wolf or Cobbler trying to look a little Seer-ish. Zil - Frosty: Thinks that speculation based on nothing will only harm us and those of us who are in the Christmas spirit. I am very much a Christmas Spirit, so I sympathise with his views. But even so, we must analyse things. It's the weighing up of value that we must use our Christmas cheer for. Boro - Olive the Other Reindeer: Provided an excellent opportunity for others to interpret him. Gave a list of comments on various people, which may potentially be useful to look back on when we have some hard data but right now is difficult to read. McCaber - Tiny Tim: Cannot get far on his crutches. On general principles I'm against lynching Tiny Tim after all the effort my brothers have been to in order to melt Scrooge's heart and incidentally save Tim in the process. Lommy - Paksu: Interprets Boro's reindeer-speak as an admission of Cobblerhood. This could potentially have a deeper meaning, but frankly it's beyond me right now. Naturally the same things applying to Nerwen's post apply to her. She then gives a quick list with little comments on people. It may or may not be useful later. Legate - Santa Claus: Wants people to post more than banter. Which is reasonable, although I must say that I have no intentions of dropping the banter entirely at any point of the game, since I have a fun Ghost job this time. (I mean, the role description for that one is hovering around and making vaguely ominous statements! I can't pass it up.) Legate Claus wants us to look for Cobblers and for people trying to contact them, and thinks we should look at the Boro-Nerwen-Lommy exchange. Which, again, is reasonable enough. So in summary, I really don't think we have anything of value to go on and I'm rather aghast at the prospect of picking people based either on what looks like meaningless banter or on who has failed to post much. The only thing I can think of doing right now is going entirely by gut instinct, which is a poor substitute for decent analysis. I'll try looking through things again and hope that something jumps out at me, or that there'll be further posts of interest. Ahem. My ghostly calculations say that toDay's choice will either set us upon a path to destruction, or to good cheer and hearty meals, but that the likelihood of the latter is smaller. We must be wary...wary... Edit: Cross-posted with everyone on this page and the last of the previous page. Beware, beware of cross-posting! |
12-22-2012, 06:25 PM | #45 | ||
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Personally I just find it useless to go in an endless cycle that doesn't yield anything. Suspicion/gut-feeling list to follow shortly. EDIT: xed with Cop
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12-22-2012, 06:28 PM | #46 |
Flame Imperishable
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Sorry everyone, I was out on the ice flats when- What is going on? Is that Suzy? [/IC]
Sorry, I've had limited time toDay, but now I'm here. Doesn't look like much has been said so far, but I think I'll give it a reread.
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12-22-2012, 06:30 PM | #47 |
Werewolf Psychic
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After skimming/reading again, the only thing that's really caught my eye is, as per usual, the way G55 has of appearing overly-helpful on the first day. I don't think I'll be basing a vote on it, though - I'm pretty sure she's been lynched many times for the same thing, only to be innocent.
This is a puzzler. I need to go write down my thoughts. Where, you ask? Why, in frost, on windowpanes, of course. Tis tradition.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV Last edited by Shastanis Althreduin; 12-22-2012 at 06:30 PM. Reason: X'ed with Eonwe. |
12-22-2012, 06:31 PM | #48 |
Shady She-Penguin
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Okay, my brain just isn't working and I should sleep, and besides I have Agan and Volo in my room trying to keep up a discussion...
So ++Inzil ("No, don't vote him!" says Agan. "He's nice and he looks like me!" Sorry mate, you're not playing, your comments don't count.) My reasons: I figured Zil's been busy, but he gives a very lazy impression. As if he didn't have to catch wolves and he could just afford commenting this and that, mostly in bantery tone. That's the best I have for toDay. edit: xed with Eönwë (*waves*) and Shasta
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12-22-2012, 06:33 PM | #49 | ||
Gruesome Spectre
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x/d with Shasta and Lommy
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12-22-2012, 06:35 PM | #50 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Well, glad that it seems at least a prompt to talk made something start happening.
I am getting some general ideas about people, which is good, if I am supposed to vote in the next hour or so... Sally - Who? Shasta - appears but does not say much, hope he gets back to talk more now that there are things he can respond to... G55 - I might actually find her behavior a bit suspicious, because what she did was the initial random banter just like everyone, but then at some point she started posting something that started to look like something of substance, but in fact it looked more like forced way of saying something and being "non-commited" at the same time (or ending up sort of sweeping the things she was talking about under the carpet, reverting to the fun-part with the sort of "but forgot I said anything" tone, and not trying to stir any discussion or anything, which could be of possible fear of getting herself in the middle of discussion). It just seems to me on first sight markingly different from the G55 I remember. Coppermirror - I have no personal experience with her (him? it?), but seems, well, like a "thinking" person, I am probably not going to vote it yet, at least not before I learn something more... so far, no problems though Steve - strangely absent. Morsul - actually, since I know him, I *think* you can call his behavior as trying to be active one, even if objectively, he did not contribute much. But in any case, does not strike me in any sinister manner, no. Nerwen - actually pretty much like herself... Zil - said nothing much, this far; I would actually have expected him to be more vocal. That is also somehow unusual thing. Boro - ditto. He posted more, but 99% of it was just banter. I would have expected more initiative on his part. McCaber - hmm, seems to have a slightly slow start, but then, seems to think independantly, which is a positive sign. So actually looking quite good to me for now (of course, with the little we have to base thoughts on...) Lommy - now posting, and in fact, possibly from start things which looked like attempts to post something possibly substantial... though of course, e.g. her comment about Reindeer-jingling being a Cobbler thing was a thing a Wolf-Lommy might have said too because she would have known people would have expected it from an innocent Lommy etc etc... but I don't have any really bad vibes from her style of playing otherwise. I would really appreciate seeing more of the not-too-much-active-yet people, but let's see if there's time for it (and if they appear). EDIT: x-ed with G55, Steve, Shasta, Lommy and Zil
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12-22-2012, 06:43 PM | #51 |
Blossom of Dwimordene
Join Date: Oct 2010
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Gut feeling list
Shiny red nose feeling:
Shasta Zil Dull red nose feeling: Morsul Cop Nerwen Lommy Wet and cold nose feeling: Legate Boro No feeling: Sally Steve Cabbie Now some of these gut-feelings don't exactly correspond to what my brain says, something I will get to in a moment - as soon as I reskim the thread again nd possibly make a summary. I have to say that while Lommy's vote explanation seemed lousy at first glance, I'm quite impressed with it, considering how little there is to go on from. That is probably the most reasonable thing toDay. Summary, here I come!
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12-22-2012, 06:44 PM | #52 |
Laconic Loreman
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I protest this characterization. First post yes. The rest though...not banter at all. I suppose compared to your posts it is 99% banter, but that must make posts from others indefinitely banter?
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12-22-2012, 06:52 PM | #53 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Such behavior wouldn't seem strange to me in the case of, say, sally, but in yours, it does.
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12-22-2012, 07:00 PM | #54 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Yeah, where has sally been? She hasn't said anything about needing to be absent toDay.
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12-22-2012, 07:03 PM | #55 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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People I'm currently considering voting for:
G55 the Reindeer. Well. I wasn't entirely joking when I suggested that we examined the "Christmas cheer" statements from people. I wondered above whether a Christmas-hating wolf would suggest a snow monument for Suzy Snowflake, and actually, reflecting on that, I think one might. Yes, I know this is super flimsy reasoning. Right now I'm not getting any feelings of "G55 is innocent" from her comments. Inzil the Snowman. I feel uneasy about Inzil's comments, but I can't put my finger on why, and don't want to make a mistake. He suggested that analysing things too much at this point could be damaging, which is true, especially for the Boro-Nerwen-Lommy thing he was talking about. But we have to analyse based on what we have in front of us, or not at all, so there's no choice. Maybe it was his suggestion that it would harm the Christmas spirit that's bothering me. I'll give a list of suspicions. It's very flimsy and based on gut feelings, and my gut feelings aren't usually accurate, but it's better to put something on the table. The more people who do this, the better the information everyone will have toMorrow. I suggest that most of us should do this. Not at all suspicious of: Nobody except myself. Not particularly worried about at present (but will examine further before voting): Boro the Reindeer Morsul Tim Lommy Paksu Feeling vaguely uneasy about: Shasta Frost Nerwen the Fairy Legate Claus Feeling quite uneasy about: G55 the Reindeer Inzil the Snowman Extremely suspicious of: Nobody, unfortunately. Nothing much to judge by yet: Sally Who Eonwe Valkotukka Edit: cross-posted with G55, Boro, Legate, McCaber. Last edited by Coppermirror; 12-22-2012 at 07:08 PM. |
12-22-2012, 07:08 PM | #56 |
Gruesome Spectre
Join Date: Dec 2000
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Actually, I have to agree. Lommy's been rather innocentish, and for a Day 1 vote it's not bad, considering she's right. I have been in a rather bantery mode, though it's partly from not being home a great deal toDay and just checking in whenever. There's one or two others that might seem to fit the same bill though.
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12-22-2012, 07:10 PM | #57 | ||
Laconic Loreman
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You're tied in votes with the person below you on the list (In this case, Legate, you're at the bottom, so instead it would be sally). I have the last vote, what would you say to me (based on what's taken place so far today) to convince me not to vote for you, and instead to lynch sally? (Anyone else who wants to apply this hypothetical, feel free...Lommy you're tied with Legate, I have the last vote...why should I vote to lynch Legate and not you?...etc)
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12-22-2012, 07:11 PM | #58 |
Laconic Loreman
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And crap...forgot Lommy voted...
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12-22-2012, 07:17 PM | #59 | |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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So for me, that means that I'd be tied on votes with Eonwe. I would say that you shouldn't vote for me because I'm actively participating, and Eonwe, for whatever reason, hasn't said much yet. But Boro, why don't you try this too? That means that you need to look at the hypothetical situation of why people shouldn't vote for you in the event of a tie between you and McCaber. I'd like to hear it. |
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12-22-2012, 07:22 PM | #60 | ||||
Wisest of the Noldor
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EDIT:X'd with Coppermirror.
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12-22-2012, 07:32 PM | #61 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Anyway, as for your list, well! That's actually not a bad idea for Day 1. Even though it has gaps (for instance, like you said, my place would be to say why not me but sally - then obviously I would say "she hasn't been around at all", which pretty much is an undisputable argument), it's a nice one. It'd have been even better if you had posted something like that half a Day ago and not two hours before DL (or how much exactly it is)... though it is true that it might give some good info even in the upcoming few hours, and also feedback for future Days to look back at... Anyway, now I should say, that however I appreciate Boro's effort, I must say something strikes me as false in that whole behavior (up to the "I forgot that Lommy voted" - for some reason, that struck me as false, I don't know why, but it just seems that way). Partially also I agree with Copper, why don't you also play this game, even though you have removed yourself (rather illogically) from the list (if it's meant to be for everyone, there is no need for making a "subjective" list if everyone is supposed to try it anyway). EDIT: x-ed with Nerwen
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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12-22-2012, 07:32 PM | #62 | |||||||||
Blossom of Dwimordene
Join Date: Oct 2010
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The first discussion-worthy thing:
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Legate urges people to post opinions and looks for Cobblers and people who reply to Cobbler comments. Morsul's reaction to everything and especially Legate's comment: Quote:
Now as I'm reading I see that whenever people say "Christmas spirit" I get confused if they are being IC or if they mean RL Xmas preparations. Quote:
Cop's suspicion list. Semi-IC. No real suspicions. Her own summary: Quote:
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Cop, while IC is quite fine, can you please separate it from your serious content? IC is fun, but not when I can't figure out if you're serious. OK, I see people have posted since (#55 onwards), but it took me a real long time with lots of interruptions to finish this. I'll comment on the next posts separately.
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12-22-2012, 07:35 PM | #63 | |
Shade of Carn Dűm
Join Date: Jul 2012
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Edit: cross-posted with Legate and G55. |
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12-22-2012, 07:36 PM | #64 |
Gruesome Spectre
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Heaven's doorstep
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Right, to go on with Boro's idea, why should someone vote Boro over me? Hm. Honestly, I've got nothing. He's been quite a bit more active, with substantial posts. I can't really come up with anything, except that I'm not evil. I'm sure that's a great help.
x/d with Coppermirror
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12-22-2012, 07:39 PM | #65 | ||
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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EDIT: x-ed since my last, and soon to vote, ugh, the clock!
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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12-22-2012, 07:42 PM | #66 | |
Laconic Loreman
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McCaber admittedly withholds a lot of what he's thinking...either to my great benefit or flaw, I don't. I'm an unfiltered blabberer, but it also lets everyone know where I stand and how I go about conducting business/voting. If I'm a wolfy, it's going to be known within 2 or 3 days, guaranteed. McCaber can never get a grasp on, rather unpredictable, but it also means he's very good at slipping through forgotten, an ideal "wolf under the radar" candidate.
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12-22-2012, 07:43 PM | #67 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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How long have we got until the deadline?
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12-22-2012, 07:44 PM | #68 |
Laconic Loreman
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2 hours and 15 minutes.
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12-22-2012, 07:53 PM | #69 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Well, I had just asked Lommy to tell me why I should vote for you instead of her if the vote was tied. But then realized she likely would not be answering that today since she voted...ergo I forgot she had.
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12-22-2012, 07:55 PM | #70 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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Okay...
In that case, I'm planning to vote for Inzil unless something comes up before deadline. The reason I'm not planning on voting for the other person I suspect right now, G55, is because I like her gut feeling list of suspicions and think it might be from the thought process of an innocent. She's also posted with further analysis. Although the bit where she's said I have "no real suspicions" while...actually pretty much true, does skim over the fact that she was at joint first place in my suspicions, flimsy as those suspicions are. Goodness, that all sounds so negative and lacking in Christmas cheer! I should go and listen to some carols. Edit: cross-posted with Boro. |
12-22-2012, 08:02 PM | #71 | ||
Gruesome Spectre
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12-22-2012, 08:08 PM | #72 |
Blossom of Dwimordene
Join Date: Oct 2010
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Why Cop and not me? Good question. Huh.
Interesting effects too. Should I be pointing out my innocence or her (hypothetical) guilt? The only issue I have with Cop is that she mixed her IC into her posts in such a way that I can't grasp her degree of seriousness. If she is a wolf, she could be easily hiding behind some of those comments. When you can't tell if she's serious about something, she could say "I said it first, here it is!" or "I never meant it, it was just a joke!" depending on the outcome. However this case may be, I have already asked Cop to please distinguish between the two and I pray she does in the future, and I am not crying wolf based on this, or at least solely this. I am more interested in voting either Legate or Boro. Probably Legate. He rubs me the wrong way. It's not a strong "whoa! something's wrong!" vibe, it's more of a just weird anxious feeling. And it's stronger with Legate than with Boro. EDIT: xed with Cop and Zil
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You passed from under darkened dome, you enter now the secret land. - Take me to Finrod's fabled home!... ~ Finrod: The Rock Opera |
12-22-2012, 08:17 PM | #73 | ||
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
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I really have to go to sleep, though. Okay, people have been behaving really really weirdly here toDay, but to decide, ++Boro whose acting is just on top of my suspicions now. It's still only Day 1, but he's been really strangely noncommited at first and somewhat shifty now. Good night... EDIT: x-ed since Cop
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12-22-2012, 08:25 PM | #74 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
Join Date: Jul 2012
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++Inzil
I'll be interested to see how other people vote after this. The current tally: Inzil - 2 votes (Thinlomien, Coppermirror) Boro - 1 vote (Legate) Last edited by Coppermirror; 12-22-2012 at 08:36 PM. Reason: highlighting vote |
12-22-2012, 08:30 PM | #75 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Right now I'm probably going to vote sally, but I'm willing to give her another hour or so to show up. Silence is most assuredly not golden here, but will just get you a lump of coal in your stocking.
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12-22-2012, 08:31 PM | #76 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
Join Date: Jul 2012
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One more thing - I've really got to note that the lack of posting from several people makes this Day really, really difficult. It would be extremely easy for a wolf or even two to be hiding amongst those people. I ended up not voting for quiet players this time, to give them a chance, but if I'm still around toMorrow, I'll definitely be looking at those people as more suspicious than I did toDay.
Edit: cross-posted with McCaber. |
12-22-2012, 08:32 PM | #77 |
Laconic Loreman
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A reminded votes should be highlighted not bold.
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12-22-2012, 08:34 PM | #78 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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Assuming it's okay to edit for this purpose, I'll go back and edit my vote so it's in red.
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12-22-2012, 08:36 PM | #79 |
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Ok, my thoughts so far:
Sally - Well, she's said about as much as I have until now. Which is not good. Especially because she's potentially been around since then and hasn't said anything. Shasta - Said very little. But he has a list coming, so I'll wait for that. G55 - Seems to be trying to bring in some real talk as well as banter. Looks good so far. Seems to only have suspicion by gut-feeling so far, though. Coppermirror - Seems to be mostly totally in-character banter so far. I don't like the first paragraph of this post. It seems like just posting something for the sake of it. The list seems slightly better, but the points against G55 and Zil seem pretty weak. Morsul - Seems like normal Morsul so far. I'm inclined to believe innocent. Nerwen - Well, she only has one post so far, so I'm not sure what to make of her. Zil - I don't know. Something about him doesn't sit right with me. He's definitely far more banterous than usual, but that's not what makes me uneasy. I'll need to look at him in more detail. Boro - Pretty funny so far, but he hasn't given much. So far it looks like he's tried to do a phantom (i.e. force a discussion that he wants) twice, which I don't like out of principle. Of course, that suggest innocence or guilt, but he doesn't feel like the innocent Boro I'm used to. McCaber - Unless he's serious with his first sentence here (and I don't like that post because it seems full of false substance), this is the serious game talk he's had. It could be something that either side would suggest, but I'm going to need to address that later. Lommy - I'm not really keen on her first list because it mixes banter and seriousness too much. Could be an easy way for a wolf to make a light non-committal accusation to go back to later when it becomes useful. And in her second list, she does indeed refer to what she previously said about G55. She then says it's 85% jokey, which makes it seem worse, because now she has license to go back to it probably one more time. Her vote seems ok, though. Legate - Asks the moddess useful questions, but of course, this doesn't speak for his innocence or guilt, since the answers benefit every role. I was going to say that this makes him least likely to be a cobbler, but then I realised that this would probably be a really good early-game tactic for a cobbler. People I'd rather not for just yet: Legate Morsul G55 People I need to see more of before I begin to make any sort of judgement: Shasta Sally Nerwen edit: x-ed with Nerwen's #60
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12-22-2012, 08:36 PM | #80 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Legate's been making a history of voting early for me...frankly, I think I've just become an easy target for him when he hasn't got much of an idea/hold on anyone else playing...as annoying as it can be, I'll forgive the behavior today.
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