Tol-in-Gaurhoth Threefold and Six: The Night Guard

[Thinlómien]

I don't think lynching Legate will prove anything. Whatever he is, wolves could have taken any stance in this debate and if he's innocent them leaving him alive doesn't prove anything either because at least in my opinion that doesn't even point at certain people.

But it looks like we don't have any better suspects either. One vote for Inzil, eh? There's something fishy about him (something I wanted to comment on but I forgot), but probably not quite enough to merit a vote.

Argh.

Well, I guess toDay can be analysed after it's over, and before that it will be difficult to say what stuff means. Although, like I said, Legate's death is hardly going to prove anything so we'll just have to look at people's general behaviour and theories.

I get the feeling I'm rambling a bit. And besides, not even making 100% sense. Legate's death will leave clues about his fellows (from day1 behaviour) or prove we're a silly bunch of lemmings.

I kind of feel like voting someone else and then blaming you others when Legate turns out innocent. Or then just saying "I did suspect him too but I didn't want to be a lemming" when he turns out guilty.

ARGH.

I confess, I'm tired and confused. And everybody's ignoring my point, which makes me suspect it either doesn't make any sense, I shouldn't have said it aloud or I'm surrounded by a pack of wolves and cobblers.

Off to voting and bed soon.


edit: xed with Legate and Sally

[Nogrod]

Originally Posted by Thinlómien

I don't think lynching Legate will prove anything. Whatever he is, wolves could have taken any stance in this debate and if he's innocent them leaving him alive doesn't prove anything either because at least in my opinion that doesn't even point at certain people.

It will not prove anything in regards to pointing at other wolves for sure - but if he's a wolf it will take off the double-killing sword from the top of our heads...

I confess, I'm tired and confused. And everybody's ignoring my point, which makes me suspect it either doesn't make any sense, I shouldn't have said it aloud or I'm surrounded by a pack of wolves and cobblers.

If you mean that "wolves will happily kill just one every Night while they have chances at killing two" -theory I must disagree with it. I see the point of accumulating innocents - but then again they can harvest us two by Night and after there are two "known innocents" they can start bringing the numbers down (with a risk though) - and anyway; the chances that the ranger and all four wolves are alive on Day4 or something where this might start to bite is quite small.

And e en if we might try to follow a plan or a pattern of berhaviour you should know it rarely happens - some people do not have time to read the thread, some have RL problems and can't vote, some have independent minds and don't follow the others whatever the arguments... so any long-time plans are doomed to fail anyway. Or have you seen any that would have been succesful?

[Legate of Amon Lanc]

Originally Posted by Nogrod

If you mean that "wolves will happily kill just one every Night while they have chances at killing two" -theory I must disagree with it. I see the point of accumulating innocents - but then again they can harvest us two by Night and after there are two "known innocents" they can start bringing the numbers down (with a risk though) - and anyway; the chances that the ranger and all four wolves are alive on Day4 or something where this might start to bite is quite small.

Or harvest us two by Night and Day together, with the result of having no known innocent at all.

Two night kills + one lynch at Day = 3 dead people, one of which may be a Wolf
One night kill + framed innocent lynch at Day = 2 dead people, none of which may be a Wolf.

(Like I mentioned already too many times.)

Anyway, the idea was what should we do NOW, the same as what the Wolves decided to do NOW. When the situation changes, we start to act differently too, I mean, that's a logic so obvious that it makes no sense even to mention it. Even a one-year old child acts according to that (or even a small molecular cell, for that matter).

Anyway... enough of that already. I am going to wait for a while yet and see. I may as well vote for guarding Nilp, too, or somebody who may be a Wolf, if there are many people voting him. And as for lynch, I guess I'll just really see.