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Old 06-08-2015, 09:20 AM   #1
Nerwen
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You know what would be hilarious? If Rikae and Legate were both Seer-impersonating wolves who managed to fool their rivals a little too well.

Anyway, from what I can work out, we should be looking for the remaining wolves amongst the following people:

Formendacil
McCaber
mormegil
Nilpaurion Felagund
Mithalwen
Kath




This is assuming Boro and Sally are telling the truth, of course, but there's good reason to think so.

Edit: x'd with Lommy.
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Old 06-08-2015, 09:33 AM   #2
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Shield

Well... things appear to be going well.

There's a bunch of people I've been overlooking recently, and most of them are pretty suspicious. I still have uneasy feelings toward Form and, though I'm not sure this has ever happened, I'm even starting to feel bad about Nilp! Sorry cuz!

Nerwen and Boro and Sally, hmm.

Shasta and Lommy are not setting off any alarm bells. That's very weird for me, normally I enjoy their deaths immensely () so I'm not sure if I'm being hoodwinked or not.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:22 AM   #3
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Boots Vote analysis, for what it's worth.

Well, I wouldn't mind being lynched. I'm sure you all know that.

In fact, I'll help you along by giving you something I found in my rudimentary analysis of the votes.

('Known' innocents in italics, 'known' baddies in underline. Other than that, no time to make it look fancy. Apologies to the fans of my formatting skills.)

DAY 1

Nilp -> Nilp
Rune -> Form
morm -> Mac
Lalaith -> Legate
Kath -> Form 2
Aganzir -> Lommy
Lommy -> Aganzir
Legate -> Greenie
Nogrod -> Agan 2
Form -> Form 3
Mith -> Agan 3
McCaber -> Agan 4
Firefoot -> Gwath
Boro -> Nog
Rikae -> Lommy 2
Mac -> Agan 5
TP -> Nog 2
Lottie -> Nog 3
Eomer -> Nog 4
Shasta -> Nog 5
Sally -> Nog 6

With the knowledge of Agan's role, the Nogawagon people weren't trying to save a Wolf (one of my indicators for Wolvish voting activity, and the more useful indicator in this game). It sure would be nice to know Noggie's role, though.

DAY 2

Lottie -> morm
Nerwen -> Mac
Greenie -> Aganzir
Lalaith -> Agan 2
Lommy -> Agan 3
Legate -> Greenie
McCaber -> Agan
morm -> Mac
Agan -> Greenie 2
Mac -> Agan 4
Firefoot -> Mac 3
Nilp -> Agan 5
Mith -> Rikae
Rikae -> Greenie 3
Eomer -> Agan 6
Boro -> Agan 7
Shasta -> Lottie

I, Nilp, put Agan in a firm lead ahead of Greenie and (more importantly) Mac. So I guess I'd see why you'd say you think Mac and I are Packmates.

What was that? You said nothing of the sort? And what do you mean, have I forgotten the fifth amendment?

(Also, for what it's worth, this is twice that Eomer's been among the last voters for a lethal bandwaggon. Well, thrice, counting...)

DAY 3

Everyone -> Lottie
Lottie -> Firefoot

Yeah, not much to see there.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:34 AM   #4
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Boots

Well, that wasn't helpful. And my opinion of y'all hasn't changed (so far) since yesterDAY. Which means I'm most suspicious of cousin Eomer, then McCaber, but they're not so much suspicions of evil as ill-defined feelings of untrustworthiness.

...So yep, I'm still the best lynch victim available toDAY.

Anyway, I'm going to bed. Would someone mind putting the details in the Dead extra vote communication thing? I have the list of probable scries here.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:39 AM   #5
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Having been a lover in the previous Mandos game, if it's at all like the first one Kuru will mention someone being resurrected in the narration. Since he hasn't, I think it's fair to assume that both Lovers and the Ranger are still alive (provided, of course, that neither Firefoot nor Lalaith is a Lover or Ranger as they haven't had a chance to resurrect yet.)
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Old 06-11-2015, 11:59 PM   #6
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Silmaril I can feel morm's banhammer hovering over my account.

I'm on-topic, I swear! *pleads to the sky*

Probably the previous DAYs' votings might be more useful now.

(Known innocents in italics, known baddies in underline. Other than that, no time to make it look fancy. Again, apologies to the fans of my formatting skills--whoever you are.)

DAY 1

Nilp -> Nilp
Rune -> Form
morm -> Mac
Lalaith -> Legate
Kath -> Form 2
Aganzir -> Lommy
Lommy -> Aganzir
Legate -> Greenie
Nogrod -> Agan 2
Form -> Form 3
Mith -> Agan 3
McCaber -> Agan 4
Firefoot -> Gwath
Boro -> Nog
Rikae -> Lommy 2
Mac -> Agan 5
TP -> Nog 2
Lottie -> Nog 3
Eomer -> Nog 4
Shasta -> Nog 5
Sally -> Nog 6

Formendawolf put himself temporarily in the lead, with four unknown yet to vote. Both living unknown (Mith and McCaber) put Agan in the lead before the Nogawagon steamed ahead.

Also, if Kath is a Wolf, I think Form is not one of her Packmates.

DAY 2

Lottie -> morm
Nerwen -> Mac
Greenie -> Aganzir
Lalaith -> Agan 2
Lommy -> Agan 3
Legate -> Greenie
McCaber -> Agan 4
morm -> Mac
Agan -> Greenie 2
Mac -> Agan 5
Firefoot -> Mac 3
Nilp -> Agan 6
Mith -> Rikae
Rikae -> Greenie 3
Eomer -> Agan 7
Boro -> Agan 8
Shasta -> Lottie

McCaber joined the bandwAgan (*ducks tomatoes*) while Mum cast a jesting (?) vote for unknown Rikae.

Btw, Mac and Lottie confessed to being Packmates, and morm is looking like someone from the opposing Pack. Evidence from DAY 4 (see below) also seems to point to Tweedlemorm and TweedleForm (TM Aganzir) not being Packmates, which means Mac/Lottie/Form are the members of the Grip Pack, leaving morm/Lalaith/unknown as the opposing Fang Pack.

DAY 3

Everyone -> Lottie
Lottie -> Firefoot

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

DAY 4

Kath -> Form
Lommy -> McCaber
Eomer -> Nilp 1
Shasta -> Nilp 2
Nilp -> Nilp 3 (If these were chess moves, double exclamation marks would be here.)
Form -> morm
Boro -> Form 2
morm -> Nilp 4
Sally -> Nilp 5 (I will cherish you forever. <3)
Nerwen -> Nilp 6

This is where the Tweedlemorm/Form duelling dynamic came to fore. Also, this is twice that Kath voted for Formendawolf. Also also, I didn't get to ask Lommy where she got 'kawaii' from (Legate said it wasn't him.)

DAY 5

Kath -> morm
Lommy -> morm 2
Eomer -> morm 3
morm -> Kath
Shasta -> morm 4
Sally -> morm 5
McCaber -> Form
Boro -> morm 6
Form -> Form 2

Kath voted for mormwolf this time, and my mother cast no vote (did she even post?) Anyway, how clear was the writing on the wall for morm? I am dense and wondering if a Packmate-on-Packmate vote could've been planned the NIGHT before.

CONCLUSION

My mum is starting to look somewhat suspicious (sorry! ) and Kath has either gained Shasta-like psychic powers (voting for Wolves all the time) or has another source of special knowledge (wink, wink). McCaber looks squeaky clean and Boro is cute and fuzzy.
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Last edited by Nilpaurion Felagund; 06-12-2015 at 12:10 AM. Reason: Put numbers in the DAY 5 vote.
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Old 06-12-2015, 12:08 AM   #7
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Pipe

Mummie has indeed posted yesterDAY (even quoted some of her statements on the Dead thread as proof of kinship.) I am a very bad boy and should be punished.

But she didn't voted yesterDAY nor the DAY before.
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Old 06-12-2015, 12:23 AM   #8
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1420! Realisation:

I just realised that, in my second gif, I'm the one holding the fan for the hitter. Which clearly means I am best girl.

Will be off to do various holiday activities (mainly swimming to avoid the 40-degree weather), so I might be away for a while. </EndTriplePost>
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Old 06-12-2015, 12:26 AM   #9
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Nice work, Nilp.

Now then, we know that one of Mith, Kath, and McCaber is a wolf. With McCaber having aided and abetted Sally yesterday and Mith seeming almost disinterested, I personally agree with Nilp that Kath is probably our best option today (if not Boro. ) That's likely where I'll be voting.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV
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Old 06-12-2015, 12:28 AM   #10
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Also, Nilp, you left Phanty McPhanterson off your big ol' list. I'm assuming he was innocent, but I can hear the screams from the dead thread that he wasn't given his due attention.

(Sorry, phantom, I had to do it once this game!)
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV
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Old 06-08-2015, 09:39 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nerwen View Post
You know what would be hilarious? If Rikae and Legate were both Seer-impersonating wolves who managed to fool their rivals a little too well.

Anyway, from what I can work out, we should be looking for the remaining wolves amongst the following people:

Formendacil
McCaber
mormegil
Nilpaurion Felagund
Mithalwen
Kath




This is assuming Boro and Sally are telling the truth, of course, but there's good reason to think so.

Edit: x'd with Lommy.
Any reason you are leaving off Lommy, Eomer, and Shashta? Both Eomer and Shashta are some of my suspects and I don't overlook Lommy.
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Old 06-08-2015, 09:56 AM   #12
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I was already leaning toward Morm being innocent after the Loslote interactions earlier in the game. He needs to re-assess his priorities, though.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:00 AM   #13
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Shield

Another thought about the Lovers: we will not be informed when/if one returns from the Dead, correct? So the one that returns will not need to post in the thread but can instead just relay all info to the living Lover via PM.

This might be unlikely but it might also be happening right now.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:11 AM   #14
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Another thought about the Lovers: we will not be informed when/if one returns from the Dead, correct? So the one that returns will not need to post in the thread but can instead just relay all info to the living Lover via PM.

This might be unlikely but it might also be happening right now.
Not sure, I had understood the returned lover could indeed post that one day but I may misunderstand the role.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:19 AM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Eomer of the Rohirrim View Post
Well... things appear to be going well.

There's a bunch of people I've been overlooking recently, and most of them are pretty suspicious. I still have uneasy feelings toward Form and, though I'm not sure this has ever happened, I'm even starting to feel bad about Nilp! Sorry cuz!

Nerwen and Boro and Sally, hmm.

Shasta and Lommy are not setting off any alarm bells. That's very weird for me, normally I enjoy their deaths immensely () so I'm not sure if I'm being hoodwinked or not.
I think he means that they can post but not obliged too and could be merely passing on information via the lover who never died. Since we are honour bound not to examine the dead thread and its post cound we wouldn't notice an absence there.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:00 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mormegil View Post
Any reason you are leaving off Lommy, Eomer, and Shashta? Both Eomer and Shashta are some of my suspects and I don't overlook Lommy.
Of course. They're cute. Lommy is a dear little penguin, Eomer is a fluffy-widdle puppy warg, and sure you don't expect me to lynch my king?
I would have left Nilp off, too, save for his sorely-deluded views on koalas.

...Er, I mean, no, I can't tell you. The riddle-message I was sent indicates a certain course of action, but that's as much as I say just now.

Edit:x'd with Eomer.
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Old 06-08-2015, 10:50 AM   #17
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Of course. They're cute. Lommy is a dear little penguin, Eomer is a fluffy-widdle puppy warg, and sure you don't expect me to lynch my king?
I would have left Nilp off, too, save for his sorely-deluded views on koalas.

...Er, I mean, no, I can't tell you. The riddle-message I was sent indicates a certain course of action, but that's as much as I say just now.

Edit:x'd with Eomer.
Also I must say I'm having a lot of fun with the mental image of Eomer as a "fluffy-widdle puppy warg". Spot on, she who rules the waves.
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Old 06-08-2015, 11:04 AM   #18
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Also I must say I'm having a lot of fun with the mental image of Eomer as a "fluffy-widdle puppy warg". Spot on, she who rules the waves.
Why, thank you, O Monarch of the Watery Deep.
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Old 06-08-2015, 11:12 AM   #19
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Did I mention it looks as though tp was indeed innocent?
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Old 06-08-2015, 11:30 AM   #20
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Now I may have some more to add later. For now, though, in case I can't get online again, I'll just say that the Ranger had better not waste a protection on me. Among other things I don't think I'll be getting any more pms anyway and we've got (effectively) a whole bunch of known innocents now.
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Old 06-08-2015, 05:56 PM   #21
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Also, I just caught Boro's reveal post. That's certainly interesting. Anyone else care to reveal any secrets while we're here?
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Old 06-08-2015, 06:07 PM   #22
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Here's a wacky notion. We recall the way Lottie jumped at Morm when he jumped at me for my thoughts on Rune. It occurred to me as I was reading through some of her posts that she might have been setting up for some solid wolf-on-wolf with that exchange. I don't have time to properly cite posts and such, alas, but I've seen Lottie pull some conniving moves, and the way she defended me and began suspecting Morm seems rather wolfy to me. That combined with my own general uneasiness with Morm this game makes him pretty high on my suspect list.

Speaking of which, I'll make that in a moment.


x'd since my last
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