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08-26-2008, 09:12 AM | #441 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
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Well, depressing really, but I'm in a good mood otherwise, so I can't be depressed, so that's why the "almost" was in there... Besides, I guess I have to admit this is almost amusing because this is going so disastrously... I mean, often it feels like the village was just full of cobblers.
edit: xed with Nog
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08-26-2008, 09:12 AM | #442 | |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
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08-26-2008, 09:14 AM | #443 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Exactly. Our numbers are still good what comes to the victory-conditions but if we lynch an innocent and lose one during the Night with no assassination then toMorrow there will be four votes wishing us make the wrong decisions and only four to counter that. And two of those ill-wishers will know each other.
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08-26-2008, 09:16 AM | #444 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
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Phantom even says he suspected Form "for two days". As we all know, Phantom loves to assume that the gifted do what he suggests. So when Form didn't die the first night via Cobbler-Assassin, he was a perfect scapegoat for Phantom-wolf to try and save Fea, even if it did look forced.
...That made so much more sense in the shower... Maybe I'm just illiterate of a morning. Ugh. I've rethought and decided Phantom might be a wolf, and not just a cobbler. ++ Phantom Must dash. Probably won't be around again today. If I am, it'll be for about five minutes snagged on a library computer.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
08-26-2008, 09:50 AM | #445 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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A throw into the discussion...
Brinn seems to be very considerate and she plays smoothly but there is something I'm pretty worried about in her fluency. If she and tp were the wolves it would explain a lot - like her encounters / speculation about him in #192 and #193. (Yes I had almost forgotten how bad tp looks on Day2... must be his good explanations on Day3 which I have not yet reached.) Btw. I need to take a break as I haven't yet eaten anything today but I will be continuing my slow process of working through this whole thread (I'm on post #201 right now).
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08-26-2008, 09:59 AM | #446 | ||||
Beloved Shadow
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Nog- as far as your points about non-voters, I'd say that I agree that WWs always like to vote. However they could purposefully not vote in order to be dismissed. And seeing as the leading vote-getters Day 1 and Day 3 have been proven to be non-WWs, there was really no need for them to vote. Just something to keep in mind.
Shasta- I'm thinking Cobbler rather than WW. He'd be much more careful if he was a WW. He made arguments that made little sense early in the day, and when I smacked them down forcefully he didn't even respond. And now he shows up and makes another gem of a post which is once again faulty at best, if not actually full of evil intent. Quote:
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08-26-2008, 10:00 AM | #447 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
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Quote:
edit: xed with Nog and tp
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08-26-2008, 10:06 AM | #448 | ||
Beloved Shadow
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08-26-2008, 10:28 AM | #449 | |||
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
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I'm just better at causing mayhem than actually being insightful.
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I'd like to think we can use the knowledge that Form was indeed a cobbler to our advantage. I'd also like to think that knowing that the wolves did not think Mith was a cobbler is helpful in some way, but probably not (you could argue from that that the wolves actually did think that only a innocent would put forward the Kitanna lynching idea). Can how a person treated Form tell us anything? I think I want to look at Nerwen more closely, because her last couple posts where all she does is warn us against frivolous votes and says that things are depressing really bother me. I don't get it. And I can see her having fun with something like that. Looking over her posts, she mostly seems to respond to people, acting sometimes as a mediator, explaining to people what others have said about them if they are confused/'upset' by it. (I've seen her do that outside WW, but I don't think that means anything.) At least she's done it a couple times. And what else...she dropped a little bomb about how she actually was thinking Lalaith might be the seer on Day 1. Interesting. There's really not much. Her votes have been for Kitanna (she seemed neutral-ish about the Kitanna lynch, didn't really think it was a great idea but didn't really fight it, didn't want to vote Gwath) and Lommy. Her reason for voting Lommy: Quote:
Then she says this about Mith: Quote:
Anyway, surely Mac-mod wouldn't let Nogrod and Nerwen be wolves together again without me! Hmm, I guess I have time to look at someone else...woohoo... Edit: Aw darn, was mixing up games. My stupid joke is even more stupid.^^ Last edited by Durelin; 08-26-2008 at 10:32 AM. |
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08-26-2008, 10:48 AM | #450 |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
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Kath really hasn't said much...really. Usually she has a very small post count, but also usually there is more to her posts. Yes, she's said she's playing a new style and she has seemed to be quite busy. Anyway, I do agree with what she said on Day 2 about not underestimating cobblers. I think to many people have done that, including myself.
She was the first to vote for Lommy on Day 2. She was followed by Mith and then Nerwen. I don't know what Lommy is and of course that was when we lynched our seer. Nerwen's vote just feels like it's positioned strangely most likely because it followed a cobbler's and ooh, bandwagon! As if it isn't a bandwagon even that gets a wolf lynched. So back to Nogrod for a moment, mwahaha! He suspects me because I suspect him, but he doesn't suspect Lommy because she suspects both of us, and he says he always suspects Kath and she always suspects him except that neither of them have done much suspecting of each other at all, except mentioning that they always suspect each other. I think the only reason Nogrod was wishy-washy on his suspicion of me was because he was wondering if I was a cobbler... I want to look at Brinniel and Greenie, but I just don't have time...yes, I picked Nerwen and Kath because they have been quiet-ish so there's less to go through...I had a very early class and soon I must leave to go to class for the next 3 hours so... Anyway, I'm not going to worry about being completely wrong as I usually am and go with someone who the majority seems to think they might vote for like I did with Fea (of course at this point I have no idea who the majority might vote for...really it may be me), and just vote. ++Nogrod Surprised? |
08-26-2008, 11:28 AM | #451 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Durelin, I'm quite pleased that you think my posts usually contain anything helpful. Generally I get condemned for merely analysing. I am playing a different style and it is far more fun. Clearly not very accurate though as I was totally wrong on Fea. However, given that, I still think our main suspects must lie in the last minute flurry of voting that ended up with her death. That's not to say though that they must be those who voted for her. I think it's likely, but there were others there.
Now, you can probably see where I'm going with this and that's back to phantom. I see I have an ally here in Shasta, but I wish I didn't because his arguments and reasoning are just bizarre. phantom wanted to save Fea, hardly a surprise. To save Fea he voted Form, again not a surprise as he's insisted Form is a cobbler for some time. I don't understand what Shasta has taken from this. What I take from it is that phantom played a very nice double blind and is a wolf. Apart from all that Nog is firmly on my radar now. Going back over the voting I found that quote in which he basically says 'tell me who to vote for' and also, in saying he might be willing to lynch Fea, made a bandwagon more likely. I'm not sure though whether he'd be wolf or cobbler. That's what I'm thinking right now. I may have to vote a little early and if I do it will be for one of those two.
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08-26-2008, 11:56 AM | #452 | |
Beloved Shadow
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But, Kath, I think you can agree though that I certainly would not have killed Mith-Cobbler. Especially with her helping me the way she was.
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08-26-2008, 12:07 PM | #453 | ||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Ahh Dury! You manage to surprise me Day after Day!
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I'll try to go back to my mammouth-scale read-through. Let's see if I'm able to learn anything from there.
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08-26-2008, 12:08 PM | #454 | ||
Leaf-clad Lady
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Here at last. It's nice to see people actually debating (especially as I don't do it myself...)
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This whole Nog-Dury -affair looks very weird and I definitely want to think on it a little more. On the other hand, I'm pretty angry at myself that I only think of those two now when I actually should think about who's a wolf and who isn't, and I find it very probable that at least one of the wolves is keeping a low profile. YesterDay's voting was bad, honestly. I can't dismiss the thought that a majority of the votes given yesterDay could have been baddies' votes and that really is something I don't want repeated. Back with a look on the remaining villagers... EDIT: x-ed with Noggins
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08-26-2008, 12:10 PM | #455 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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I'd say this is the strongest possible argument in favour of tp being innocent. Not because she helped him - the "help" might have even annoyed him indeed were he a wolf - but I just don't think he would have killed Mith during the Night. And that goes for the very same reason he wanted to save Fea whatever her role was - which he couldn't have known in any case.
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08-26-2008, 12:25 PM | #456 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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The villagers.
Shasta - I still don't have a read on him. His theories do seem quite far-fetched but I don't know whether it's to be read as wolvery or cobblery or innocence. Eönwë - I think he might well be an under-the-radar wolf. Then again, I can't be sure of him since I remember very little of what he has said. I should have a look at him and will if I have the time. Nerwen - I still categorise her as innocentish because she seems as much. Kath - The consensus seems to be that she's a cobbler. I think she isn't. I think the cobbler assassin might have checked her the night people expected him/her to take Form. Or am I mixing the days up? I'm really too lazy and tired to check... Dury - Feels innocent, though not as much as before. She might be a cobbler, but I don't think she is a wolf. Brinn - Under my reindeer, my first impression is a vague "she usually makes sense". Should have a look on her, though.. Nog - He could be anything. No idea. Greenie - Me!! (Woo hoo.) I'm no wolf. Nor a cobbler, for that matter. Definitely not. the phantom - YesterDay I was pretty sure he was just a bored innocent. ToDay I have the feeling that he might well be a wolf... Lommy - I never suspect her. Never. My gut says once again that she is innocent but maybe I should check her. Gah. Too lazy. So who, then, could be the wolves? Eönwë and phantom? Or maybe cuddly little Lommy? Brinn? Nog? Shasta? I'm too confused. Don't know... EDIT: x-ed with Noggins again! Hooray!
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08-26-2008, 12:26 PM | #457 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
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Or it could be Shasta coming down from the Gifted-high he had last game back to regularlarly-scheduled ordo-ness.
Snagged a library computer. What I'm saying, Phantom, is that your vote yesterday for Form was almost as if you knew you couldn't save Fea and were just going through the motions for effect. And you do too like to assume, via the gifteds. What was that just the other day? "I assume Gwath dreamt of Mith and Groin, so let's all go with that"? Edit: X'd with Nog and Greenie... Nog reminds me that a lot of my play this game is based off people, not roles, which is why I may seem "far-fetched".
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
08-26-2008, 12:33 PM | #458 | ||
Beloved Shadow
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My "assumption" was more or less statement of revealed fact. Your reasoning continues to be perplexingly off, Shasta. You're pretty much screaming "I'm a Cobbler" at this point.
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08-26-2008, 12:43 PM | #459 |
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You know, when I first read that, I read "Just a reindeer". Must be all this subsitution of "radar" for the above mentioned creature of the North.
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08-26-2008, 12:50 PM | #460 | ||
Leaf-clad Lady
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So, we have a bit less than one and a half hours to go, and I am very lost. I felt much more on trace yesterDay. There are of course plenty of things I should look at if I had the energy.
I think this debate between Shasta and phantom is really quite silly - Shasta throws weird points against tp who retaliates by stating that Shasta is not reasoning well and is therefore a cobbler. Quote:
I can understand Shasta's annoyance with phantom's manner but I think he (Shasta) is taking it a bit too far.. And phantom isn't making it any better with that "those who disagree with me do so because they are stupid" -attitude. EDIT: x-ed with Eönwë
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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08-26-2008, 12:56 PM | #461 | ||
Leaf-clad Lady
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I'll have to think for a while now of who to vote. No analysis from me toDay after all - too tired and too lazy. Back with a vote and (hopefully) some clearer thoughts. I'll really really try to find more time and energy for werewolf toMorrow if I'm still alive.
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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08-26-2008, 01:02 PM | #462 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Alright, I need to vote now.
++NOGROD I was determined that it was to be phantom but he just has to go and make a reasonable point. I'm going to look at that Mith thing very, very carefully.
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08-26-2008, 01:04 PM | #463 |
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Greenie has got a point. The phantom/Shasta is quite odd. Both based on assumptions which the other plainly disagrees with and argues back with even more assumptions. Wel, obviously some of each person's points made sense and were backed up, but some were just things to throw at the other.
Now, I'm not saying that one of them is a wolf, but there is a chance that one may be a cobbler (But you never know with tp). Anyway, of the two, phantom does raise better points, but still, he is assuming too much. edit: x-ed with Kath
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08-26-2008, 01:05 PM | #464 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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I've re-read everything but toDay looking at the few people I have had very little to say this far (+ re-reading Dury once again).
From that I learned that Nerwen and Shasta look pretty good. But a few reservations should be made. Like someone already said, Nerwen isn't too open with her suspicions and her votes may be little "out of the sun" with little or no backing. It could be a good wolf-policy to look like "lady-reason" in what comes to general matters or pointing problems in other's arguments but being careful not to reveal one's own intentions. Shasta has been very good and innocent looking & feeling up to toDay. ToDay I find his reasoning and the fervour with which he tries to engage with tp quite odd. Even if I have to say tp hasn't been too good either with his kind of over-reacting and some minor flips he has made (like the one concerning Mith who "helped" him as a reason not to kill her were he a wolf etc...). Greenie looks possibly the most innocent of those I read again. Although her strict sticking to voting Gwath in Days 1 and 2 could be a methodical wolf-cover and voting Form yesterDay was an easy vote as well. Perfect wolf-covers then. But I wouldn't vote her, at least now, because otherwise she looks sharp and innocentish. The rest in a few minutes (need to think about them a little before saying anything).
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08-26-2008, 01:06 PM | #465 | |||
Beloved Shadow
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Thank you. That is exactly the point of my retaliations- making it clear to everyone how fishy Shasta is being. I'm glad that we agree on that. Quote:
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And you're disagreeing with me, stupid!
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08-26-2008, 01:07 PM | #466 |
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Ok, let's see the votes so far (not many, but still):
Shasta: tp Dury: Nog Kath: Nog (2)
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08-26-2008, 01:08 PM | #467 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Ahh, Kath. So now everything is in the normal order...
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08-26-2008, 01:12 PM | #468 | |||
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
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I said I would share some of my earlier thoughts on Durelin, so I will:
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Later...her vote for Fea. Durelin voted her first which at first glance may make her seem less guilty, but Fea was already talked about as a candidate...she just seemed to be very much an opportunist there. Quote:
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And then her attacks on Nogrod after he attacks her...what to think about that? Would a Durelin-wolf so strongly go after an innocent Nogrod? (And the same thing could be said vice versa.) Is it really that possible that both could be wolves? On a Day that either one could be lynched...I just don't know. Maybe Durelin isn't a wolf, but just a cobbler. Either way, I don't think her intentions are good.
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08-26-2008, 01:15 PM | #469 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
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I'm back here... and for a change, I'm not too sure who to vote.
I could vote Nog or Durelin. (Although I'm not too happy with the Nog-wagon as it stands. It looks too much like a bandwagon.) I could vote Kath too. I'm pretty confident at least one of them is evil in at least some way. Nogrod feels most wolvish and most innocent. Kath and Durelin feel pretty cobbleirsh, Durelin more so of the two. But it's difficult... aaargh. edit: xed with Brinny
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08-26-2008, 01:29 PM | #470 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Argh, I really think we shouldn't concentrate on Dury and Nog too much... Oh I realised I must vote soon and still have no idea. Somehow Brinn's latest seems a bit wolvish to me. Can't say why...
I'll vote soon. Really. EDIT: x-ed with no one? Honestly, where is everyone?
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08-26-2008, 01:30 PM | #471 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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The "Nog bandwagon" consists of votes of one cobbler and one wolf - or then two cobblers. I'm getting a bad feeling about that being the case.
Well, the good news is that idf I'm right and the four manage to get me lynched (with possible help of some innocents) you know then what to do toMorrow / the c-a the next Night. But really, Kath posts first like tp is her main suspect but she then votes for me. Secondly her playing style would fit a cobbler-role more than nicely. Let's keep others guessing until they have to "waste" a lynch on her when critical moments come. Well played - and that's what I expect from Kath anyhow. Dury I'm more and more uneasy with.
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08-26-2008, 01:30 PM | #472 |
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
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Who should I vote for toDay?
Candidates: Durelin- still seems like a wolf or cobbler to me, but which? Thinlómien- While I don't find her overly suspicious, she has been slipping under my radar which worries me. Nogrod- I always feel inclined to trust him since he's so helpful and that's bad for me to do. I wonder if perhaps his suggestion to vote Fea yesterDay was actually something sinister...and I still don't know what to think about him and Durelin going at each other. the phantom- He remains such a big mystery to me...and because of that I'm constantly worried about him. I don't think there's a huge chance of me voting him toDay, but he's definitely someone I still want to really watch. Not: Kath- Is either an innocent or cobbler. But I don't think a wolf. Shastanis Althreduin- While some of his reasoning is off, it looks more like the reasoning of an innocent. Maybe it's more of a gut feeling than anything...but I don't think he's evil. Nerwen- I'm less certain about her, but she seems less suspicious toDay so I don't have any reason to vote her. A Little Green- I found her suspicious at first, but these last couple Days she's been looking more and more innocent. Eönwë- I still think he's innocent. His behaviour seems innocentish. EDIT: X-ed with Nogrod
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08-26-2008, 01:31 PM | #473 | |
Beloved Shadow
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As far as voting, I'm feeling a bit better about Kath today, so I'm not as anxious to lynch her.
Shasta would probably be my first preference. I do worry that some of it is personal, but the fact remains that his comments have been rather baffling, which makes me think of a Cobbler. As far as the Nog versus Durelin battle that has been brewing, I really don't know what to do. Nog I feel is the most likely to be innocent. If guilty I'd say he's a WW rather than a Cobbler. I'm slightly more suspicious of Durelin than I am of Nog, but if she's not evil I feel her as being the more likely of the two to be gifted. Remember when I said this yesterday- Quote:
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08-26-2008, 01:40 PM | #474 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Oh yes, I know I'm grasping at straws now. But there's little else to grasp at...
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08-26-2008, 01:44 PM | #475 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Gah, I want to go to sleep.
++ Shasta After all, I decided to go after the under-the-radar person I feel most uncomfortable with. Let's hope for the best. Good night!
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
08-26-2008, 01:45 PM | #476 | |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
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Got out of class early...
Well, you don't have to worry, phantom, I am not the assassin, though I wish I was. It's been too long since I've been just a plain old ordo, so I am out of practice with this lost feeling... Anyway. Quote:
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08-26-2008, 01:47 PM | #477 | ||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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I think our cobblers (and/or wolves) are doing a nice work here. Suddenly everyone seems to think there is a Battle... and if Dury happens to be innocent - which I'm not easily believing - the better performance from the baddies. But yes, at this moment I'm both ready and willing to check out Dury or to rid us from the cobbler-Kath. And btw. tp funny you should feel better about Kath the instant she lifts you off the hook... I mean if Dury is not a wolf (or a cobbler) I'd really suggest we (you) go on checking Mr. phantom for good. And even if I kind of tend to trust Brinn her posts #192 and #193 are quite interesting - not forgetting that she had started already on Day1 underlining that tp is no wolf but could be a cobbler to be sure. Ahh, you see, fear of death makes your tongue sing... Quote:
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08-26-2008, 01:49 PM | #478 |
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15 minutes left and I still have no idea who to vote...
edit: make that 10.
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08-26-2008, 01:50 PM | #479 | |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
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08-26-2008, 01:51 PM | #480 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
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Sounds familiar... although, I have some idea. Like three candidates. But I have hard time deciding which on to vote... Nogrod is really confusing me with this last-minute frenzy of his...
edit: xed with Durelin who makes a fair point about Nog
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