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08-01-2011, 12:30 PM | #281 |
Laconic Loreman
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I know I should be taking this more seriously, but I can't. I'm dying of laughter.
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08-01-2011, 12:30 PM | #282 | |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Quote:
Edit: xed with Boro. I know how you feel.
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08-01-2011, 12:31 PM | #283 |
Auspicious Wraith
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Bom, don't protect yourself tonight. The wolves have to kill me. Protect someone else, and then you will be free to protect yourself the following night.
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08-01-2011, 12:32 PM | #284 |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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We should officially call this game The Revels of the Reveals!
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08-01-2011, 12:33 PM | #285 | |
Auspicious Wraith
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A valiant effort, but it's all turned to absurdity for our dear Nerwen and Shasta.
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08-01-2011, 12:41 PM | #286 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Quote:
I'm also wishing there was a cobbler in this game, he/she'd be having a field day.
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08-01-2011, 12:48 PM | #287 | |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Quote:
*lungs can't take it anymore. Dies*
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08-01-2011, 12:54 PM | #288 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
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Hotel does not in fact have free wifi. Probable last post from me. I will say that this is hard to do from a phone.
++Eomer Hopefully you believe me. I'll be protecting Nerwen tonight, obviously. I protected Boro because after Eomer's last minute scam I thought it likely Boro would be hunting me and thus a perfect wolf target as he'd be useless, and I was right. The night Inzil died I was protecting Nerwen, of course.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
08-01-2011, 12:59 PM | #289 | |
Werewolf Psychic
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Just as likely as Eomer "dreaming" two wolves, one right after the other, no?
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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08-01-2011, 01:00 PM | #290 |
Laconic Loreman
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Oh come on Shasta, I've done that twice and your record seering isn't terrible. It's not so unbelievable, don't try to pull that one passed me.
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08-01-2011, 01:15 PM | #291 |
Messenger of Hope
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Ah...I've read everything. As I said, internet is spotty to nill, to say the least.
I am terribly confused. Let me see if I have this right - YesterDay, Eomer revealed that he was the seer by saying that Nerwen and Shasta needed to die. Last Night, the wolves attempted to kill somebody and were rebuffed by the ranger. ToDay, Nerwen says that Eomer is bluffing and SHE is the seer... Bom says he's the ranger and protected Eomer. Shasta then pops up and says he's the ranger and protected Boromir... Brilliant. And unlikely. Well, obviously. Someone's lying, 'cause we can't have two seers and two rangers. I'm going to do more indepth reading and see what I can figure out. Time is short, though. -- Foley
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08-01-2011, 01:17 PM | #292 |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Ok, I accept that there is a possibiliy that Eomer is lying - as unlikely as it seems. However, only the death of one of these people can prove and disprove all our theories: Eomer, Nerwen, Shasta, and Bom. Two claim to be Rangers, and the other two - Seers. The question is, which two? The other two are hence wolves. Either we'll be lucky and get a wolf toDay and another toMorrow, or get one toMorrow and the other the next Day.
Edit: xed with Foley
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08-01-2011, 01:21 PM | #293 | |
Messenger of Hope
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Quote:
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08-01-2011, 01:21 PM | #294 |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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I meant to say this in my last post but forgot to: our biggest question right now probably is if we'd rather lose a Ranger or a Seer.
Edit: xed with Foley. You are correct in that. I'll try looking for some evidence on them.
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You passed from under darkened dome, you enter now the secret land. - Take me to Finrod's fabled home!... ~ Finrod: The Rock Opera |
08-01-2011, 01:33 PM | #295 |
Messenger of Hope
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I may or may not be on a little later to post and vote. I better be back to vote.
-- Foley
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08-01-2011, 01:51 PM | #296 |
Wight
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I'm back early! Yaaaay!
I'd say we can better afford to lose a Seer; not just because I'm one of the potential Rangers, but because if we kill the Ranger, the real Seer dies toNight anyway. |
08-01-2011, 01:53 PM | #297 | |||||||
Blossom of Dwimordene
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...Starting wit Bom! (I'm not quoting all the posts, just the ones that draw my eye)
His first post is a Ranger hint right off: Quote:
Quote:
Then comes the Hunter vs Ranger debate. Then Bom voted Boro, which is a switch from Shasta. I find this interesting, but I can't make anything out of it. Day 2 Then he's happy that people call him weird (weird=gifted?). Then this: Quote:
Then Bom votes for McC "because Eomer's reasoning made sense". Day 3 Quote:
Then he agrees to lynch Shasta so that we have at east one known wolf. Then he reveals. ...aaaaand Shasta! Doesn't like Bom from the first post Says Quote:
Then appears only to vote Glirdy to save Boro. Interesting. Day 2 Then attacks me and Eonwe for not helping him save Boro. Questions Eruhen: Quote:
Then votes me. Day 3 Reveals and votes Eomer. I'm sorry, Shasta, but as much as I tried I couldn't see and Ranger clues in your previous posts. Stay tuned for the Seers... Edit: xed with Bom. I see your point here.
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08-01-2011, 02:19 PM | #298 | ||
Laconic Loreman
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Quote:
Quote:
It's just coincidence that possible wolf Shasta was the other person he was considering voting for on Day 1.
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08-01-2011, 02:20 PM | #299 | |
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Quote:
On the other hand, in this game, it's much more complicated. If Eomer is telling the truth, then it's likely that the wolves went for him, hoping the Ranger would bluff and protect him the toNight. If this is the case, then Eomer will get killed toNight, so it wouldn't seem too bad to kill him now instead, as he won't get to tell us his dream anyway. However, if Eomer is a wolf, then either they hoped the ranger would protect Eomer and voted for one of their own (very risky, and I don't know if it's really allowed-Lottie?), cementing Eomer as an almost known seer, as it would seem an unlikely option. On the other hand, this means that the wolves are unlikely to kill Nerwen, as it would prove them wrong, so if this is the case she is safe. However, if Nerwen is the Seer, then the ranger could still protect her toNight, in which case it might be better to attack neither of the rangers... I don't know, there's too much to consider... The fact that both Rangers claim to have protected Eomer makes it seem more likely that he was saved, which in turn makes it more likely that he's either actually the Seer or an Ordo masquerading as one, for whatever purpose. Also, though we have all our gifteds, I think the wolves are winning. At the moment, the worst case scenario means that we could end up losing both the Seer and the Ranger toNight. On the other hand, it could be that all the reveals so far are ordos, or at least half of them, in an attempt to stop the real gifteds counter-revealing on claims that might actually have been made to protect the real gifteds in the first place. There are just too many possibilities to consider.
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08-01-2011, 02:21 PM | #300 |
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You make a good point, I didn't consider that. You're probably right.
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08-01-2011, 02:22 PM | #301 |
Laconic Loreman
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Just quick correction Eonwe. Shasta claims as ranger he protected me last night.
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08-01-2011, 02:33 PM | #302 |
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New approach- The Pros and Cons of lynch-candidates:
Eomer- Claims he's the seer. Pros: - If he is proven to be the seer, then we have two known wolves, and also know the identity of our Ranger. - If he is a wolf, we know who the seer is. - If he really is not a wolf, it's most likely that he'll die tonight. Cons: - If he is the seer, we've lost our seer. - If he is the seer, then the wolves will kill our ranger as well (assuming one of the revealers is a wolf). - If he's a wolf, we don't know the identity of the ranger, and we have no known wolves from the seer (but the latter is just hopefulness, and shouldn't actually be considered in the same terms).
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08-01-2011, 02:34 PM | #303 |
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Ah, I must've been carried away with that post. I shall need to reconsider.
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08-01-2011, 02:38 PM | #304 | |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Quote:
And I like your new approach! Seems a very effective way of summing things up!
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08-01-2011, 02:38 PM | #305 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jan 2002
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By Nahal, what a mess!
Just when I thought I had things figured out, some yahoo tosses a wrench into things... Need to make sure I lay my axe at the root of the right tree.
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Agannâlô burôda nênud; zâira nênud.
Adûn izindi batân tâidô ayadda: îdô kâtha batîna lôkhî. Êphalak îdôn Yôzâyan. Êphal êphalak îdôn hi-Akallabêth. Last edited by Eruhen; 08-01-2011 at 02:39 PM. Reason: x-ed with G55 and Steve |
08-01-2011, 02:45 PM | #306 |
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Nerwen- Claims to be the seer
Pros: - If she turns out to be the seer, we'll gain two known innocents. - If she is a wolf, it makes it likely that Shasta is too. - If she is a wolf, we know Eomer's the seer. And though he won't live until toMorrow, we'll at least have the Ranger and another known wolf. Cons: - If she's the seer, we lose our seer. - If she is the seer and we don't kill her now, she could stay alive until tomorrow because the ranger can protect her. - If she is the seer and we kill her, the wolves can take out the ranger toNight without fear of being dreamed. edit: Con: If she's a wolf, we don't know who the ranger is.
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Last edited by Eönwë; 08-01-2011 at 02:50 PM. |
08-01-2011, 02:47 PM | #307 | |
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Quote:
edit: but yeah, he would practically be a known wolf, as that seems very unlikely. Just want to cover all possibilities.
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08-01-2011, 02:53 PM | #308 |
Auspicious Wraith
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Tum as Frodo
Foley as Sam Sally as Merry Eomer as Pippin G55 as Fredregar Bolger Shasta as Legolas Eruhen as Gimli Eonwe as Boromir Boro as Gandalf Bom Tombadillo as Tom Bombadil Nerwen as Galadriel ---------------- Let me see. Eomer - Seer Bom - Ranger Boro - Hunter Nerwen - Wolf Shasta - Wolf And considering the interaction with Shasta & Nerwen yesterday, I think the following are probably innocent: G55 Eonwe Eruhen Which leaves our last wolfy as Tum, Folwren or Sally. I say it's Sally.
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08-01-2011, 02:59 PM | #309 |
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Bom- Claims to be the ranger
Pros: - If he is the Ranger, it is almost certain that Eomer is not a wolf. - If he is the Ranger, it's very likely that Shasta is a wolf - Together, these heavily would imply that Eomer is the seer, and so we'd also have a likely second wolf. - If he is a wolf, we almost certainly know that Shasta is the ranger, which means that Boro is an innocent. - If he is a wolf, we know Shasta is the Ranger, which them means that Eomer is a wolf too, which means that Nerwen is the Seer and so we also have two known innocents. Cons: - If he is the Ranger, we've lost our ranger. - If he is the Ranger, the wolves can easily kill the true seer as well. - If he is the Ranger, we still can't be certain who the seer is.
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08-01-2011, 02:59 PM | #310 | ||||||||||||||||
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Nerwen shall be first.
Quote:
Then she disappers for the rest of the Day. Day 2 Her opinion on the votes: Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
... is mostly spent arguing against Eomer and trying to prove that she is the Seer, and then votes for him. While Nerwen never directly accuses anyone of wolvery and always has a careful neutral tone, she just leave any stronger evidence that would point to her as the Seer. aaaaand Eomer! His first posts are not very important, and anyways are undeciferable. Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Day 2 First post: Quote:
Quote:
Some posts in between, and: Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
Day 3 Tries to uphold his status as Seer, continues accusing Nerwen and Shasta, and says Bom is the Ranger. From here, I say Eomer is more believable. Edit: xed since my last.
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08-01-2011, 03:00 PM | #311 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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So, so far, we have:
?Seerwen? --> Eomer ?Shastanis Rangerduin? --> Eomer No surprises there, seeing as he tapped both of them yesterDay.
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08-01-2011, 03:08 PM | #312 |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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I think it's a good point, and considering this and Eonwe's Pros&Cons we should be able to decide on a candidate, and NOT have a four-way tie.
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08-01-2011, 03:11 PM | #313 |
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Shasta- Claims to be the Ranger
Pros: - If he's the Ranger, we know that Bom isn't and so is probably a wolf. - If he's the Ranger, we know that Eomer isn't the seer and is probably a wolf. - If he's the Ranger, Boro is almost certainly innocent. - If he's a wolf, Bom is most likely the Ranger, in which case Eomer is at the very least innocent, in which case Nerwen could be a wolf too. Cons: - If he's the ranger, we lose our ranger. - If he's the ranger, our seer can also be killed toNight. - If he's a wolf, we don't know for certain who the seer is.
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08-01-2011, 03:14 PM | #314 |
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Ok, I've just realised (as you can probably tell by the slight shift in my last one) that there are two situations which render my pros and cons useless:
1. Ordos have fake-revealed. 2. Both Bom and Shasta are wolves. There's also the possibility that both Eomer and Nerwen are wolves, but I find it unlikely that the true seer wouldn't have revealed by now.
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08-01-2011, 03:17 PM | #315 |
Auspicious Wraith
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For anyone who's still wavering, here are the options:
1. Seer-Eomer spied two wolves with his first two dreams. 2. Wolf-Eomer fake-revealed as the Seer and implicated two innocents. It turned out that the two innocents he chose happened to be our Seer and Ranger.
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08-01-2011, 03:30 PM | #316 |
Auspicious Wraith
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Have to leave now. This will surely be my last post in the game, so: good luck villagers! Get that last wolf.
++SHASTA
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08-01-2011, 03:32 PM | #317 | |
Blossom of Dwimordene
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Quote:
Edit: xed with Eomer's vote. We'll get that wolf, by Eru we will!
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08-01-2011, 03:55 PM | #318 |
Wight
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Indeed!
Given Eomer's vote, I'll almost certainly be voting for Shasta, but I'll hold off on the act itself to hear more from the rest of the field (after all, voting early resulted in me going for the Hunter Day One!) |
08-01-2011, 03:59 PM | #319 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Quote:
With that said, I'm still believing Nerwen and Shasta crafted a convenient story in their night time wolfy discussion and thus their story, as amusing as it is...is full of baloney.
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08-01-2011, 04:01 PM | #320 |
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Yes, another reveal. I'm the seer, and I dreamed Inzil, Nerwen and Boro in that order.
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