![]() |
" Is it nice, my preciousss? Is it juicy? Is it scrumtiously crunchable?" Gollum |
![]() |
Visit The *EVEN NEWER* Barrow-Downs Photo Page |
![]() |
#561 | |||
Wisest of the Noldor
|
Quote:
Quote:
Nogrod– which of us tried to turn the vote away from a wolf on Day One? Which of us led a successful campaign to lynch an innocent on Day Two? Like I said, why do you think you got dreamed? Quote:
![]()
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#562 | ||||
Laconic Loreman
|
Quote:
Quote:
![]() Quote:
It would be a big risk, but that doesn't make it careless or stupid. That makes it risky, and dangerous, but high risk can bring high reward. Everyone thought I had just insured village victory by saying I was the ranger, when no one was suspecting me, and I the last wolf to fend for herself. I crunched the numbers, and it was a calculated risk, it paid off. It could have easily blown up in my face and the village would have been right in thinking what the heck was I doing? But it ended blowing up in your face didn't it? ![]() Anyway, just because a wolf gets caught taking a risk, doesn't make him/her careless. It was a bold play and the wolf got caught. I bet you if McCaber, went to the end, as the last wolf you wouldn't all be calling it a careless play, you would be babbling on about how bold and clever it was. But, I think he's been caught, and since he was caught that obviously makes him a careless wolf then, right? ![]() Quote:
McCaber, ok then, you got a good record, so let's hear some more thoughts on who you think is a wolf.
__________________
Fenris Penguin
Last edited by Boromir88; 09-20-2008 at 07:19 AM. |
||||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#563 |
La Belle Dame sans Merci
|
Actually, didn't Nilp imply that his goal wasn't necessarily to find wolves but to stockpile innocents? I took that to mean that he'd been picking under the reindeer types who wouldn't do anything that would get them easily killed. Ie: Nogrod got dreamed because he wasn't being particularly threatening.
Though I might be totally off.
__________________
peace
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#564 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
|
Boro–
Re: McCaber. Yes, his behaviour could be consistent with furriness– and yes, the circumstances are such that he could still conceivably win as a lone wolf– but once you've said that, you've said everything. I mean saying he's "been caught" is a hell of a stretch. Quote:
In fact, Nilp dreamed a nice cross section of the village: Brinniel –under fire from Day One. Nogrod –suspicious behaviour on Day One. Rikae –behaved oddly on Day One, then slipped under the radar. Shasta –brawled with you and Boro. EDIT: fixed bolding.
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#565 | |||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
![]() ![]() ![]() |
A look at Isabellkya
Day1 #47 makes some semi-serious comments on Rikae and Fea. #82 thinks it's possible Shasta voted Boro out of revenge. Says it would be nice to catch a wolf on Day1, "but I don't think it HAS TO HAPPEN". Sympathizes with Brinn but doesn't think I had evil intentions when going after her. "It doesn't have to happen" combined with "It happened!" is a little strange. #103 ponders Shasta a little and then says Quote:
Day2 #160 explains her vote with Quote:
#194 will look at Nogrod and Boro because of buddybuddy-ness and a "few things Nogrod said". She says she wants to look at Sally for the point Boro brought up earlier. #204 detailed analysis of Nogrod and Sally. Concludes she will keep an eye on Nogrod. No clear conclusion on Sally. This one looks actually pretty genuine. #225 good observation about Lalwende #233 votes Nogrod Day3 #281 wonders why Brinn was killed because she expected another trail-less kill. Gives a vote tally without comments. #283 questions Lal #316 accuses Boro of copying his arguments #320 defends her accusation and herself #349 explains herself to Boro about her points about the relation between Boro and Nogrod #359 contemplates Lal's cobblerdom (part of that is pondering her giftedness, which raises my eyebrow) says she will vote Nogrod or Sally #377 votes Nogrod A bit defensive this day. Day4 #449 makes good points against Nogrod #476 after Nilp revealed, she thinks McCaber and I are innocent, Boro, Lal, and Fea could be cobblers, Nerwen and Mith she's undecided about. No wolf suspects there! Other than that, the list almost scarily coincides with my own suspicions. #489 had a closer look at Mith and didn't find anything too alarming #498 votes Fea because everyone else looks innocent, cobblerish, or should be left to Nilp Now, at first glance this looks all rather innocent, and it probably is, but I could also see this scenario: Izzy is very consistent about Nogrod and Sally. Now Sally was dead and Nogrod innocent. As a wolf, you usually have to make fake cases against some innocents, but you'd like to minimize their number in order to minimize retaliation. Did Izzywolf choose Nogrod to be her perpetual scapegoat? And then, after he's innocent, she's a bit lost and can't get herself to make a new fake case against an innocent, simply because what everyone else does is just so darn innocent (in the wolf's eye (I at least always feel that way as a wolf))? ToDay #532 defends her vote to Boro #544 says she will look at Mith, Nerwen, and Fea. This statement about Boro is quite fishy: Quote:
Well, well, a clear-cut wolf suspect surely looks different. There are a few things that look fishy, and under the magnifying glass (and given the surrounding statements), her Day1 vote doesn't look perfectly innocent anymore. She suspects Sally but doesn't vote for her. This could indicate that CoD's death was not intended and she'd like to keep Sally around, but at the same time can't overlook the suspicious things Sally did. PS: this is definitely the last long analysis I will do in this game. Even for a more quiet player it's starting to become seriously toilsome. ![]() |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#566 | |||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Oops!
Quote:
![]() Quote:
Talking about streching, I must agree with Nerwen that McCaber hasn't been quite caught yet - even if I agree he looks suspicious as well and his posting toDay hasn't helped his position in my eyes. Quote:
Nerwen had somewhat openly suspected Lalwendë of cobblery but said she wished to go for a wolf rather than cobbler. I can see the point behind that - but also a wolf (if she thought Lal was indeed the cobbler which wouldn't be too far-fetched) would have loved to let the cobbler live. Why then not vote for me or Mith to save Sally? She had made a few ligt suspicions on us both the earlier Day because of us suspecting Gwath for reasons she didn't think were good - or Mith being a possible WoW -voter. Now one thing comes to mind - if she is a wolf that is - as the main reason for Sally to get into the mess she was in in the first place was her "saving vote" for CoD on Day1. Now Nerwen would surely like to avoid that kind of attention and not the least if she were going to be the last wolf standing, and voting for me or Mith might have raised some eyebrows if and when Sally got lynched one Day and were revealed the wolf she was. In that case voting Boro was a safe bet for her - looks consistent and not like saving Sally. I have in mind an innocent Nerwen scenario as well but I think she should produce it herself... ![]() Interstingly Nerwen has basically nothing to say of Sally even if she was on everyone's mouth and ascted pretty suspicipusly indeed. Only on Day2 she notifies her strange manouvres with CoD but even that post ends up in a way whitewashing Sally. After that there is no mention of Sally in her posts (at least I didn't find one). *Confused* ![]()
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#567 | ||
La Belle Dame sans Merci
|
Quote:
Quote:
__________________
peace
|
||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#568 | ||
Wisest of the Noldor
|
Quote:
And once again, I did not "whitewash" Sally. I mentioned her behaviour as suspicious, but also thought it fair to include the extenuating circumstances. Rikae– known innocent– had exactly the same qualms. Here she is at #158: Quote:
If I've seemed rather detached from the game, it's because I've had a huge amount of work on this week– I wouldn't have joined in if I'd realized how much. Now, sure, by taking things I've said out of context, you can make a lovely case against me. It happens to be wrong. Get over it, please.
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#569 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
I am here and also befuddled. I am going to try and read through and see which combo looks most probable. Laters.
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#570 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Quote:
But then again, do you have any other ideas? Who's the wolf if you're not? That would help us indeed... and are you innocent I'd figure you would try to help in the search. Well, the same goes to McCaber as well. I haven't seen too many openings from him either this Day. I understand - and have experience of it for a bit too many times ![]() Why did I say that? It's too late to set any traps tp/Eomer -way so I'd just wish to see your contributions to who do you two think is the last wolf and why. At the moment I feel I'm going to vote either McCaber or Nerwen, depending on a host of possibilities yet to be seen during the last hour. If there is a breakthrough in any other direction I'm most willing to change my mind though.
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#571 |
La Belle Dame sans Merci
|
++nerwen
__________________
peace
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#572 | |
Laconic Loreman
|
Quote:
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#573 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
And do not forget Fëa either...
If there are no complex or bold WoW strategies around it's Fëa and Nerwen who look the most suspicious. I mean a lot seems to come down to the question whether the wolves were boldly voting each other to look good later even if they had to fight against the numbers (McCaber, Mith, Izzy... maybe even Mac or Boro) or they played more as a team trying not to decrease their numbers if they could avoid it (Nerwen, Fëa).
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#574 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
|
Quote:
I promise I'll be more helpful toMorrow. Currently I don't have much of a clue... The person I'm thinking of voting is Fea, on account of her general weirdness, including the recent rambling about Seer strategy, which looks rather like a deliberate attempt to waste time... but I don't have time to make a case against her. EDIT: X'd with Fea, Boro and Nogrod.
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#575 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
![]() |
Ugh.
So hard to scroll through the pages. Mith 399 onwards.. More banter and ic moments. #441 She says that Nerwen, Ixxy, and Shasta are creeping her out. Nerwen the most. Lal is the best Cobbler bet, but doesn't understand Fea. #495 Lal is the most Cobblerish, hard to think anyone else is. Boro and Fea could be bored, and amusing themselves. #506 Nerwen - Creepiest Feanor of the Peredhil - Tweedledum Boromir88 - Tweedledee ]Nilpaurion Felagund - Seer soi-disant. No reason to doubt. Nogrod - Seer named ordo McCaber - Creepy but ... Shastanis Althreduin - Seer named Ordo Mithalwen - Self named Ordo Isabellkya - can't writer her off quite despite that vote. Lalwendë - Cobbler - de facto or actual Macalaure - Perhaps ought to check my assumption of innocence to prevent self looking silly..... #518 Votes McCaber; saying "Only of my creepies likely to go and prefer to get a woluf than cobbler if possible." Which I find odd. Unless I am mistaken, Boro had been the only other person in the realm of voting for Caber. Where as, I believe there were more possible Nerwen voters. #528 "I have to go but will be back earlier tomorrow but I voted Mc Caber because he was the only of my main WOLF suspects who I stood a chance of being lynched. I was certain that Lal was teh cobbler and prepared to ignore her." In one of your posts #443; you say I was swift on Day two to "point out" that I'd voted for CoD. Yet here you are in #528, three posts after Durelin's; explaining why you voted for Caber. You'd already done so when you made the vote. So why again? If I was swift, then you were... break neck speed? I find it a bit fishy that you went for Caber instead of Nerwen, even though she was a higher suspect to you. Fea Day one is a lot of banter and IC posts.. Watching Boro very closely. #871, you vote Boro, then say he can figure it out, and that there is a great chance you are right. - You are right that he is a wolf, or you are right he will figure it out? Day two More banter. Calls Shasta a wolf, because of apology towards Boro, and response. Tied between Boro and Shasta. Votes Boro. Day three Could see a Mithwolf. negligible threat: Nilp, Nog, Mac, Shasta Worrisome: Rikae, Nerwen, Boro, Mith, Lal Barely know is playing:Sally, Caber, Izzy, Fea Votes Mith. Day four Asks Boro if he wants her to vote for Lal. Desperately wants to know Boro's role. Day five Doesn't understand Ranger not protecting Nilp. Obsessed with Boro Thought Nilp was stock piling innocents, rather than hunting wolves. I definitely agree that your obsession with Boro in this game is unhealthy, and not really helping anyone. I'm torn between Mith and Fea. But something tells me from what I've re-read/skimmed of Nerwen My vote might go there. X'ed since mith's 569
__________________
But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#576 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
![]() ![]() ![]() |
Nerwen - still probably my best bet. The decision would be easier if only she felt suspicious. But she doesn't.
Fea - a lot of strangeness in her, but her bluff still makes her seem innocent to me. Boro - probably innocent. McCaber - is really trying hard to make himself look bad today. Mith - has not done anything to make me suspicious in this game. Izzy - could be the wolf, but isn't a top-shelf suspect for me right now. I'm definitely not going to vote for Fea, Boro, or Mith. But which one of the other three? ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#577 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Quote:
![]() ![]() Btw. reasons I think Fëa should be looked a bit more closely include - on top of those I made in my two posts on Fëa and Nerwen earlier toDay - are these: - She seems to be pretty ready to defend herself even if a light suspicion is thrown at her this late in the game when the stakes are getting higher. - She has carefully limited her suspicions to a few only (mainly Boro - which has been done in a banterish way so as to not look serious threat to Boro), Mith (with all the apologies and stuff) and Shasta). - Today she has mainly discussed the matter of why Nilp chose the dreams he did which I think is a complete waste of time and effort - but it doesn't normally raise suspicions as no one gets suspected by that and no retaliations will follow which is very important at this phase to the last wolf. So please consider her as well toMorrow if we don't get the wolf toDay. EDIT: X'd from Nerwen onwards...
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#578 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
who were the other Nerwen voters? Mc Caber and Nerwen were on one each when I voted and I suppose that I had decided to trust Boro for the time being. And Nerwen ... I jus thought I was more likely to eb wrong about her - she mixes up her playing...
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#579 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
![]() |
++ Nerwen
I may not have been able to look at all posts in-depth(ly); but the gut feeling. I am in need of heading out the door now. X'since 576.
__________________
But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#580 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
![]() ![]() ![]() |
I would probably vote for Nerwen now, but it almost seems unfair seeing that she would finally be able to give more input from tomorrow on.
What I don't like about voting McCaber is that, if he's innocent, I won't be able to tell Boro that I told him so. ![]() Voting Izzy seems pointless right now, and I'm not convinced enough of her guilt to start a last minute campaign. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#581 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Quote:
![]() Also what you Mac say of McCaber I have to agree: even if Boro's case against him looks a bit far-fetched (even if possible and ingeniously made by Boro) his posting toDay has been terrible with all those slips made under pressure...
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#582 | |
Laconic Loreman
|
Quote:
Fea, while has been crazy, as she said she's demented and we all know that. But it's an enjoyable kind of dementia, hasn't seemed evil. But, there can't be any harm in considering something evil behind it all. Edit: crossed with everyone since Mith's post.
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#583 |
Wisest of the Noldor
|
*sigh*
Well, it looks like you're all going to lynch me. I'm not going to bother defending myself any further– then you'll just jump on me for being "defensive". Besides, I honestly don't see what I have to defend myself against. Yeah, I suspected some people who turned out to be innocent. So have all of you. ![]() At least I didn't get any innocents lynched. ![]() While I'm still here... someone look at Izzy toMorrow. I keep forgetting about her. EDIT: X'd since Izzy at #579.
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#584 |
Laconic Loreman
|
Making this a run away won't be beneficial, let's turn up the pressure...
++McCaber
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#585 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Any idea on the tally? Two votes for Nerwen, right but are there others?
I'd be inclined to try out McCaber more than Nerwen right now. As Izzy said - although making the opposite decision - ... the gut feeling...
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#586 |
Laconic Loreman
|
Perhaps it would be a good idea if you didn't hold your vote to the end this time Nogrod, let's see what some of the unknowns decide this time.
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#587 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Oh my... I'm not sure of what to make of Nerwen's last one... It wasn't the most calming one in any sense...
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#588 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
Okay, I'm in for it...
++ McCaber
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#589 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Yes were I a wolf these are exactly the people I would want to keep at endgame - NOT. 3 people I have wolfed with and Nogrod who generally spots me as a wolf and Fea ..... Fea is worrying me a lot now. Again it is hard when you know how brilliant people can be as wolves to trust them. With McCaber and Issy there is this WOW issue Ican't decide on ., gah must choose.
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#590 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
![]() ![]() ![]() |
Evidence: Nerwen.
Gut: McCaber. Considering our numbers, I think I can afford to go with my gut... ++McCaber |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#591 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
I mean even if there have been time constraints on Nerwen she has actually played somewhat actively and would earn to play toMorrow.
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#592 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
++Mc Caber
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#593 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
|
Quote:
EDIT: X'd since Nogrod at #587.
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#594 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
Posted without reason due to time factor. If not Mc Caber need to rethink. If Nerwen is innocent her input may be most helpful.
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#595 |
Wisest of the Noldor
|
Well, then–
++McCaber. Let's hope Boro's right. EDIT: fixed bolding.
__________________
"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#596 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
|
![]() Hah, don't be. But use toMorrow well if you can spare some time - and are an innocent (if we fail toDay that is). Good luck to all of you! (and don't underestimate Fëa)
__________________
Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#597 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
and I am liable to find passion convincing ..
![]()
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#598 |
Laconic Loreman
|
I put up or I shut up, if not McCaber, I'll shut it.
__________________
Fenris Penguin
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#599 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
You may yet survive ..... Ranger do your stuff ...
__________________
“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#600 |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
![]() ![]() |
The Day is over. But will another Night come?
McCaber is dead (for now). Since this poster is not Durelin (she is at a Renn Fair), I (CoD) won't reveal his role. Y'know, just in case my counting was off and he isn't actually dead... Oh the suspense! |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
|
![]() |