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10-10-2010, 11:28 AM | #241 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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Okay, I am back and around... to my surprise and partially delight, it seems you people haven't been overactive toDay, although I must say, even though it really delights me that I don't have million pages to catch up, still perhaps I would have preferred people posting more than less...
But not saying anything until I read what is that that's been discussed...
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
10-10-2010, 11:29 AM | #242 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Looking at who we have here...
TRUST: Nerwen - Well it seems pretty likely that she was Glirdan's Night 2 protection, possibly also Shasta's dream - but be the latter as it may it's unlikely she's a wolf. Will leave her alone for the time being. MORE INNOCENT THAN NOT: Legate - Looks like his innocent self to me. Lottie - I'm still inclined to find her more innocent than not, though I'm not that sure anymore. Ozban - Seems nicely independent-minded - a very rare trait in a new wolf, but then again I wouldn't put it past him. No arguments against him, nor a bad feeling, though. (A freakish in-between category for those between "leaning innocent" and "headache"): wilwa - Feels innocentish, though I couldn't say what I base that on. Might deserve a closer look as well actually, just because I realised I never really even considered the possibility that she's a wolf.. HEADACHE: Boro - Scares me. First hunch: innocent. Second hunch: wolf. I'd prefer a closer look at him, we'll see if I have time. Eönwë - Quite frankly I have no idea. I'm expecting him to turn up and explain a bit about his yesterDay's vote... Inzil - Hmm. He is as impossible to read as always. Was the first to point out Glirdan's obvious hinting to having protected Nerwen. That could go both ways. Nogrod - Agh. Confuses me to no end. Has been less aggressive than usual I think, and his exchange with Zil toDay was weird (don't know which of the two was the one who was off, though). MORE EVIL THAN NOT: skip - The one I'm currently feeling worst about, I'll make a separate post about him in a minute. I don't like the size of my headache-category, and especially the number of people I have no idea about. Gah. EDIT: x-ed with Eonwe, Ozzy and Leg
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." Last edited by A Little Green; 10-10-2010 at 11:40 AM. |
10-10-2010, 11:38 AM | #243 | |
Fluttering Enchantment
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Anyway, I have a notebook in front of me and will be going back to the beginning to take some notes and try to get a better idea of everything. As long as my mild ADD doesn't kick in, I should get this done fairly efficiently and have something useful to say. x'ed with Legate and Greenie, and yes it did take me over 10 minutes to type this, I'm telling you, ADD....
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10-10-2010, 11:43 AM | #244 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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It was much larger job I thought but I've finally read through yesterDay taking notes of people's attitudes towards the Shasta - Pitchie dream scenario.
But reading it is just crazy as we can have wolves willing to press for Pitchie's lynch (none of the wolves is lynched and with a nice wagon the have a place to hide) and wolves willing to caustion us from Pitchie-lynch (as not to look too over-eager or to look good toDay). Also innocents could be either willing to drive for Pitchie lynch just to be sure, or caution against it as it is unbelievable (making Shasta a reckless seer) and thus possibly a lynch wasted. Here are my notes then, in the order of their votes coming in - and a short comment of mine in italics. Legate seems to downplay Pitch-issue basically with not mentioning it in the beginning and then later going for “could be this, could be that”, belives in the end Nerwen is the innocent dream. Is not "100% sure" Pitchie is the wolf (sic!). Says he will vote for either Glirdy or Lottie – of Pitch he says only he feels quite good! Votes Lottie (1) It really looks strange. He looks a lot like a cobbler to me - not sure if he's a wolf though (it might depend a lot on what Lottie is as I don't think they are on the same side, unless innocents both - which I strongly suspect being the case). Nerwen seems to understand why Shasta could have been dreaming of Pitch (nervous, first time seer). Has hard times between the two interpretations (well the other includes herself as an innocent so I hats off if she is innocent!). Says it is a dilemma: suspicious Lottie or not suspicious but possibly dreamt of Pitch. Votes Pitch (1) It would be really unfortunate if Shasta has not dreamt of Nerwen and we tke her innocence for granted because of his posts... but she looks pretty innocent and reasonable so I'd say she's not on the top of my suspicions. Greenie comes in in haste, says skip is the most suspicious and “wouldn’t mind” Pitchie gone either. Votes Skip (1) Had she not been in a hurry I'd say this would be really suspicious, but looking at it as a vote made in a hurry I'd think it not that suspicious. Ozban wavers between interpretations (the possibility vs. Pitchie looking good & Nerwen more likely dream). Votes Pitche (2) as it would be too stupid to let him get away. Otherwise quite good, but I do wonder how come he earlier stressed the fact that a) Nerwen was the more likely dream to him, and b) Pitchie looked so good - and still ended up with voting Pitchie. Some risen eyebrows here. wilwa says an innocent Nerwen looks more likely. After a pause comes and asks is someone really thinking we should gamble on Pitchie: the possibility of a dreamt wolf is enough to lynch him. Cut the crap and check Pitch. Votes Pitch (3) Interesting change of mood there from early Day to late one - but is logical and considerate on everything else... Hard to say, but my guts say more innocent than not. Inzil only comments on the possibilities. Is careful of possibilities, thinks Pitchwolf is a “strong possibility”. Wonders about Greenie’s vote: if Pitch turns out a wolf we should look at Greenie. There’s only one way of being sure with Pitch… Votes Pitchie (4) Well he's careful indeed - and if you were looking for a careful wolf Zil might be our guy? Skip seems to be on the map, but puts it in the tone of “maybe it was Pitchie?” Wants to see alternatives. Votes Legate (1) Interesting choice... It really does stand out - would a wolf want to do that only not to be seen as someone with innocent blood in his hands? If Lottie is a wolf it might make sense, but I'm not that confident if voting Legate would make sense for a wolf even then... Pitchie understandably votes for Lottie (2) Dead and innocent. Boro was the first to spell out the Shasta – Pitchie –case. Next (after opposite ideas had been entertained he withdraws from it somewhat). Later says he’s leaning towards Pitch. Ponders about the reasonableness of yet another bandwagon of 7… Rejects the idea of competition and votes Pitchie (5) Came up with the scenario quite boldly but then clearly tried to withdraw himself from it's conclusions (I was not making a Pitchie lynch call). Also goes to and fro with the choices in the end but decides finally to go for Pitchie. Hard to say. Maybe a last minute "joining the crowd" move from a wolf. Or a "hands up" (well, let's check it then) from an innocent? In general he looks quite good but... Lottie says if Pitch is the dreamt one, a wolf a packmate would press for Nerwen-dream interpretation. Considers Pitchie as a lynchee on the same level with various others. Stresses the only reason not to trust Pitchie is a possible dream. Would like to see some other options than Pitchie. Suspects Skip but votes Pitchie (6) Among other things she did yesterDay this looks quite bad to me. Like she tried to look calm and gathered, not driving for the Pitch-lynch. Even goes on to suspect Skip in her last post - and then votes Pitchie to blend in to the crowd? Nog goes to and fro with Pitch-scenario: it is tempting but it goes against what Shasta would be as the seer... Doesn't like the idea of yet another 7-vote wagon and finally thinks Lottie a better chance. Votes Lottie (3) Not knowing of the last two votes if I may add. Steve comes in late and discusses things from D1… Evades the Pitch-subject. Votes Lottie (4) As hasty, odd and maddening as he was on D1. I'd really like to hear his promised explanation to his vote - and why does he use his precious few minutes discussing things from D1 in the end of D2 - especially as they seem to have little bearing with what we have at stake there, in the end of D2? Jesus! But I did it! I'm in for a break now, but will be back later.
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
10-10-2010, 11:54 AM | #245 | |||||
Wisest of the Noldor
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I do like your analysis of Legate, though. I'm torn. Quote:
EDIT:X'd since Steve.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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10-10-2010, 12:13 PM | #246 | |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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Will be off for a short bit but should be back soonish. Curious to her from Greenie why she suspects me too...
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10-10-2010, 12:30 PM | #247 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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None of this, of course, means that Zil couldn't be a wolf helpfully explaining the reasons for the kill. They do that sometimes.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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10-10-2010, 12:34 PM | #248 | |||
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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First one thing. As for Glirdy's death, if you take the facts - only the fact we have are enough! - it is only logical: I don't see why people did not see it earlier, I mean, you had all Day and nobody mentioned what seems obvious to me: if Nerwen is innocent, which now after PW turned not to be guilty seems clear, then the WWs know it. Okay? And they know the Ranger protected her. Okay? So they just look who said what about Nerwen the Day before. And I remember how the beginning of the Day was, because I was there: Boro came, and started talking about the options, and saying Pw is the most likely. And then Glirdy came and was pressing really strongly the Nerwen-case. Now, what would one think...
Otherwise, comments about yesterDay and the little bit of toDay, too: I am once again starting to doubt Boro. Largely because of his speculation about the kill the Day before. Even though later he said he didn't really advocate it, he at least mentioned Pitch being dreamed of as the most probable scenario. And if nothing else, that would lead Glirdy-Ranger to state the opposite, since Glirdy would know whom he was protecting: if I am right about my conclusions, innocent Nerwen (whom I now find most likely to be his protectee and thus innocent). And the analysis Boro made yesterDay in #156 seemed just very much interpretative with the addendum that "perhaps wilwa is the Cobbler", which could be even Borowolf himself checking here whether it wasn't supposed to be a Cobbler signal (the phrasing): Quote:
Now wilwa's reply to Boro didn't seem very cobblerish, but her vote was a bit weird (or the explanation of it, in the light of the current events). She really was basically like "let's start the bandwaggon!" I would like to hear more from her, like, what was going through your mind at that moment, wilwa? Can you somehow elaborate or re-explain it? Boro's vote toDay and sometimes his sort of "addendum" to the existing suspicions of other players seem eyebrow-raising, but especially with the vote I am not sure if it is a Wolf-y thing. Unless he is following something by this random voting, if it's his style now or something. I still don't quite trust Lottie based on yesterDay's later responses to me (post 161). It seems to me more like it's just covering the tracks. Quote:
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EDIT: x-ed with Nerwens and skip
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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10-10-2010, 12:40 PM | #249 |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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Okay to spell it out, I felt that this might be an Inzil-wolf trying to make himself look useful but without actually taking the discussion forwards in any productive way. That you are a likely Seer dream should be obvious to all innocents and I don't see the point talking too much about it. In fact, I didn't even see the need to bring it up in the first place, not even when Pitch was still alive, even less so now.
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10-10-2010, 12:41 PM | #250 | |
Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Right here
Posts: 3,928
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As for why I voted Lottie, well, other than Shasta's accusations (which didn't seem Seer-hintish to me anyway), I didn't see any reason to suspect Pitch, and thought that it was far more likely that Shasta had dreamed Nerwen. And more importantly, I thought that if we killed Pitch and found out he was innocent (as was the case), the wolves would go after Nerwen, who was basically a proven innocent, and I was worried because I thought that she was the Ranger. For one thing, I thought that maybe that was why Shasta tried to draw so little attention to his calling Nerwen innocent (by covering it with all the Pitchwife stuff). It's one thing to try not to make it too obvious that someone is an innocent, but if they're a gifted then you need even more care, and that's what I thought was going on. And her first post seemed like it could be a Ranger hint too. And even though I admit that that maybe wasn't solid proof of her being a Ranger, I didn't want to risk. It turned out that the Ranger ended up dead anyway, so I suppose I failed. And also, Lottie seemed (and still does seem) more than a little suspicious. edit: x-ed since the Nog post I quoted and fixed one sentence.
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10-10-2010, 12:41 PM | #251 |
Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Right here
Posts: 3,928
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Also, having gone through, a vote-list:
Night 1 Wolf Kill: None Seer Dream: Unknown. Nerwen as innocent most likely. Day 1 Votes: Lottie ++Shasta [Seer] Shasta [Seer] ++Pitch [Innocent] Legate ++Lottie Inzil ++Shasta [Seer] (2) Glirdy [Ranger] ++Shasta [Seer] (3) Skip ++Shasta [Seer] (4) Pitch [Innocent] ++Shasta [Seer] (5) Boro ++Nerwen Greenie ++Shasta [Seer] (6) Nog ++Shasta [Seer] (7) Ozzy ++Legate Wilwa ++Wilwa Did not vote: Eonwe, Nerwen Night 2 Wolf Kill: None. Ranger save. Again, most likely Nerwen Day 2 Votes: Legate ++Lottie <2> Nerwen ++Pitch [Innocent] Greenie ++Skip Ozzy ++Pitch [Innocent] (2) Wilwa ++Pitch [Innocent] (3) Inzil ++Pitch [Innocent] (4) Skip ++Legate Pitch [Innocent] ++Lottie (2) Boro ++Pitch [Innocent] (5) Lottie ++Pitch [Innocent] (6) Nog ++Lottie (3) Eonwe ++Lottie (4) Did not vote: Glirdy [Ranger] Night 3 Wolf Kill: Glirdy [Ranger] Key: (x) - number of votes <x> - a repeat vote (i.e. number of times the same person has voted for the same person) {x} - A revenge vote (i.e. voting for someone who voted for you) [role] - role Italics - Dead edit: fixed one mistake in votes.
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Last edited by Eönwë; 10-10-2010 at 12:56 PM. |
10-10-2010, 12:44 PM | #252 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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EDIT:X'd since skip.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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10-10-2010, 12:45 PM | #253 | |
Flame Imperishable
Join Date: Dec 2007
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Quote:
edit: fixed quote. Wow. My formatting is terrible toDay.
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Last edited by Eönwë; 10-10-2010 at 01:02 PM. |
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10-10-2010, 12:52 PM | #254 | ||||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Finally got the home-PC open...
Just a short one here. I'll eat and then come back for the rest of the Day... Quote:
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But on another note, after reading your post I'm caught thinking that there is something wrong in this whole episode (including the way I have been thinking about it). I need to think of all this again... Quote:
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
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10-10-2010, 12:54 PM | #255 | ||||||||||||
Leaf-clad Lady
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A Look at Skip
As usual in my analyses, I have not a) mentioned all his posts (eg. clarifications on stuff said before or otherwise stuff I have nothing to comment on) or b) full quotes of all the posts I quote. So, in short, I've gathered here what I found noteworthy in going through Skip's posts.
Day 1 56: Long IC and the following: Quote:
57 (in full): Quote:
82 (in full): Quote:
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Day 2 124 (in full): Quote:
172: Answering a question about why he didn't see Shasta's Pitch-suspicion as a possible sign of Seerism if he considered Lottie's Shasta-suspicion as such. Quote:
192 (in full): Quote:
Day 3 228 (in full; underlining mine): Quote:
He then proceeds to analyse Legate (lost the post numbers, too lazy to check), this being his conclusion: Quote:
236 (in full): Quote:
237 (in full): Quote:
And that's it. The early parts are the things that made me vote Skip yesterDay, only organised. I have to say he hasn't exactly improved since then. Quite the contrary, after looking through his posts he looks even fishier than before. The major things I have against him are a) his easy yet crucially placed bandwagon-vote for Shasta and the easy discarding of any possible suspiciousness therein; b) his pointing out Pitch being a possible dreamed wolf, yet still voting Legate for lynch with rather weaker reasons; and c) his general manner of encouraging others to suspect instead of openly suspecting himself. EDIT: wow, x'ed since Nerwen's 245. This took longer than I thought..
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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10-10-2010, 12:55 PM | #256 | |
Fluttering Enchantment
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So I finished Day 1, I will now take a short break and go through yesterDay and today, and then hopefully have a better feel for everyone. I hadn't been around a lot Day 1, and this was my first chance to go through it a lot, so I noticed some things that had gone right past me, and I think it'll end up changing my opinions on a few people. I for the most part skipped taking notes on the dead, I’m focusing on the living here, and I didn’t concentrate on Nerwen, cause it seems clear she’s innocent, and don’t summarise my own posts or anything that I don’t think is significant. This is not a play by play of everything that was said, just what I think is important. + means I feel good about this post, - means I don't like, = means I’m iffy/neutral. Leg #5: brings up Cobbler, calls the existence of one ‘unusual’, warns about false reveals. Was just stirring discussion. + Inzil #6: we shouldn’t dismiss the Cobbler as a lersser threat, even if identifies + Nog #7: points out seer can dream cobbler, so we shouldn’t be too concerned if they false reveal, we’ll know soon enough if they are lying. stresses that cobbler should not be main target as long as we have wolfy suspects. Cobbler not really threat til later in game. + Leg # 10: a bit long winded, but basically says that if a false reveal happens the legit Gifted should be very discerning about whether or not to step forward = Nog # 11: says: “The wolves will try to be nice and friendly. The innocents will be brutal and openly attacking people (hopefully).” which I find....odd. And I don’t like it, though it does apply to some people, it’s not a rule, and I don’t like that he stated it as such. – Leg # 14: says cobbler should be ‘ignored, ignored, ignored’...meh, I don’t think the cobbler should take precedence over a wolf regarding lynch choices, but I wouldn’t say we should ignore them, they can be a threat in end game. – Inzil #16: says basically that, that they are not our biggest threat, but it’s unwise to ignore them. + Lottie #17: says that same thing again. + (goodness, I had forgotten just how much we talked about the cobbler, that’s surprising) Lottie #26: vague list, of note: “Shasta: Evil wolfykins” then in #29 she brings up how she didn’t like the way he worded his post when he corrected me on the Hunter. She says this though: “Of course, when he's a wolf, I can never tell, so he's probably innocent anyway. Best I've got so far as far as suspicion goes, though.” – Lottie #32: after calling him non-confrontational, calls him aggressive. Says her suspicion is almost solely gut feeling. – Legate #35: points out Lottie-Shasta thing, considers W-on-W, but not really suspicious of either. Another big paragraph about the Cobbler. it’s all just so wishy-washy, back and forth, like he doesn’t want to take a side on anything. – Greenie #39: says this “I find it amusing that people keep saying the wolves are our top priority, and yet the main topic of discussion is the cobbler.” Things perhaps the cobbler himself is helping to carry along the cobbler discussion. Gives a list of the possibilities of Shasta-Lottie, which are basically all of the possibilities: IL-IS, IL-WS, WL-IS or WL-WS. So I like the start of the post, but not the end. = (yay, page 2! *dances*) Nog #42: agrees with me that the Hunter should be quiet and not reveal, at all. + Boro #43: basically reiterates everything that had been said about the Cobbler, and thinks we should look for the Cobbler while also looking for wolves, instead of just one or the other at a time. Says the speech on no stupid lynches (psychic). + Ozban #44: points out strangeness of Greenie’s list (I agree), doesn’t want to make a big deal of Shasta-Legate thing, and says priority should be Wolves, go after Cobbler only if we have a good idea. I really like Ozzy, he must have played a similar game on another board, cause he seems to have skillz. + Leg #45: makes actually a good point of how discussion of anything, even pointless ones about Cobblers, can be useful just for judging people’s reactions. Says Hunter should certainly not reveal, except maybe at end so we have known innocents, but even then probably not (I agree). Was wary of Shasta-Lottie. + Inzil #50: says: “Individually, Lottie and Shasta seem to me to be their usual selves, but the interplay between them could be said to have had a bit of a companionlike feel.” notes Shasta’s odd suspicion of Pitch. + Skip #56: big IC thing, and then wants to hunt wolves. Seems like a bit of a waste of time, considering he says he won’t be around a lot and there were things to talk about, but his IC thing was amusing. = Lottie #57: votes Shasta, admits her suspicion is mostly feeling. = (did this bandwagon seriously start because of a ‘feeling’, hmm) Boro #62: likes Oz and Pitch, neutral about Leg, doesn’t get why Greeni’s scenarios were weird (uhm, because they were a bit obvious, and didn’t seem to accomplish anything). = Leg #63: still talking about the Cobbler – Skip #64: says “green is being captain obvious”, says he’ll vote Shasta for reasons he doesn’t want to disclose. = Greenie #68: seems fine with Lottie, and confused about Shasta’s vote. = Inzil #71: says “Right now, the obvious choices toDay would seem to be Shasta and Lottie. I can't see both being wolves together, and it seems a bit too easy to have a wolf there. I'm going to look at other options, then.” + Greenie #72: list, points out Leggy’s wishy-washy-ness, considers him as Cobbler (wow, that was actually becoming my thought as well). Guesses Lottie innocent, but yet would not be surprised if she’s Wolf with Shasta (later says no, cause of Lottie’s vote). Doesn’t trust Shasta, doesn’t really give much of a reason. Feels good or neutral about everyone else. = Nog #77: mentions his ‘nice-wolfies’ theory again, which I still don’t agree with. – Leg # 78: suspects Lottie more than Shasta, but doesn’t want to lynch her cause she was lynched early last game (votes Lottie two posts later) = (yay, page 3 *dances*) Inzil #81: wants to give Shasta benefit of the doubt, but no one else looks as bad. So he votes him. – Skip # 82: rather see Shasta go over Lottie (later votes him) = Nog #83: says could vote for pitch, Shasta, skip, me or inzil. (last three because he hasn’t formed much opinion on us) (ends up going with Shasta). = Greenie #95: wants to vote Shasta (she does), feels his death could give info next day since most people talked about him, meh – Boro #97: says he’ll go random (ends up choosing Nerwen), since he doesn’t like any of the other options, I actually approve of this + Ozzy #107: votes Leg, says this: “Right now, the obvious choices toDay would seem to be Shasta and Lottie. I can't see both being wolves together, and it seems a bit too easy to have a wolf there. I'm going to look at other options, then.” I approve. + Eonwe #110: doesn’t find Shasta suspicious, doesn’t like Boro’s vote, mentions cobbler discussion, says people seem to be aligning their opinion with the majority, I like this. + There. Oh, and I didn't really proof read this much, so sorry for any spelling/grammar mistakes. Now off to do Day 2. x'ed with greenie, and maybe others, I'll get back to all those posts soon
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Comme une étoile amarante Comme un papillon de nuit C'est la lumičre qui m'attire La flamme qui m'éblouit Fenris Muffin
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10-10-2010, 12:57 PM | #257 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Thought: could his irritation at this be that of a wolf who knows perfectly well why they killed Glirdan, thank you very much, and so can't understand why we're even bothering to talk about it? It wouldn't be the first time wolves have failed to take into account the gap between what they know and what the villagers do. That said, I'm not all that inclined to trust Zil, either. EDIT:X'd since Steve.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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10-10-2010, 01:03 PM | #258 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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A short and basic list of what I feel about people right now:
NOT CONCERNED ABOUT Nerwen - I think she is the dreamed innocent. We will most likely see after toNight, anyway! Greenie - I have really no reading about her at all, but nothing suspicious at least. Nog - I tend to think he is an innocent totally out of his mind. Because he sounds like a genuine Nogrod who catches on totally wrong things (like his suspicion of me) and gets a sort of tunnel vision and does not let go... UNSURE ABOUT Ozban - some of his posts seem like genuinely innocent newbie thinking (like the one thing Nog corrected about Eönwë seeming innocent because of his vote), but at times I am just worried whether he is not making one huuuuge bluff. I'd just need to sense his true motives a bit better. Skip - some of his posts have genuine feel to them, some less... Wilwa - I don't know, she generally has innocent-looking posts and then she has some more guilty-looking stuff and I don't know... Steve - there is still rather little from him. He does not seem worrying to me generally, this far, but I want to see more from him... he's similar to Greenie, simply she's been just around a bit longer, and I can get a better read of her (which is still nothing much, but at least makes me feel a bit like something about her, whereas about him, I can't say anything) Inzil - bleagh. You know what, he is a bit unreadable. If I was to say names of three Wolves right now, then after Boro and Lottie he would be my third, but it's really nothing specific now. SUSPICIOUS ABOUT Boro - a bit. See my post above. Lottie - see also above. Quote:
EDIT: x-ed with wilwa and Nerwen.
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories Last edited by Legate of Amon Lanc; 10-10-2010 at 01:08 PM. |
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10-10-2010, 01:04 PM | #259 | |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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Hm. List of people I'd consider voting: Lottie - Not liking her from Day One, and not liking her vote on me. I was one of the people to get a vote yesterDay and her vote on me toDay seems like an opportunistic way of starting another bandwagon to lynch an innocent. Would hate to see her lynched if she turns out innocent though, which is certainly a possibility. Legate - Not a likely fellow of Lottie. I'm torn about him, but leaning towards guilty. Inziladun - As I said, he seems very very careful. And the wolves have had little reason to take chances so far, it seems. Would also consider Green or Steve considering what's come up lately, but we'll see about that.
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10-10-2010, 01:10 PM | #260 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
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wilwa's explanation seems fair enough to me, sort of calms my feeling about her now. And btw a note to my list, I just realised I really wrote very little there... planned to write more into the mid-section especially, but like I said, it's really "short" overview... more like on making it clear for myself. (And it can serve you for easy orientation also when you read it if I am dead later and you are reviewing my posts, so that you can see what I thought of whom.)
EDIT: x-ed with skippy.
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
10-10-2010, 01:16 PM | #261 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Skip, since you seem to be around: why did you vote Legate instead of Pitch yesterDay even though you had pointed Pitch out as a possible Seer-dreamed wolf?
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10-10-2010, 01:23 PM | #262 | ||
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
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Well, Greenie, your points against me are terribly subjective and vague on the whole. It's sounds like you'd already made up your mind about the outcome of your analysis before even getting started. I mean, these are just a few examples of your "arguments":
Quote:
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Edit: xed with Legate and Greenie whose question I've already answered.
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10-10-2010, 01:29 PM | #263 |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
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So, what's the vote-tally?
Okay, lazy I know; Lottie -> skip Boro -> Eonwe That's it? :O
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"You can always come back, but you can't come back all the way" ~ Bob Dylan Last edited by skip spence; 10-10-2010 at 01:32 PM. |
10-10-2010, 01:30 PM | #264 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Hmmn. At the moment the problem for me is that everyone I suspect also suspects each other, whch makes it sort of hard to untangle...
I think I will vote ++Skip Though bear in mind that Lottie has already voted him. and she's quite the dubious character herself. Let's not have everyone pile on one person again, shall we? I regret that I haven't been able to be around more on what I assume will be my last Day– I mean the wolves would be crazy not to come after me now– but that's how things fell out. Good luck! EDIT:X'd with Skip
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10-10-2010, 01:34 PM | #265 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Okay, back in the game with belly full...
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Okay, 'nuff of that. I need to try and re-organise my thoughts.
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10-10-2010, 01:35 PM | #266 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
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A few notes still before the voting fray begins...
I have been looking at the list of votes people cast in both Days (thanks, Steve!!) and also noticed one thing - it's a question I am placing in front of the villagers, because I don't know an answer to it, myself: Day 1, as we all know, was a basically all-over bandwaggon for Shasta. Only a few have voted otherwise, and one of them was Boro, who voted Nerwen. If I am right - as I assume that Nerwen is innocent, because of Seer's dream being probably her and also Glirdy talking about her the way he did - then Nerwen was in fact supposed to die that Night. So, what does that say about Boro? Would he be a Wolf? Imagining his thinking now if he was one: "We want to attack Nerwen toNight. I voted Nerwen today." What is between these two sentences? A worried "but"? Or "because"? Or "who cares"? Like, how would a Borowolf think? And related to this, would he do this, then? Because if Boro wouldn't do something like that (a thing I would think default for most Wolves, but maybe they had better arguments for otherwise), then it would make it more likely that he's innocent... (I hope you are able to follow what I have in mind in this one.)
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
10-10-2010, 01:36 PM | #267 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Tally:
Lottie --> Skip Boro --> Eönwë Nerwen --> Skip 2 So I just put you in the lead, Skip. Really not sure about you, though.
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10-10-2010, 01:38 PM | #268 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
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Okay, in that case I have probably misread it too. Although it seemed to me that your point in the post was very largely about these three being in the suspicious place as in contrary to some people in the 7th or whatever place, something you've been kind of dementing by pointing out that it was these three, and not the 7th votes, who were suspicious... but okay, whatever, let's forget it...
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
10-10-2010, 01:39 PM | #269 |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
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Ouch Nerwen, did not expect that!
Now maybe it's time after all to try Lottie. Actually, I'd be fine with Steve too - and yes, saving myslef is part of my reasoning. He's a submarine more or less but has done nothing to make me feel good about him
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10-10-2010, 01:40 PM | #270 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Gah, between sleep and RL this is the first chance I've had to look at this in quite a while. *hurries to try and catch up*
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10-10-2010, 01:44 PM | #271 |
Haunting Spirit
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This is called Silence before the storm...
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10-10-2010, 01:44 PM | #272 | ||
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
Quote:
EDIT: x-ed since Legate 180 - no sorry, 266
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10-10-2010, 01:45 PM | #273 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Skip and Lottie come to my mind first.
Skip: I just can't believe the Shasta-wagon was totally innocent-built (well it could be, but really). Also I think Greenie had a few points of which especially the one that Skip said toDay that Legate is beginning to look suspiciopus - while he himself thought him the most suspicious yesterDay as much as to vote him instead of Pitchie or any other "argued for" candidate... So the short memory of the one who needs to lie? Lottie: her explanation that she tried to pull out a seer-impression on D1 looks pretty dubious. Also her vote yesterDay for Pitchie while first driving for other solutions - and in the votepost suspecting Skip the most... Others... well, a moment.
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10-10-2010, 01:46 PM | #274 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Funny. I am beginning to toy with the idea to join the bandwaggon for skip. I mean, look! Everybody had the possibility to have fun by joining some bandwaggon already, now I finally have the chance too, why not to use it? Okay, such things should not be joked about after the last two Days, but...
The point is basically, otherwise I could vote Lottie again (I don't feel so strongly about Boro yet and anyway, I am not sure if there would be a chance to lynch him). I still think she is guilty and that hasn't changed - of all people, I have the most sound suspicion for her. But if there was no way to lynch her and the main decision of toDay was between somebody else, then I could vote skip. He is one of the half-suspects of mine, and I have been thinking about many things Greenie pointed out against him - I could agree with much of it. The problem is more like that still some of his posts seemed more genuine to me. His last explanation about his yesterDay's vote didn't seem as good to me. I will probably wait and see... or what, are other people considering Lottie? Anybody? EDIT: x-ed since my last
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
10-10-2010, 01:47 PM | #275 |
Flame Imperishable
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Well, a few thoughts:
Positive: Nerwen- Willing to accept her as innocent for now. Wilwa- Seems genuine, and I seem to agree with quite a lot she has to say. Legate- Looks much better in my eyes after his last post. He raises some interesting points and . On the other hand, he could be a wolf giving away some of last Night's thoughts in order to make himself look good, though this seems less likely to me. Nogrod- He's finally gone back to normal-Nogrod-mode, so I feel better about him now. Not sure: Ozzy- Well, he seems generally alright, but I can't get a read on him at all. Worried about: Lottie- I found her very suspicious yesterDay, but now I'm not so sure. I need to reread her posts to see why I found her so evil. Skip- Worries me. Sometimes he seems so innocent, while at others he seems almost certainly evil. Inzil- Slippery, and more than usual. He makes sense, but he just worries me. Boro- Not acting how I remember innocent-Boro. And more importantly, how is he third on the post count when nothing he's said has really stood out. edit: x-ed since Wilwa's long post.
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10-10-2010, 01:49 PM | #276 | |
shadow of a doubt
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Quote:
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10-10-2010, 01:50 PM | #277 | |
Haunting Spirit
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Quote:
I have other options though, especially you!
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10-10-2010, 01:52 PM | #278 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Too late to make any big posts trying to consider everyone... But you can find my thoughts from the megapost I did earlier toDay.
So I'd be inclined to vote for Skip or Lottie - for the reasons stated in my earlier post.
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10-10-2010, 01:54 PM | #279 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
++ Skip For reasons, check the analysis post.
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10-10-2010, 01:54 PM | #280 |
Haunting Spirit
Join Date: Sep 2009
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+ + Legate
Can't help myself, but to find him treacherous. I have repeated my reasons several times. So I'll refrain from doing it again.
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