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04-05-2007, 10:51 AM | #161 |
Pilgrim Soul
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Blimey, clearly I should have read the admin thread at lunchtime!!!!
Rather annoying to be described as stalling when one has made a huge effort to participate even for 20 minutes 4-5 hours earlier than wouldhave been otherwise possible...... Idle wolves ..... does anyone really think for a second that I would have missed a kill? I was online yesterday til nearly the deadline thought I am not sure I posted enough to prove it.
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04-05-2007, 11:27 AM | #162 | |
Reflection of Darkness
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Nogrod, you wrote earlier:
Quote:
The thing is, Nogrod seemed so against making arguments and decisions based on what happened last Night. Now that Roa has brought it up, he seems a little too eager to jump on Gil for the same reasons. This makes me a bit uneasy. So, perhaps we could go on analyzing who the wolf may be based on last Night's events, but I don't think that'll get us anywhere. Alright, maybe some could be more likely to let a kill go than others, but honestly, would any wolf really want that to happen, especially after a Day One lynching of their mate? I think the most likely explanation for what happened is that something came up in RL for at least one of the wolves that was unavoidable and there was a misunderstanding between the two on who was submitting the kill. I'm not sure...but it's not something we will know until the game is over. But I think lynching someone only based on this is very weak. I still don't understand this bandwagon against Lommy. Perhaps I am being blindly misled, but for now I have to agree with Sixth and say her posts seem fairly honest and trustful to me. I don't know...all this mistrust towards her is rather confusing to me. If she is still alive tomorrow, I suppose I'll start examining her more closely...maybe there is something I'm just not seeing. On tgwbs, I really have no idea whether he is innocent or not...certainly there are plenty who seem to think the latter. While I don't agree with his suspicions on Lommy and Roa, he doesn't really give off a wolfish vibe for me. As of the moment, I feel rather hesitant to vote for tgwbs. Okay, this is how I'm seeing things right now: Most Likely Innocent: Sixth Wizard Possibly Innocent: Lommy Macalaure Legate Unsure: Roa tgwbs xyzzy Rikae Slightly Suspicious: Gil-Galad Suspicious: Mithalwen Nogrod
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04-05-2007, 11:28 AM | #163 | ||
Fading Fëanorion
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Lommy's posts yesterDay have been talked of enough, so here's what she said today. She has very limited time, let's see how she spent it.
First She comments about people being snappy and edgy, when at the same time we are doing fine. I already said how suspicious I find this. Her comment about the non-kill is classically lommyish, but does not really further our cause. Second She says a cunning and bold wolf might have voted like Six did. Doesn't this imply that a cunning and bold wolf would have voted the way Lommy herself voted, too? Yet she said the things I said about her made her raise an eyebrow (without explanation why). If I'm oversimplifying things, then at least I'm not aware of this. Quote:
She's suspicious of tgwbs and will look at him closer. There's also some good advice for Six and some joking. All nice, but isn't time pressing us? Third Brinniel - innocent: agreement here Gil - again, says she likes his way, but immediately talks about lynching him again, even though she says she doesn't want to. I'm sorry, but this leaves a sneaky impression with me. Legate - funny, yes, but I have no idea how she got there. Me - hasty and edgy? I don't know about hasty, but I'm sure I've been more edgy in some past games. Mith - puts her in the middle zone, but somehow this one feels really sneaky Nogrod - she made up her mind about Roa's analysis and apparently decided to dismiss it. Rikae - nothing Roa - she decided not to like Roa's analysis, that's ok. She still believes Roa to be innocent, that's ok, too. tgwbs - bad case against her, deliberately misunderstanding Roa, Roa makes good points against him: this is all not inherently suspicious, but, lacking a better word right now, hasty. Six - innocentish, but unsure: this is interpretable in both ways Xyzzy - nothing, of course Her conclusion: tgwbs or me, maybe Mith or Legate Fourth She votes tgwbs for his bad case against her. Just because it's not unexpected now, it doesn't mean it's not retaliation. Quote:
Well, Lommy's posts today do not cry wolf, but also aren't model-innocentish by far. I did not encounter one thing that made me feel more easy about her than before. If she is evil, then her behaviour fits seamlessly. If I had a better suspect today, I would go with that one, but I don't. Unless something strange happens, I will vote Lommy today. This makes three votes for Lommy now. I'm really interested in seeing what rivaling bandwaggon will appear against Lommy's. PS: I suggest that those who spill the milk shall have to drink it. edit: crossed with Brinn |
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04-05-2007, 11:43 AM | #164 |
Pilgrim Soul
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Just registered this Post 37
We don't know if we have a ranger though, so if we go a night with out a kill, we cannot assume that a person was protected. Roa
So no kill means that the wolves just decided not to kill anybody? Why not come to the sensible conclusion that no kill = ranger? Why is she trying to make us doubt even this? TGWBS Maybe we have very cunning wolves rather than idle ones... but Brinniel, that isn't a confession..... Is it coincidence, TGWBS trying to frame Roa, or Roa bluffing....? I need to go through everything... but if anyone else is inclined ot give their opinion I woul dbe interested.
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04-05-2007, 11:49 AM | #165 |
Reflection of Darkness
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As of now, the official voting count looks like this:
tgwbs: 2 Mithalwen: 1 Gil-Galad: 1 Lommy: 1 Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong... Five votes down, seven to go... I have to run to class right now, but I will be back around an hour before deadline, which should give me enough time to vote.
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04-05-2007, 11:59 AM | #166 | |
Fading Fëanorion
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Quote:
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04-05-2007, 12:05 PM | #167 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Quote:
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04-05-2007, 12:12 PM | #168 |
Pilgrim Soul
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I doubt he would have actually stated that he had decided not to kill anyone in those circumstances. But that doesn't mean that there isn't a cursed of course....
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04-05-2007, 12:13 PM | #169 | ||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Okay. Here's what I have for Gil-Galad
D1 #5 Two line nonsense. #31 Suspects Lommy for “defending” Roa. Speculates whether they could be our gifteds. Ends up suspecting them both. A weird post I must say. #38 Votes for Lommy #62 Comes back to state his point that if Lommy is a wolf then Roa and The Sixth might be as well and if she is innocent then the two would be innocent as well. D2 #120 His longest post in ww-history as he said it. And it’s just so weird... First he lists the votes from D1 and says that those who voted for Glirdy tend to be innocent (which is not true or at least anything obvious). He notes that Brinn and Mith voted somewhat strangely. Then comes this I don’t know what to say about: Quote:
Then his list: Quote:
#122 Answers Roa by a counter-attack. Doesn’t think people should be “compassionate” towards newbies. Suggests that if Roa defends The Sixth she might be a wolf defending her mate. #150 Votes for Mith because Mith tried to cover for Glirdy with her vote on Day1. Which I find an interesting interpretation. Wonders about Lommy defending Roa and then Roa defending Lommy. Thinks tgwbs innocent. #156 Defends himself against Roa again, quite concernedly. Thinks Lommy and Roa have a tag-team against him, feels cornered by everyone (accuses Roa and Lommy about it). So what to say of this? I think most of his stated reasons to suspect this or that player are quite bad. But it's hard to read him in the first place. He really manages to puzzle me. I had some preliminary ideas about him and Lommy being two wolves but I think I need to drop that idea. His insistence on suspecting (and voting) Lommy is not something I'd expect from a lupine Gil - from some others I might expect it though. The only thing that raises my eyebrows with some real concern is his unexpected activity in this game. It's a good thing, no doubt about that. It just makes me wonder a bit. I'm less convinced of his lupinity at the moment but would not free him from suspicion either. Something on Lommy in a minute... EDIT: X'd with many...
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04-05-2007, 12:26 PM | #170 | |||
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I happily noted that Mac had done Lommy for toDay so I can spare myself from writing everything down.
So here's what I have on Lommy D1. #15 Cool post, defending Roa and Rikae slightly and suspecting Glirdy with reservations. Especially this caught my attention: Quote:
#17 Makes the case against Glirdy more open: Quote:
Quote:
Summa summarum. It's pretty easy to construct two interpretations on Lommy here. In the one she's the reasonable and caring villager who tries to remember every time the best of the village, is careful (to the point of waffling? ) and calm. In the other she's the cunning wolf who exploits her RL-hindrances to the fullest and wears the mask of a reasonable person with little time on her hands. I wouldn't be surprised by either one. She could pull out the tricksery stuff but she could as well be innocent. I need to find better candidates...
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04-05-2007, 12:32 PM | #171 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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triple posting...
And just two small points before I take a short break (I'll be back soon).
Reading Glirdy on the way of looking Lommy and Gil brought these two things forwards... Glirdy's way of raising suspicions on Roa in #8 speaks to the favour of Roa being innocent. In #20 he first suspects Lommy and then eats that suspicion and goes for The Sixth. I don't know if this clears The Sixth but I think it's one more small thing that makes me think him innocent. What about Lommy then? If there were reasons to suspect her of wolvery this might add to them but if not... I'm not sure. Just thought it would be good to remind you of these two things.
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04-05-2007, 01:36 PM | #172 |
Pilgrim Soul
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I am probably being dim but I can't quite see why Lommy is drawing so much suspicion.
I am slo still uneasy about Brinniel's saying she had promised not to vote for Glirdan yesterday then backtracking today to say he was second choice for a vote. Those statements don't square to me but I may be biased becasue she is trying to make a case against me ..however the reasoning for my (allegedly) throwaway vote still stands....... Legate makes me uneasy too... I think last's endgame is significant but need to take another look.
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04-05-2007, 02:00 PM | #173 | ||||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Okay. I will not repeat all the things said on / by tgwbs yesterDay. I just sum up some of the things that bothered me with him yesterDay.
His bogus case on Lommy and insistence to stick with it. His stated view that we should not use our time discussing the gifteds and his actions of doing mainly that (and thence making it harder to have any other discussion). All this “trying to look helpful without being helpful” –stuff. It’s all too easy way to throw accusations around when there is no substance. Admittedly he has made quite a row about the possible substance with Roa after these events... As Rikae and Macalaure pointed out he also said this: Quote:
And most importantly his voting which nicely brought Lommy level with a known wolf. Also it felt like a detached vote: an innocent villager would not be ready to vote for a cabable player (and bring her level to share the lead) early in the game with that bad reasons tgwbs presented at the time. Also I got the same vibes from him the last time and he turned out a wolf then. Then something from toDay. #142 There is this “anti-waffling” of him... I mean his continued insistence on the interpretation on Lommy’s vote for Glirdy Quote:
#143 This has all the good reasoning behind it: Quote:
#147 He still only includes interpretations that back his idea of Lommy and Roa being wolves. I don't deny the possibility, not at all, but a decent villager would note that there are other ways of interpreting things that are equally reasonable. In general I’ll leave the row between tgwbs and Roa be. I see no reason to dwell in it now. But this argument against Roa in #155 needs to be restated just for fun: Quote:
So what to say about all this? I have all the reasons to suspect tgwbs. More than others at this point I think. But I must admit that I waver again (even waffle? ). It may be just the differences in style or approach too... unlike tgwbs I can’t say I’m sure.
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04-05-2007, 02:03 PM | #174 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Btw. Brinniel, I saw this as I reread the posts.
Quote:
Where is everyone? An hour left!
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04-05-2007, 02:04 PM | #175 |
Pilgrim Soul
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The only thing I would mention is the point I made about him saying that the wolves forgoing a kill was ridiculous.... if TGWBS is a wolf he has missed a kill.... would he do that to prove a point he had made himself....
But you are right about me not being a wolf Noggie...
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
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04-05-2007, 02:16 PM | #176 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
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04-05-2007, 02:18 PM | #177 | |
Fading Fëanorion
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Quote:
I was referring to Mith, who was referring to Roa's and tgwbs's general point about being able to count with a ranger if there's no kill in one night. If there is nothing special, as there was tonight, Roa is right here, because of the possible existance of a Cursed. |
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04-05-2007, 02:19 PM | #178 | |
Reflection of Darkness
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Quote:
Ugh...I feel like I'm rambling. I hope that made sense.
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04-05-2007, 02:22 PM | #179 | |
Pilgrim Soul
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Quote:
And he didn't post elsewhere on the downs yesterday... hmmm
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04-05-2007, 02:26 PM | #180 |
Fading Fëanorion
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Don't get me wrong, but I think all this speculation about who might have missed to send the kill to Menel and who might not is really low-level Werewolf...
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04-05-2007, 02:28 PM | #181 | ||
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Quote:
Quote:
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04-05-2007, 02:28 PM | #182 | |
Pilgrim Soul
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Not really.... since if I were a wolf I would not do something so conspicuous.... and I since you are suspicious it would not have been such a good plan to make myself look innocent would it? And Xyzzy has not been proved innocent..... In fact on the surface, you would have to say if there were 2 wolves remaining and they failed (rather than designed) to demand a kill... then Xyzzy and Gil would probably be the 2 most likely too.. however there may be extreme RL circs that made a less likely player miss it.....
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04-05-2007, 02:30 PM | #183 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
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04-05-2007, 02:33 PM | #184 | |
Reflection of Darkness
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Quote:
Half an hour left... Where are Legate, Gil, and Rikae? I'm assuming xyzzy won't be voting again... Well, whether the posting speeds up or not, I think I'll vote very soon. I feel pretty confident in who I want to vote for, unless something dramatically changes... EDIT: X-ed with a lot of people. There you are Legate...
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04-05-2007, 02:35 PM | #185 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
But any ideas you people? Everyone is just waiting, but waiting for what?
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04-05-2007, 02:35 PM | #186 | |
Pilgrim Soul
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Quote:
And I personally I always have a quick check at recent posting if someone claims RL has prevented them posting much. It is not fool proof but gives a hint as to the degree of economy with the actualite....
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04-05-2007, 02:35 PM | #187 |
Fading Fëanorion
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Let's fix it:
++Thinlómien |
04-05-2007, 02:36 PM | #188 |
Pilgrim Soul
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Who blinks first of course ...
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04-05-2007, 02:40 PM | #189 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
I'm inclined to vote for tgwbs as I can't see better candidates. What say you?
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04-05-2007, 02:41 PM | #190 |
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I'm inclined to vote for TGWBS or Brinniel.
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04-05-2007, 02:42 PM | #191 |
Fading Fëanorion
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Can I persuade anybody to vote Lommy?
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04-05-2007, 02:44 PM | #192 |
Pilgrim Soul
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Joke..Nogrod....?
OK I knowI am innocent and don't want to get lynched. I have a suspicion that TGWBS may be gifted not a wolf but could be sooooooooo wrong..... I still don't understand why Lommy is so suspected .... Brinniel and Gil are definitely misguided and one of them may well be a wolf. Both would be unlikely. Legate makes me very uneasy but not exactly sure why..may be a memory of gettin git so wrong last game...
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“But Finrod walks with Finarfin his father beneath the trees in Eldamar.”
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04-05-2007, 02:45 PM | #193 | ||
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Quote:
Quote:
On a more gaming note - so far I have seen nothing here to change my opinion on my vote. I hope we won't see some wolfstream in the last moment. I am going to wait yet, so the last minute rumble makes sense, but Lommy it is for me.
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04-05-2007, 02:45 PM | #194 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
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04-05-2007, 02:46 PM | #195 |
Reflection of Darkness
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Looking at the voting tallies, I'm not going to spread it out and make the mistake of another throwaway vote...
Nogrod still remains suspicious to me, though I'm also thinking that if we have a cobbler on our hands, he could quite possibly be it. I'll leave him alone for toDay. I'm still not convinced Lommy is a wolf...I think she's more innocent than anything. I'm also not convinced about tgwbs either. I think he's more suspicious than Lommy, but I don't want to vote for him. I still find Gil a little suspicious, but I don't yet have enough evidence to make a strong case against him. So, I will let him off the hook...for toDay at least. For reasons and theories I've already stated, Mithalwen has remained at the top of my suspicion list for sometime. With that said... ++Mithalwen Hopefully, I won't be so far off as I was yesterDay... EDIT: X-ed with last six posts
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04-05-2007, 02:48 PM | #196 | |
Fading Fëanorion
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Quote:
Today, it's more a general 'aura' of... dishonesty. Many things she said just feel wrong (check my analysis) |
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04-05-2007, 02:49 PM | #197 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
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04-05-2007, 02:50 PM | #198 |
Pilgrim Soul
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Oh why not vote me since I am clearly so unsporting? But I think you are being hopelessly naive and unrealistic.... everyone refers to other games .... what is so wrong to check up as far as one can if people are being honest about their time for participation .... I mean I understand RL..I just take it with a pinch of salt if I see someone has posted a ton elsewhere the downs....
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04-05-2007, 02:51 PM | #199 | |
Pilgrim Soul
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Quote:
You are .... you are.....
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04-05-2007, 02:52 PM | #200 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Lommy > tgwbs
The Sixth > tgwbs Gil > Mith Roa > Gil Tgwbs > Lommy (tgwbs2, Mith1, Gil1, Lommy1) Mac > Lommy (tgwbs2, Mith1, Gil1, Lommy2) Brinn > Mith (tgwbs2, Mith2, Gil1, Lommy2) Not voted: Mith, Legate, Rikae, Xyzzy, Nogrod
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