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"Old fool! Why there is a large patch in the hollow of his left breast as bare as a snail out of its shell." Bilbo Baggins |
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#321 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Skyrim, again.
Posts: 820
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So I'm still convinced that sally is a wolf, but the only other late distracters were Nogrod for Gwath and Boro for Lal. And I'm pretty sure both of them are innocent.
If only sally gave me more to analyze. And I'm still not sure why Lal and Rikae have harped on me as a suspect. I just don't really get their arguments.
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Werewolves vs. Fishmen. The battle of the century. Last edited by McCaber; 09-15-2008 at 09:44 PM. Reason: I think that's the third new page for me this game. I'm not even trying to do this. |
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#322 |
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
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So, that's two of my suspects gone.
*sigh* So, aside from believing the four CoD voters to be innocent, I have nothing. The problem, really, is I can't find the time to pore over the thread and get my own ideas, so I just read a well-written accusation, think 'Hmm, yes', and go with it. Haha, maybe I should print up the thread again. (I did that with DWW, and by DAY 3 I had 50+ pages. ![]() So, yeah, be back later. Still have classes 'n stuff.
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フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
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#323 |
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
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Hm, has anyone looked closely at Fëa(sic) lately?
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フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
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#324 | ||
Wisest of the Noldor
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I'd like to hear from the Gwath voters.
Nogrod had been after him all day, so it was hardly surprising that he voted him. Still, it does look not unlike the good old "force your opponent to defend himself" wolf-tactic. (I'll bear in mind that half the time when two people go at it hammer and tongs, they're both ordos.) Mithalwen votes him on grounds which I did not like at the time, and still don't: Quote:
A possible attempt to silence him? Nilp finds Gwath "twisty"– on grounds which I pointed out to him were incorrect. Then he votes him anyway... apparently for putting up a poor defence? Quote:
And Mac gives no reason at all.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#325 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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I'm moving in the morning, I won't have time to post much of anything (that is if I even manage to check the forum!), I didn't like Nog yesterday, I would have voted him yesterday, and he's done nothing to assuage my suspicions today.
Therefore: ++Nogrod
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#326 | ||
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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![]() I also love the way you and Mith assume to know what the wolves think about my theories yesterday. Funny that, given that Brinniel being killed was the most obvious curveball they could throw in.
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Gordon's alive!
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#327 | |||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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Replies...
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![]() There are a few minor things that I could have pointed early out on, but I didn't, because then you would have suspected me in turn and defended yourself in a way that I would have found even more suspicious, and down the drain it goes. This just happened too often in the past and very rarely did it do any good, so I'm trying to change it this time (and in the future, I hope). One thing I do find suspicious about you is your Day1 vote, which is why I did not go as far as to put you on my innocent list so far. (Rikae mentioned something the same thing, too) Quote:
A remark about Boro's #311. That is a very good point there (if only it wouldn't come from my lone suspect left), and I would extend it. In Brinn's unsure list, there are also several people that she said she needed to pay more attention to. Now, if one wolf gets such a comment, I don't think it is usually given much heed during the night's plotting, but if both get such a comment from someone who they think might be the seer, it might cause paranoia. Next to Nogrod and Sally, those candidates are: Rikae, Nerwen, Fea, and Lal. Both wolves in that list? Well, my current suspicions are thin, like butter spread over too much bread. I'll better go and reread to address that. Last edited by Macalaure; 09-16-2008 at 03:43 AM. Reason: grammar |
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#328 | |||
Laconic Loreman
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I'm almost certain I've said this a couple times, but I'll entertain you Nerwen...I had no clue about Brin or CoD's roles. I felt Brin looked innocent (and didn't like Mac's 'case' against her), and as wierd as CoD's vote was, I don't like last minute bandwagons when no one is around. More often then not they turn out bad. However, I know my role, and hence why I told Mith I wouldn't be the biggest lost and I went ahead and voted for Lal. Quote:
I don't know why Mith asked me if I wanted to get lynched, she'll have to tell you. Quote:
It doesn't make any sense if you're gifted. If you're ordinary, trying to give cover to the real gifted, it didn't work and I asked you to give up the act. or... you're a baddie trying to make the village believe you're gifted and weary about lynching you. Izzy, I've been after Lal since Day 1, and I disagreed with Mac and Nogrod's suspicions against Brin, and I wondered whether the wolves thought Brin was the seer...I don't know how I'm copying everyone's arguments. Edit: crossed with Mac
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#329 | |
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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#330 | |
Laconic Loreman
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If I remember yesterday Rikae pointed out it was odd Brin and Nilp suggest I had been "chummy" with Nogrod. Brin said she didn't suggest that, Nilp withdrew his statement later. I looked, Izzy was the other one who suggested Nogrod and I were buddying up. Maybe now someone will start asking you questions Izzy...why did you think that?
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#331 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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A second look at Boromir:
Day1: Buddies up to Rikae and has an exchange with Fea that could be something but likely is not. Criticises my points against Brinn, which is fair, but concludes that I'm a wolf, which is a leap. Makes points on everybody but me (who he makes an extra category for) and starts his chase of Lalwende. Dissuades people to vote for CoD just after I did. "Well I was hoping to stay around longer...but I wouldn't be the biggest loss." The last comment (shouting "I'm an ordo, I'm an ordo!" just before the deadline could be the reaction of a seer who suddenly noticed he was a bit too open, or a reverse-psychology hint to the ranger for the same reason), together with his sureness about my guilt make me think he's the cobbler who, at the time, was preparing for a fake seer reveal later. With Brinn's vote for me, he had a chance to get me lynched, but didn't, preferring to throw his vote away. Of course, he could also be an ordo setting up a trap for a possible me-wolf (if he had been killed that night, it would have pointed very strongly towards wolf-me thinking he was the seer). Day2: His theory about Brinn... you can explain it as often as you like, to me, it still carries the smell of getting her to make herself look bad with a defense and then sitting back and enjoying the show. Makes a case against Sally which is more or less sensible. He decides that Mith isn't a wolf. He's suspicious of Nogrod and picks apart his case of Brinniel. Just before he has to vote he remembers Lal and votes her. He discards his suspicion of me entirely, which is surprising. After he was so suspicious before, I would have expected a bit more hesitation. This is in line with the cobbler-seer theory, which a cobbler would have commentlessly discarded at this point. His reasons for voting Lal twice in a row are paper-thin. Day3: He gives points against Lal and later starts putting actual pressure on her. Doesn't like Nerwen's vote. Makes a point about Brinn's list. Responds to Nerwen about his Day1-vote and I'm not sure I buy that. Goes after Izzy a little. How is this for a wolf-strategy: Pick a villager (Lal) who isn't listened to much but who is also unlikely to get lynched quickly, and then consistently go after her. Your cases will look sensible and consistent but it will take a long while until the victim's death makes you look bad and forces you to make wrong cases against somebody new. A cobbler could do the same if he's sure that his victim is not a wolf. Conclusion: His insistence to go after Lal doesn't seem right with me. He did a few things that point towards cobblerdom, maybe wolfdom, too, but not necessarily. Unfortunately, apart from his voting, which is odd, I could see an innocent Boro do the same things. He's still up there in my list, but I can't make my mind up entirely. I think I'll look at Sally next. |
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#332 | |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
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Oh and I vowed I wouldn't do this again and make you blighters thinkbut for those who set store on such things I am not a wolf. Gospel.
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
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#333 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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A second look at Sally.
Day1: Mostly joking around first. Criticises CoD for his (non-)vote, then subsequently keeps on mentioning him, which is weird, but I'm not sure whether it's evil. Goes after Boro with no real reason. Also suspects Brinn and Rikae. Let's Nogrod dissuade her from Brinn. One certainly, like Boro, see her treatment of the Captain as a nervous wolf-on-wolf thing. What makes me doubt it is, that for Sallysawolf it would have been far more effective to simply not mention him at all. There's nervousness, but also carelessness. The placement and the reasoning for the vote suspicious. Day 2: Thinks Kath was a random kill. Apologises for voting Boro. Thinks Gwath is not guilty. Votes Nogrod because he went after Gwath. She defends her vote from Nogrod. Not much to comment here. I don't agree with her stance on Nogrod, but that doesn't make her suspicious. ToDay she has not shown herself yet. What can I say? There is certainly enough to keep on suspecting her, especially from Day1, but it doesn't earn a top spot. I really hope she'll be around more later. I need to read more of her. |
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#334 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
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I asked Boro if he wanted to be lynched because he could have ensured his own safety and didn't. Most of us would want to save our own skin innocent or not. After all unless you thought a gifted was going down you would want to keep yourself as an innocent alive. Wolves obviously want to stay alive. Only cobblers and confident hunters might do otherwise.
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
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#335 | |
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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![]() 4:57 - Do you want to get lynched, Boro? 4:59 - Voting for CoD because of not wanting to lose Boro. 4:59 - Boro says he wouldn't be the biggest loss anyway.
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#336 | ||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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A look at Nilp:
Day1: Nothing of importance. Misses vote. Day2: Captain-voters look innocent. Thinks Nogrod looked suspicious on Day1, but now no longer. Is convinced by Nog's case against Brin. Boro and Nerwen look innocent. Brings up the chumminess of Boro and Nogrod which he later takes back. Doesn't give any additional reasons against Brinn, and his reasons against Gwath... *shakes head* (though I'm probably not the one to criticise flimsy Gwath-suspicions). Suspects Fea and Shasta of being wolves together. Votes Gwath. Expects to get under fire the next day (which strangely he hasn't very much so far). The way Nilp takes up Nogrod's points, I have a hard time imagining the two are in cahoots. I could see this as Wolfnilp copying points of Nogrod that he knew were wrong. Day3: Wants Fea to be looked at and Quote:
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#337 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Quickly (finally got my computer working again and I'm running out the door for class) I still feel uneasy about Nogrod. I hate that I'm concentrating on just one person but he seems too....blah. Just not good.
From the beginning (well, semi the beginning) he's made a grasp-at-straw case against Gwath and finally got him lynched. Guess what? Gwath's an ordo. His interaction with Boro seems unnatural and the way he spoke to me yesterDay seems very suspicious (he seemed to me to be making too much of a fuss in that one post, if you ask my little opinion) For some reason Lal and Nilp jump out at me as well, and Mac doesn't want to suspect me even though he thinks I'm suspicious. Not that I'm not flattered, but why? Meh. I wish I had more time. ![]() I'll be back a bit before the deadline (unless class gets out early) to vote and such.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#338 | ||
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
![]() But anyhow, the remark of mine Lal is quoting, that you (if furry) "may have thought CoD was doomed anyway" was about situation, not individual character, if you see what I mean. She's taken a couple of things I said in that post and run right out of sight with them. Quote:
![]() X'd since Mac at 333.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#339 |
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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My problem right now is whether I should vote for Mithwolf or Borowolf.
Boro had me lined up from day one with no good reason, especially on day one when he actually had much better reasons to vote for Brinniel or CoD who were his co-runners for lynching. He leaves voting until after Mith has voted (and also poked him to vote quickly) and he is then safe to vote for me - as was no doubt planned by them. Note that Mith's excuse that they voted at the same time doesn't wash as wolves could have planned this exit stratgy all along beforehand. Then on the next day, he builds a mild case to vote for me again, while Mith cunningly avoids voting for me and builds a slight suspicion (and gets Gwath out of the way without attracting suspicion by leaving a trail). Today, following the murder of Brinn, they are straight in with the accusations based on the spurious excuse of me forgetting to read the rules. Yet when I was looking at evidence today, I found a post I made towards deadline on the first day, where I mention something about holding on to my vote for Brinn and not changing it even after she made a good defence. Very cunning, to have a plan and not join together on it until the 3rd day...however, it does depend rather on there being a bandwagon forming. It could, however, be possible that only one of them is the wolf and that Page 4 is simply an example of one wolf trying to signal to a cobbler who they are. In which case, if this is a Mith/Boro wolf/cobbler thing (it would be Mith as Wolf and Boro as cobbler, if you look at page 4) our votes are being split and someone else is trying to rope in votes for another victim elsewhere. Divide and Conquer. It won't matter which one the wolves see lynched, because they will be able to eat the runner up tonight, and there will always be at least one of them undetected...so far.
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#340 | ||||||
Laconic Loreman
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If I was a wolf I would have had no problems lynching Brin on Day 1, no matter what I said throughout the day, I would have had no problems doing it. Because you better believe I could come right back the next day and defend it. Nogrod wants to see the straight forward, no outrageous conspiracy Boro...well why don't you go back and just look at the hard evidence Mac (the votes). Dump all the reverse-psychology crap and just look at it, why would (as a wolf) I not either attempt to save CoD (by voting for Brin) or vote for CoD and sacrifice him? When you look at it, it's right in front of your face, I had absolutely no idea what I was doing, I just knew I didn't want to vote for Brin, I didn't want to vote for CoD, I'm not going to vote for myself, so I went with my top suspect. Edit: crossed with Lal...I hope anyone with brains can see how misleading that post is... Quote:
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#341 | ||||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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You say you had absolutely no idea what you were doing. If it applies to Bordomir, it could apply to Wolf-Boromir as well... edit: crossed with Boro's edit |
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#342 |
Laconic Loreman
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Mac, what are you thoughts on Lal?
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#343 | |||
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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Gordon's alive!
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#344 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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I second that. What are your thoughts on Lal, Mac?
In fact, anyone's thoughts on Lal would be welcome. Who's played with her before? Is she normally like this? Can she have been serious about thinking she was on the menu? And while we're waiting, I'll give you my thoughts on Mac. Out of everyone, he does appear the most innocent– and not just because of his fortuitous Day One vote. Everything he's done since then has simply shone with purity... so much so that I fully expected him to be the one eaten last Night. In fact so innocent does Mac appear that if he's still alive toMorrow, I suggest the Seer check him out, just to be on the safe side. ![]() EDIT: X'd with Lal.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 09-16-2008 at 09:36 AM. |
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#345 | |
Laconic Loreman
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It's interesting Lal, that for the last two days you said my Day 1 vote doesn't make me look like a wolf. I turn the pressure up on you and now I must be a wolf? Mith jumps on and thus we both must be wolves. You've completely ruled out any possibility that we're innocent. I have to go... ++Lalwende
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#346 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Well, we can't accuse Boro of inconsistency, can we?
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#347 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Oh and a couple more things, if I'm lynched, so be it...it'll be your loss.
If Lal tries any sort of fake reveal, I would ask the real gifted to not step out to save me. It wouldn't be worth it. Lal if you're lynched and innocent, I'm sorry for being so dead wrong. Edit: crossed with Nerwen the last 2 times. Quote:
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#348 |
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
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So I was writing this summary/analysis of Fea's post, and then just when I was about to start with DAY 3, the computer decided it's the perfect time to freeze and splutter and die.
*sigh* Enedwaith, I think she's innocent, if a bit too tactical. If that's of any help.
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フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
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#349 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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To Boro:
I didn't say everyone. I suppose it is more phrasings used when making an argument. Either way, it rang bells to see "what the heck's" used two posts after I used them, in conjunction with the same person - when I don't recall seeing them before that. I said that, because of how the two of you interacted. 'What do you think about this person'; 'I'll do this if you might do that'. It gave me the feeling of two people out picking curtains, or a new couch - not wolf hunting. X'd with Nilp.
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
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#350 | |
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
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フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
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#351 |
Scion of The Faithful
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: The brink, where hope and despair are akin. [The Philippines]
Posts: 5,312
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She is not being too helpful, getting obsessed with 'Oh, I'll be killed tomorrow!' and getting into fights and whatnot. But with only two Wolves I don't think a Lalwendë-wolf would risk doing this unless she's sure the last Wolf can win it all.
Hmm . . . maybe the Wolf-on-Wolf voting idea wasn't so bad, after all . . .
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フェンリス鴨 (Fenrisu Kamo) The plot, cut, defeated. I intend to copy this sig forever - so far so good...
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#352 | ||
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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![]() Now I'm quite sure that Boro is mending the shoes Mith has torn through in her nightly transformations.
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Gordon's alive!
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#353 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Darn what a day! (RL that is)
So an hour to go through the stuff then... *dives in*
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
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#354 |
La Belle Dame sans Merci
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Temporarily considered a negligible threat: Nilp, Nogrod, Mac, Shasta
Worrisome: Rikae, Nerwen, Boro, Mith, Lal I'm barely aware they're playing: Sally, McCaber, Izzy, Fea I'd hoped to be around between now and deadline (out of class at 12:10, deadline at 1:00), but something came up and I have to run out in a few minutes and won't be back fast enough to vote. ++MITHALWEN Sorry, darling. You know I love you, but...
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peace
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#355 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
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I am only vehemently refuting absolute balderdash. I don't claim to know what the wolves think about Lal's theories but I can't see why she thinks they would be so interested in them... after all she hadn't exactly been a threat to them. Not like she had voted for a wolf or something. Of course on Planet Lalwende getting a wolf killed makes you a wolf whereas NOT doing so - makes you wolvish enemy number one. And for all her bluster you haven't answered what you were playing at by pointing out my possible "special" role. I cannot imagine a scenario in which your behaviour fits an innocent.
Oh and since you seem determined I am a wolf could you decide whether I am a stupid one who lynches a packmate completely unnecessarily or some kind of uber machiavellian one who spends her life making byzantine plans.... ![]() Nerwen if I were a wolf who wanted to silence Gwathagor why wouldn't I have jumped on Nogrod's vote for him on day 1 ? Of course becasue it would make SO much more sense for me to kill a pack mate when I have such a good record of surviving to the end as a wolf... I had to make an early vote or no vote... so much easier if I were a wolf to say "oh I hoped to get back and vote but X cropped up"... instead of saying I would be away and saying so...
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
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#356 |
Pilgrim Soul
Join Date: May 2004
Location: watching the wonga-wonga birds circle...
Posts: 9,459
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you can't read me at all .... ah well at least I might feel it is really safe to trust Boromir now....
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
Christopher Tolkien, Requiescat in pace |
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#357 | |
A Mere Boggart
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: under the bed
Posts: 4,737
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You had no option but to dive in and lynch a packmate. ![]()
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Gordon's alive!
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#358 | |||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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#359 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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I'm debating between Nog and Sally right now.
Maybe Nilp for his initial posts of copy. I find Lal comedic. Yes, some of the things she says are from left field; whether or not this is how you usually are - you are committed. From her actions, she could quite honestly be anything. Cobbler, trying to draw attention from Gifted's and make herself known to the wolves. Gifted, using the actions as a Cobblery cover - so the chance of her being eaten at night could be smaller. Risky, since the chance of being lynched are higher. Wolf, trying to look like a Cobbler so she isn't killed off. Wolves won't waste a night kill on a Cobbler and innocents won't waste a lynch on one; if there are better targets. X'ed with Lal and Mac.
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
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#360 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: Skyrim, again.
Posts: 820
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So a quick recap of my opinions:
Almost guaranteed innocent: Mac Mith Izzy Probably innocent: Boro Nogrod Fea Nilp Shasta Probably wolf: Rikae Nerwen sally Cobbler: Lal
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Werewolves vs. Fishmen. The battle of the century. |
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