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06-16-2009, 08:39 PM | #241 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Well, you others need to see we don't lynch Mira toDay as she will be dead anyway.
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06-16-2009, 08:42 PM | #242 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Well Me Hearties, I've finished me work n' now've had some time t' read over n' make some notes n' offer some thoughts.
I'm not wild abou' votin' Shasta. I've not seen wha' others are on abou' w' his jokin' aroun' n' sayin' double lychin' Greenie oughta be discussed, then defendin' hisself when called on it. Maybe a cobbler, mind, bu' I'm thinkin' too obvious t' be a baddie. He be votin' for Rikae, but maybe just out a' revenge. Gwath's vote do be a throwaway, n' I think he's one t' watch, but I'm not certain if he ought t' walk th' plank t'day. Kath be makin' a good list, and makin' some sense ('n not just cos I'm in her good books just now ) Th' Annu vote looks t' be solid. Rikae indeed seemed t' be pushin' agin' Shasta mighty hard, 'n like I said I thought it w'out merit. Has calmed a bit since (only after some folks reacted to it?), bu' I'm still not easy abou' her. Eomer really be worryin'. He voted Mira twice w' no real reason either time, 'n has mostly seemed t' be layin' low. Annu is a bit puzzlin'. I know how newbies be c'n give th' wrong impressions while bein' innocent (from personal experience), but seems t' latch onta th' Shasta cause right quick. Izzy be anoth'r puzzle. Not sure wha' t' think. Wilwa be votin' Ëonwë. Not really explained, n' seemed a bit forced. Back 'n a bit fer th' vote.
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06-16-2009, 08:42 PM | #243 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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I be back, shipmates. I'll be speakin' to ye again when I ha' had time to pick up th' talk o' th' day.
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06-16-2009, 08:46 PM | #244 | |
Reflection of Darkness
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06-16-2009, 08:47 PM | #245 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Plus, Izzy showed, up but I would still like to know that she's here, because if she doesn't vote she be gone too.
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06-16-2009, 08:55 PM | #246 |
Mellifluous Maia
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Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
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I wonder if th' whole 'isterical womin thing - th' "intense" n' "over-the-top" tone folks seem t' read into me posts would 'ave been there if I''d orig'nally signed up t' th' 'downs pretendin' I was a fella. Just sayin'.
Because I really don't enjoy being accused of a tone I'm not using. That's all. |
06-16-2009, 08:57 PM | #247 |
Laconic Loreman
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My last post crossed with Brinn...apparently it's not a done deal then?
In that case it might be even more beneficial to make Mira go ghostly. I mean we won't know her role, but if she's having computer issues, she won't be posting as a ghost anyway, we won't have to worry about her role anymore (even if it only is for an extra day), and we would spare our Cap'n from having to mod-fire someone.
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06-16-2009, 08:57 PM | #248 |
Gruesome Spectre
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I be seein' no reason t' waste a lynch on Mira. Tis pointless. It do appear th'a she be gone, either fer good or at least fer a day or two. Either way, we c'n afford t' wait n' see on her.
x'd with Boro 'n Rikae
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06-16-2009, 08:59 PM | #249 | |||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Okay. I saw this one when trying to leave the thread...
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And hoping for a succesfull kill? They'll have enough of them during this game. And they will make their selections. Okay, you talk of the ratio between the lynched and the night- killed, right. Sadly of those lynched/killed we have no guarantee how much will they take part in the game after they're dead so I'm not too sure that idea is as good as you make it look like. And the mutineer selections are always selections between non-mutineers while our lynches always have the mutineers at the stake as well! And where did you get that assumption that Mira's role would be for some reason revealed if she was modfired? It would be against the mod-goddesses principal that deaths will not be revealed. Quote:
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But let's discuss that later (dead or alive). Now to bed at last.
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... Last edited by Nogrod; 06-16-2009 at 09:04 PM. Reason: moved bits of the second last sentence to their right place to make sense... |
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06-16-2009, 09:01 PM | #250 | |
Gruesome Spectre
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06-16-2009, 09:09 PM | #251 |
Mellifluous Maia
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Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
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At th' risk o' somebody thinkin' I'm gettin' uppity fer havin' an opinion:
I seen this here problem on another ship once: one pirate was goin' overboard, an' th' mutineers were th' ones arguin' that we should lynch somebody else, too. I tried t' convince th' crew that we'd give ourselves one more day by lynchin' th' doomed one - one more day for findin' th' mutineers. So, although I complained 'bout wastin' my vote, maybe it ain't wasted after all. Ef we have two deaths t'day (or t'night) that's a day we lose, an' later on we'll know more an' choose better (even statistically). So mebbe we'd best lynch Mira after all. Yes, Nog, we'll only win this by lynchin', but only by lynchin' th' right people. Now it's still very much a shot in th' dark, but later, th' odds and our knowledge will be better - usin' the lnch on Mira t'day saves us an extra day at t' end o' th' game, when we can make our lynch count. |
06-16-2009, 09:11 PM | #252 | |
Laconic Loreman
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I'm not sure what your point is, I'm considering the options... Should it be Mira, to avoid losing 2-people? Should it be Nogrod, who I have only a gut feeling is a mutineer based on behavior and the end of Day 1 voting. Should it be Rikae, who I have a theory is a co-conspirator, based on all the mixed and twisted words? Should it be Shasta whose vote I took as a challenge? Why are you acting like I'm speaking in absolutes with regards to you? Edit: crossed with Rikae...exactly! (and I'm sure this is going to be taken as we're working together, but who cares? I don't, sorry.)
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06-16-2009, 09:13 PM | #253 |
Shade with a Blade
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I be takin' a second shot at that thar Shasta-Rikae-Annu-Kath tussle (was thar anyone else involved that I be missin'?). It's the sort of spot I'd be expectin' to find a mutineer.
As far as I be able to navigate it, Rikae's initial challenge to Shasta's "pros and cons of lynching LG" post be seemin' pretty rational and tame, especially when it be comparrrred to Shasta's initial defense, which be strikin' my flint as awrful abrupt - particularly if you be considerin' that Shasta proceeds to get into it with Rikae, while if anyone had twisted Shasta's words, it was Annu. Annu probably be lookin' the worst of the gang of 'em - s/he latches onto Rikae's post like a crab onto a fish and then be takin' it a league or two farther, and then goin' on to vote Shasta in his/her second post. Now that looks suspicious, if you be askin' this honest seaman's opinion - a far sight more suspicious 'n Shasta, Rikae, or Kath. Kath doesn't do much - she just be mentionin' that Rikae's twistin' Shasta's words, which I be disagreein' with, although I think I be seein' how it could seem that way. I do think she is attributin' motives, at least at first, and reading into Shasta's remarks - but she takes a less negative stance toward our first mate later on, which, to my spyglass, makes her looks awrful reasonable. Based on the exchange, I be thinkin' that Shasta's an innocent experiencin' a case o' righteous indignation (rare enough in these parts), that Rikae's a shrewd innocent, and that Annu's either a lazy son of gun or a black-hearted, opportunistic, privateerin' mutineer. Kath could be goin' either way, hard to tell from her brief involvement. Regardin' Annu, I'm leanin' towards guilty. Sure, Annu admits that his/her reasons are weak, but I be thinkin' they're weaker than s/he be admittin'.
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06-16-2009, 09:17 PM | #254 | |
Shade with a Blade
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06-16-2009, 09:18 PM | #255 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
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Almost known innocent:
Nerwen Fairly good feeling: Rikae Boro Not sure, but tend to trust: Sally Kath Mith Simply no idea: Wilwa Mirandir Isabellkya Eonwe A bit doubtful about: Inziladun (can't put my finger on it, but some vague bad feeling) Shasta (might be conspirator) Annu (see Inzy) Gwath (can't put him anywhere, which makes me nervous in his case) Nogrod (can't shake it off) Suspicious: Eomer (more confused about him than really suspicious, but I have no one better...) ++Eomer I admit, though, that voting with Nogrod gives me a bit of a toothache... |
06-16-2009, 09:21 PM | #256 | |
Reflection of Darkness
Join Date: Jun 2002
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Anyway, as of this moment Mira is still in the game. Once deadline hits, I'll give a final decision about mod-firing her.
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06-16-2009, 09:21 PM | #257 | |
Shade with a Blade
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Care to explain? Where be all this suspicion of Eomer spewin' from? I've been feelin' stupid not knowin' why Eomer is supposed to be suspicious. What has he done, even?
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06-16-2009, 09:23 PM | #258 |
Laconic Loreman
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++Mira
I'm being ultra conservative on this ship, so sue me...voting for someone who's very doubtful to return, we avoid essentially what would be a double lynching if we chose someone else, which means we get an extra day. Also we won't have to spend another day thinking about should we lynch Mira, or let her go, also who's to say she's not a mutineer?
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06-16-2009, 09:24 PM | #259 |
Gruesome Spectre
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I'm not easy abou' him because 'o his two Mira votes w/ no explanation.
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06-16-2009, 09:24 PM | #260 |
Mellifluous Maia
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Thanks, Gwath.
An' ever'body give some thought t' votin' Mira, like I said. An' Mac, I'd like t' know why ye be votin' fer Eomer, too. |
06-16-2009, 09:26 PM | #261 | |
Shade with a Blade
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I was thinkin' on votin' for Annu, but now you've made realize that lynchin' Mira would buy us another day, at any rate. And there is always the off-chance that she could be a mutineer or a co-conspirator.
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06-16-2009, 09:26 PM | #262 | |
Laconic Loreman
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But, for me, I interpret it as Eomer being a bored ordinary. Usually with any type of special role (good or evil) Eomer is in the thick of the action...he's always confusing of course, and you always wonder what he's up to, but he's always right there, if you know what I mean.
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06-16-2009, 09:29 PM | #263 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Are you trying to find out how many people can be gotten rid of in one day Boro? *insert one eyebrow raise*
I've no intention of making a record stat anytime soon. Why do you think those two are baddies Shasta? Rikae, I think if you'd signed up as a guy - it would be called "dueling". Voting alongside one of your suspects Mac? I think Eomer has only posted song-like posts. X'd since #258. Edit2. Took out a rogue i.
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06-16-2009, 09:30 PM | #264 | |
Laconic Loreman
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06-16-2009, 09:32 PM | #265 | |
Gruesome Spectre
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06-16-2009, 09:33 PM | #266 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Vote must be now.
++ Annu
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06-16-2009, 09:35 PM | #267 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Nerwen -> Zil
Mith -> Nog Annu -> Shasta Rikae -> Shasta 2 Kath -> Annu Eomer -> Mira Shata -> Rikae Wilwa -> Eonwe Rikae -- Shasta -> Mira 2 Nog -> Eomer Mac -> Eomer 2 Boro -> Mira 3 Zil -> Annu 2 Mira 3. Annu, Eomer, Shasta 2. Zil, Rikae, Nog 1.
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06-16-2009, 09:38 PM | #268 |
Shade with a Blade
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Seriously, matey, what be the odds that we're gonna get us a mutineer today? If Mira's going to be modfired anyway, then why risk lynchin' two innocents by votin' for Eomer or Annu or whoever? (Though I be ponderin' votin' for the latter meself.) That's the point.
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06-16-2009, 09:39 PM | #269 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Right now I'm debating between Sally, Nog, and Mac.
Sally - For her voting of Shasta yesterDay after saying it wouldn't be a good idea. Nog - Because it isn't his usual self. When ever I see him as his usual self, he is on the innocent side. So mostly feeling of his behaviour thus far. Mac - Because his voting is... a bit whack, and looks like bandwagon votes. Voting alongside a seemginly top suspect of yours, even though it gives you a toothache? X'd with Gwath.
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06-16-2009, 09:39 PM | #270 | |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
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I happen to be with Nogrod about Mira. We can only lynch mutineers if we try to. Lynching Mira will cost us one opportunity to do that.
I voted for Eomer because, looking at his two vote-posts, I have a hard time imagining him innocent. I do think he's more likely a conspirator than a mutineer, but if I have a choice between lynching a conspirator and shooting into the dark, I do the former. Quote:
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06-16-2009, 09:42 PM | #271 | ||
Laconic Loreman
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Since we are already pretty much guaranteed to lose Mira, whether it be tonight, or tomorrow, if we chose someone else, that would virtually be like a double-lynching...am I wrong? Mira hasn't done anything wrong, her computer is just evil, but that doesn't change the fact that she can't be here and could be killed off anyway. And whether we decide to lynch Mira or someone else, the wolves will get a kill choice...which means we risk losing 3 people in one day, not good. Maybe Mira is a wolf...maybe we chose someone else and he/she is a wolf. Who knows? But I would rather keep the death numbers down at this point, so we don't have a double-lynching (by double-lynching I mean losing Mira to mod-fire and lynching whoever else is decided) and thus getting an extra day.
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06-16-2009, 09:44 PM | #272 |
Shade with a Blade
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Aye, aye, that's true, thar be no denin' it. I reckon you be feelin' pretty confident about your vote, then?
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06-16-2009, 09:46 PM | #273 | |
Laconic Loreman
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06-16-2009, 09:47 PM | #274 | ||||
Wisest of the Noldor
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So be th' Cabin Boy: Quote:
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EDIT:X'd wi' a host.
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06-16-2009, 09:50 PM | #275 |
Shade with a Blade
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Well, I be votin' now. I'm awrful suspicious of Annu, but I'm gonna put it off until tomorrer, so:
++Mira
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06-16-2009, 09:51 PM | #276 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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++ Mac
I've got to vote now. He feels the foulest of the three, for previously stated reasons. X'd with Gwath.
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
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06-16-2009, 09:51 PM | #277 | |
Fading Fëanorion
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06-16-2009, 09:55 PM | #278 | |
Mellifluous Maia
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If we lose 2 people today (or 3 today/tonight) instead of 1 (or 2), if we're lucky, we're getting rid of an aggressor, but if we're not - we're losing two innocents. We're already probably losing one (because an aggressor would be less likely to quit). If we lose 2 innocents in a day, that's one less day until the aggressors can win - and our odds of lynching one of them get better later in the game. Think about it - it just doesn't make sense to have 2 deaths on Day 2, when we're basically clueless, and lose the possibility of a day n that we might need. |
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06-16-2009, 09:55 PM | #279 | |
Laconic Loreman
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06-16-2009, 09:56 PM | #280 |
Fading Fëanorion
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Nerwen -> Inzy
Mith -> Nogrod Annu -> Shasta Rikae -> Shasta (2) Kath -> Annu Eomer -> Mira Shasta -> Rikae Wilwa -> Eonwe Rikae -- Shasta (1) -> Mira (2) Nogrod -> Eomer Mac -> Eomer (2) Boro -> Mira (3) Inzy -> Annu (2) Gwath -> Mira (4) Izzy -> Mac Mira 4, Eomer, Annu 2, plenty o' 1's. |
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