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#161 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Okay. In what will no doubt seem a complete about-face, I am going to state that this time I do think Lottie was probably killed as a suspected “Seer”. I believe what I said yesterDay was misunderstood: I don’t mean wolves don’t *want* to get the Seer on Night Two, but in practice they often haven’t much of a clue at that point, while by Night Three they can usually make a much better guess.
Lottiealysis to follow. EDIT: X’d with Kit.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#162 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#163 | |
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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Quote:
I am just a hot mess this game.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#164 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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D1 votes:
Greenie-innocent --> Sally (1) Legate-innocent --> Boro (1) Lommy --> Sally (2) Nog --> Kitanna (1) Boro --> Lommy (1) Lottie-innocent --> Legate-innocent (1) Cop --> Legate-innocent (2) Nerwen --> Kitanna (2) Kitanna --> Legate-innocent (3) Sally --> Legate-innocent (4) Non-voters: Kath, Shasta D2 votes: Cop --> Sally (1) Boro --> Lottie-innocent (1) Kath --> Kitanna (1) Lommy --> Sally (2) Nog-innocent --> Sally (3) Kitanna --> Nog-innocent (1) Lottie-innocent --> Nog-innocent (2) Shasta --> Kitanna (2) Sally --> Nog-innocent (3) Nerwen --> Nog-innocent (4) (late) Non-voters: nobody. Right, I'll start by looking at just the votes without context, then I'll go and read what happened yesterDay in more detail. The pattern of the days has gone similarly, with a cluster of scattered first votes within which Sally is the only one to get a second vote at first, at the tail end of which a single vote is cast for the person who will eventually get lynched, followed by a second vote for that person and a second vote for Kitanna, then two more votes for the person who gets lynched. On Day 1, the one who cast the vote that got Legate lynched was Kitanna, and at the time she was in danger from a three way tie between her, Sally and Legate. To save herself, she had to break the tie, and chose Legate over Sally. On Day 2, the one who cast the vote that got Nog lynched was Sally. To attempt to save herself by creating a tie, her options were Kitanna and Nog, and she chose Nog over Kitanna. The only person who has voted for the same person twice was Lommy. So the overall pattern has been so similar on both days that unless Sally and Kitanna are both wolves, which at a guess is unlikely, I'm not sure what can be learned from it divorced of context. It would be interesting to look back over some past games to see if the same pattern gets repeated often. And...I see as I write this that Kitanna's just revealed as a possible Maniac. Edit: crossed since Nerwen at #162. |
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#165 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#166 | |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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#167 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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It's entirely possible that I missed something, but I was under the impression that the Maniac didn't know they were the Maniac. Am I wrong here?
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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#168 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
In other news, I should have said we’re now 6:3, not 5:3– I was leaving myself out and thinking there were only eight players left. But it would still make it 4:3 toNight if Maniac Kit were to take any innocent with her, and certain defeat if that innocent were the Ranger. Those aren’t great odds. EDIT: No, we’re 5:3, and there are only eight players– I’d been looking at the Day 3 list instead of Night 3. So back to: *any* innocent killed is fatal.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 06-05-2014 at 04:28 AM. |
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#169 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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The Kit Situation
We are now 5:3. 1. Kit is a wolf and we lynch her. We will be 5:2 toNight. The real Maniac and Ranger will be still alive. 1. a.) The Ranger makes a save toNight. We are still 5:2 toMorrow. 1. b.) The Ranger fails the save. We are 4:2 toMorrow. 1. c.) The real Maniac (having kept quiet) is Night-killed, taking down a wolf. We are 4:1 toMorrow. 2. Kit is the Maniac and we lynch her. 1. a) She takes down a wolf. We are 4:2 toNight. 1. b) She takes down an innocent. We are 3:3 toNight, thus dead. EDIT:fixed numbers.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 06-05-2014 at 04:23 AM. |
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#170 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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I believe Kitanna. Unless there is a counter-reveal, it makes sense to assume she's telling the truth. Even if she was a wolf, there would be two more wolves out there for us to lynch toDay. We should absolutely NOT lynch a person who is very likely to be a maniac because that can have catastrophic consequences.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#171 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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I've looked back through the first two Days, and Kitanna's not one of the people who said they didn't know whether the Maniac was aware of their role or not (Nerwen day 1, Shasta day 3). She didn't make the mistake of thinking the role's kills were totally random (Sally day 1). It's more likely than not that the Maniac would have carefully read their role even if they didn't ask Inzil for clarification about the role's alignment. So I don't think Kitanna's claim is inconsistent with her being the Maniac.
A genuine innocent in danger would have much more reason to come forward as the Maniac toDay than a wolf in danger would to fake reveal. If Kitanna is the Maniac as she says, then if she thought she was in serious danger she would have no choice but to reveal like this, given that if there's a bad lynch toDay, we're sunk unless the Ranger makes a save in the Night or the Maniac is Night killed. Although...judging by the contents of her posts toDay, it seems she didn't realise this? So if she's the Maniac, she didn't factor that in. Still, even revealed, a Maniac is a big asset. But if Kitanna's a wolf, she's got much less reason to come forward like this even if she thinks she's in a lot of danger. And since she said she had to leave for the night after her post, that would explain why she made the post ASAP rather than waiting until later. Her suggestion that if she isn't believed everyone should vote for her is bizarre, but I can't see what benefit she would get out of it either as an innocent or as a wolf. I don't know if we should treat Kitanna as innocent for certain, but she's at least someone who shouldn't be lynched toDay on the information we currently have. The risk that she's telling the truth is too high. |
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#172 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Ugh! Scratch what I just said– we *are* 5:3! I was looking at the wrong post before. (That’s what I get for trying to work and play WW simultaneously.)
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#173 | ||
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
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Anyway, I said I was going to do that Lottialysis. I had a whole lot of things come up, but maybe I can find time now.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#174 | |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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Quote:
If Kitanna is really the Maniac, and she gets lynched the way she initially suggested, she's more likely to hit an innocent than a wolf. The odds aren't quite as awful as I thought at first glance, but it's still not a good idea. Not many people have shown up yet toDay, so there's still the possibility of there being a counter-reveal from the real Maniac if Kitanna's a wolf. |
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#175 |
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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I was a lynch candidate D1 and D2. I was wrong about Legate. I was wrong about Nog. After that I was unlikely to be mistaken as the seer and killed in the night. It would be easy for the wolves to get me lynched today. I'd say I was in adequate danger.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#176 | ||||||
Wisest of the Noldor
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Lottie, Day One
#7. Banter. #64. Opposes Lommy's suggestion that the Maniac reveal. Finds Greenie's vote “more innocent than not”. Lommy also seems innocent, Legate seems a little suspicious “for no real reason”. Nog seems “mostly fine”. Joking requests that some say something incriminating. #79. Vote-post (Legate 1) Quote:
Nothing much there otherwise– she only mentioned one still-living person (Lommy), and only in passing. Lottie, Day Two #103. Doubts the wolves thought Greenie was the Seer (theory already put forward by Coppermirror at #97 and Lommy at #98); believes she was instead chosen as a safe kill. #134. Flags Kath's vote-post/suspicion list at #128. Quote:
#138. Makes a list. Quote:
After this, she becomes very active in the “Seer-Greenie” debate. #145. Quote:
#146. Emphatically disagrees with Nogrod (who at #147 suggests the kill implicates Sally Quote:
#151. (Replying to Nog at #149, #112.) Quote:
#152. Makes a tally. And that’s it. Self-evidently, she was wrong about Nogrod. But could she have been right about Sally– i.e. could her heated defence of Sally have been taken as evidence that she’d dreamed her (innocent)? Or were we meant to think that (and something on the list is the real reason)? EDIT:formatting.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. Last edited by Nerwen; 06-05-2014 at 05:58 AM. |
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#177 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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I'm on my way to work for the day. I haven't had a chance to read a thing, but I'll do so when I return four hours or so before the DL. *poofs*
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#178 |
Laconic Loreman
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It's going to be another one of those days where I have to vote early...although not as early as the last day.
Thoughts are...I believe Kit's reveal. It's a must to get a wolf today but at least there's still all 3 gifteds to work and I think at this point in the game it is best to have a revealed maniac. It's not ideal but best when we need to get a wolf today.
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Fenris Penguin
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#179 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Before anybody votes (and since I don't know when I will be online toDay), I guess I'm obliged to step in.
I'm the seer. Nerwen is a wolf. Shasta is innocent. Kitanna is indeed the maniac. If you want clues, go back to my very first post. The very first thing I say is "first things first". I have been following that rule and started every Day by mentioning first the person I just dreamt of (Nerwen on Night1, Shasta on Night2 and Kitanna last Night). I even applied this to my list post yeterDay because I was afraid I was being too vague.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#180 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Oh, and, not voting yet in case something unexpected happens (remember guys, the last one to get the most votes dies if there's a tie).
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#181 | |
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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Quote:
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#182 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Quote:
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#183 |
Laconic Loreman
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See as grim as it started there's always payoff when the gifteds aren't lynched and can stay off the wolves radar.
I wish I would have voted for Nerwolf yesterday, but I was only able to base my suspicions off iffy or bad Day 1 votes. Not that it would have made a difference, based on how things went yesterday. My previous post was the first chance I had to get back to the thread since my Day 2 vote. So, I really have no idea who voted for who nor how Nog got lynched. Just glad we can still manage a win, even though it's unfortunate you, Lommy, had to reveal to give us a wolf and get us to stop lynching eachother.
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Fenris Penguin
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#184 |
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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I have twenty minutes before work starts and I'm going to use that time to throw out some theories since I can't reread the thread as I planned.
Sally I find it funny my opinion of Sally is based entirely on what others have said and how they've interacted with her. Sounds like she's pretty busy with RL so her contribution hasn't been much and both her votes have been self-preservation which is something an innocent and a wolf would do, so it's hard to get much from that. So with Sally I feel 90-10 about her guilt. Lottie made a point yesterday about Greenie not really dropping hints in her posts, or at least not concrete hints. To me Greenie's death looked like a frame job to set up Sally. She'd already fallen under some suspicion and if her first voter died, she would look very bad indeed. Also I agree with Nerwen about Lottie's death being because she looked seerish, which makes Sally look very good. There's also Lommy's claim, if she is to be believed, if Sally was a wolf I feel that Lommy would have been killed. Hence the 90% she could well be innocent. The 10% of doubt comes from Greenie's death and the chance it could have been a risk the wolves took and agreed to make Sally a sacrifice. If Greenie was the seer Sally would surely have been lynched yesterday and if she died an ordo (as she did) some would think Sally was framed and some would think Greenie was targeted for voting Sally. Which is how yesterday played out and Sally saved her skin by voting Nog, which again, any player would do. However, Lottie's death makes no sense in this scenario, given how Lottie defended Sally. Lommy As for Lommy. It makes sense she would want to fly under the radar as a seer. Drop a few unspecific hints and vote elsewhere. Her posts/hints need to be looked at, so when my break rolls around I'll take a look. I am surprised she voted Sally both days though. I see her logic (once again flying under the wolf radar), but I can't remember her reasoning yesterday for voting Sally. I know on D1 she said she didn't want to spread the votes out too much and I believe yesterday she was on the same page as Nog with suspects, which is probably why she voted Sally again. So she votes Sally twice, which to the wolves would look like a misguided innocent. But if she is a wolf she could be trying to throw a packmate under the bus to look good or she's trying to destroy an innocent who has garnered a lot of attention. The wolf scenario seems unlikely, seems a bit risky for a D1 vote, less so on D2 though.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain Last edited by Kitanna; 06-05-2014 at 09:27 AM. Reason: bolding some stuff |
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#185 |
Laconic Loreman
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I don't have anymore time to be of more use today. All I can say is even if there are counter reveals to Lommy and Kit I would bet their fake. Based on how the lynches and days have gone, if Lommy and/or Kit were wolves there is no reason or need they would try this scheme to false reveal at the start of the day.
++Nerwen
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#186 | ||||||||||
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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Day 1
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Day 2 Quote:
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These are the selected writings of Lommy. I picked these because they listed her suspects/made mention of her dreams. She was consistent from D1 that Nerwen felt wrong. She was very, very careful in how she accused Nerwen. Lots of gut-feelings and throwing Nerwen's name in with mine or Sally's, but almost never Nerwen alone. ***I bolded this quote because it looks very much to me like Lommy trying to distance herself from having a gifted role. "Look I'm an ordo who plays in such a way to attract attention for being gifted..." All this makes me feel Lommy is most probably not lying. And if she is I will retire from WW having been fooled so thoroughly. ![]()
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain Last edited by Kitanna; 06-05-2014 at 11:38 AM. Reason: fixing *** for clarity |
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#187 | ||
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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So...just me in the village right now?
I don't have as much time to go back right now as I would like, but I'll have more time when my lunch break rolls around in a few hours. So, just some thoughts to break up the silence. Yesterday I said Cop never really committed to any suspects, except for who she votes for. Today she gives us the vote count and some thoughts on the tie-breaking votes that occurred both days Quote:
She questions my reveal most logically though. Which is good I think, given that blind faith can be very alarming and seen easily as a wolf piggy backing on a gifted reveal. Quote:
It doesn't look like Cop has been back since Lommy's reveal. My opinion of Cop remains pretty much the same as yesterday. Somewhat suspicious, but not enough to warrant a vote at this time. We'll see what happens later... Boro is another mystery to me. He's clever, especially as a wolf. Yesterday I said a wolf Boro could want to make a kill that didn't link him to the victim in a seerish way. Greenie didn't really suspect him, so that's a good kill. Lottie I don't think really had an opinion of him either. Boro is also quick to believe both Lommy and I. Wishful thinking of an innocent? Or a piggy backing wolf? He's a crafty one and I've seen him do some pretty astounding things as a wolf. Like Sally though, he is pretty absent due to RL and it makes it harder for me to form a solid opinion since he's not really around. If Lommy is telling the truth Shasta is innocent. And honestly, if she's lying I'd think he was innocent anyway after his vote yesterday. That leaves Kath. We have a pretty busy village as far as RL goes. So her lack of posting doesn't bother me, but she has barely registered on anyone's radar. She's just this submarine, popping in, offering some opinions, voting, and gone. And she missed D1 vote, so we have only D2 vote. On lunch I'll look at her posts for a clue.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#188 | ||||||
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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Kath
Her first post was agreeing with Legate's assessment of the maniac role. And to prove Lommy's prediction wrong. And that's it for D1. D2 her first post was "here and reading." Second post was summing up D1. Her third post analyzes Greenie's posts. Quote:
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She ended up voting me. Also interesting to note is something Lottie said that I missed Quote:
There's not a whole lot to say about Kath otherwise.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#189 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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I have an extremely fragile net connection (first time I've managed to get a connection at all today!) so I am going to vote right now.
As there have been no counter reveals to either Lommy or Kitanna, and I think everyone has now posted, I am happy to believe both. Therefore: ++Nerwen Lommy-Seer says she's a wolf then she's a wolf. If Lommy and Kitanna are actual a wolf pack then I take my hat off to them!
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“If more of us valued food and cheer and song above hoarded gold, it would be a merrier world.” |
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#190 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Nerwen's interactions
(leaving out myself, Kitanna and Shasta, as well as the dead, for obvious reasons)
~*~ Nerwen and Boro Day 1 - Nerwen jokingly points out the rule of three would condemn Boro. Discussion about Nerwen's broken banter link. Day 2 - Boro starts the Day by saying that not only Sally's but also Nerwen's actions before the DL on Day1 look fishy. He mentions her in a voting recap. Then he mentions again that her vote did not sit right with him and that it's unlikely she and Sally are in cahoots. (At this point, I personally found it weird he voted Lottie not Nerwen, because he had been talking about Nerwen being suspicious from the beginning of the Day.) Nerwen retaliates by pointing out various illogical/fishy things Boro has said on the same Day. Day 3 - after my reveal, Boro says he wishes he had voted Nerwen the Day before and votes her now. Thoughts: Like I said above, I find it a little fishy that Boro didn't go for Nerwen on Day2 even though she seemed like his main suspect until he decided that Lottie's vote the Day before looked worse after all. They don't still do each other much favours on Day2, but that hardly tells us anything as both of them are capable of much more dramatic wolf-on-wolf backstabbing. ~*~ Nerwen and Cop Day 1 - Nerwen points out the rule of three would condemn Cop. They banter. In a list post, Cop says there's not much to go on on Nerwen and files her under "no idea about". Day 2 - Cop says it's unlikely Nerwen is packmates with Sally because she defended her so openly. Day 3 - Discussion about voting patterns, and a longer discussion about Kitanna's maniac reveal. Thoughts: There is a lot of easy chatter between the two, as if they were on especially amiable terms, for example chatting with each other during Night phases and simply continuing that on the thread. (Before you say this sounds far-fetched, I say it's happened before.) It could of course just be normal chatter between two people who get along (possibly because Nerwen's trying to buddy up with Cop) and/or happen to be around at the same time when not so many others are. ~*~ Nerwen and Sally Day 1 - Nerwen jokingly points out the rule of three would condemn Sally. Sally half-seriously encourages Nerwen to break her track record of not voting on Day1. Nerwen wonders why Sally has two votes and Sally points the finger at me and Greenie. Nerwen would rather not see Sally lynched and ergo votes Kitanna. Sally makes fun of her not formatting the vote right. Day 2 - Nerwen basically says that Greenie's death points at Sally, but doesn't. Suggests Sally was framed. Day 3 - nothing yet. Thoughts: what the mordor?? This makes me more confused than anything else. Either Nerwen is artfully latching onto innocent Sally to a) make herself look better if Sally dies and is discovered innocent or b) make Sally look suspicious if Nerwen herself dies and is discovered guilty, or then these are two wolves hiding out in the open. I'm almost more inclined to think the first option is true. ~*~ Nerwen and Kath Day 1 - Nerwen expresses shock about Kath being active on Day1. Day 2 - In a voting recap, Kath says about Nerwen: "Nerwen --> Kitanna ~ Potentially pushing for the maniac to join the wolves." Kath, can you clarify what you mean by this comment? Kath also concludes that Greenie's death points at Nerwen but doesn't really explain why and says that she became suddenly defensive on Day2. Day 3 - Kath believes my reveal and votes for Nerwen. Thoughts: hmmm, interesting. Nerwen says practically nothing about Kath. Kath throws very vague suspicion at Nerwen's direction, but definitely doesn't act on it. Looks fishy to me all in all - but no one says this can't be coincidence. ~*~ next up: a look on Lottie's death
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#191 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Last Night, the wolves must have been pretty desperate to get the seer (a big
![]() Lottie's possible Night 1 dreams based on Day1 posts Me = innocent -> works because I was in her innocent category on Day2 and she made a point of saying that I have looked innocent since Day1 Greenie = innocent -> works because she died before Lottie could say more about her Nog = innocent (this is a stretch though) -> disproved by her vote on Day2 Legate = guilty -> can't be because he was an ordo Lottie's possible Night 2 dreams based on Day2 posts Kath = guilty Cop = guilty Kitanna = innocent All of these work in relation to Lottie's list on Day2. She defends Kitanna in a way that the wolves could have seen as the seer protecting a known innocent, but I think it's more likely that their interest was piqued by what she said about Kath or Cop (why else would Lottie stand out to the wolves?). In this regard, Kath looks a little worse than Cop because: Quote:
The fact that Nerwen's lottielysis toDay interprets her posts so that she dreamed of innocent Kitanna makes me more certain that either Kath or Cop has to be guilty, or possibly even both - why else would Nerwolf pass such an obvious opportunity to cast suspicion on them?
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#192 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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In conclusion:
Kath and Cop look pretty bad at the moment. Boro could just as well be guilty as innocent. Sally actually probably looks the best out of the four at the moment. If she is innocent, I want to offer my most cordial thanks for unwittingly acting as my shield. ![]()
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#193 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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I'm back (more or less) and have caught up (more or less). I see no reason to doubt Lommy's reveal at this point; despite her odd suspicion of me Day 1, I found her pretty innocent throughout. I suspected up front that Kit's trust in me was a result of either her really playing me or some sort of good role, so to find she's the maniac is not at all a shock. Nerwen is, of course, always evil. ![]() ++Nerwen Now that the vote is out of the way, I'll take a look at the unknowns in the group. Hopefully I'll be back in a short while with some equally short thoughts.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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#194 | |
Child of the West
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Watching President Fillmore ride a unicorn
Posts: 2,132
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++Nerwen It is a beautiful day and I am going to enjoy a walk on my lunch break and I really don't have anything to say that I haven't said already. I may pop in again before Day ends, but it's unlikely since I am not going home after work until after DL.
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"Let us live so that when we come to die even the undertaker will be sorry." - Mark Twain |
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#195 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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I need to go to sleep now, so
++Nerwen If she decides to counter reveal and anybody believes her even a tiny bit, do a little maths and you'll see that if I was a wolf, it would have made zero sense for me to fake reveal toDay (the decisive Day is only toMorrow and I would be certain to get lynched then) - unless I was in cahoots with Nerwen herself (which still supports lynching her toDay) and that would've been quite an unnecessary plot as if the village would mislynch toDay there would be a huge chance of wolf victory toMorrow (only one innocent votes wrong and that's it) whereas now we would be just prolonging the game, perhaps fatally for the baddies, as it would be very suspicious if I didn't die soon. (Now I'm lost in what if scenarios. Imagine if Nerwen, Kitanna and I were the wolves and we had orchestrated all of this. It would have been so epic I almost wish that was the case. ![]() Okay, going now. May we all have sweet dreams. PS. If there's an unforeseen misfortune and I die toNight, please please look carefully at Nerwen's interactions with people and Lottie's death, my posts toDay are a good place to start.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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#196 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Aw Lommy, you double-crossing penguin, why are you doing this to me? I thought we agreed last Night I was going to impersonate the Seer and you were going to be lynched! Meanie!
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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#197 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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Back and reading.
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#198 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 344
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It doesn't look as if Shasta's been back since Lommy's seer-reveal, so there's a chance that he could be the Seer, but it's unlikely: a Lommy wolf would have had to be taking an insane risk that he wouldn't happen to come by, unless she knew something about his schedule. Plus, this sort of plan from the wolves on a day with a 5:3 count doesn't make sense. If it turns out to be some sort of amazing gambit from Lommy and Kitanna, and Nerwen at #196 is a peeved innocent trying to add suspense, I'll be very impressed.
So the remaining wolves are two of Boro, Kath, and Sally. Boro and Sally have at least posted a reasonable amount. Kath, not so much. It looks as if my vote isn't needed, but I'll still place it. ++Nerwen |
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#199 |
Gruesome Spectre
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Heaven's doorstep
Posts: 8,036
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After the discouraging time the group had spent thus far atop the lonely windswept peak, this day had possibly brought some good news.
Kitanna had initially startled them by saying she was a maniac. 'Not dangerous. Well maybe a little. Actually, mostly harmless,' she was quick to add. 'I just get carried away sometimes.' But that had nearly been forgotten when Lommy had announced she had been having dreams involving them all. 'I know two who are innocent,' she said. 'Shasta for one, and Kitanna really is a maniac, but she hasn't been doing anything to anyone. However, I know Nerwen is one of these awful people trying to take us out!' It was recalled that Professor Inzil's notes on RADAGAST had mentioned that those with evil thoughts had become dogs. Now they would see. Protesting only mildly, Nerwen was forced into the machine. A press of a button, and eager eyes awaited the result. There, on the floor, was indeed a dog. The "Living" Sally Coppermirror Kitanna Lommy Shasta Kath Boro The "Dead" Professor Inzil Legate (Ordo) Greenie (Ordo) Nogrod (Ordo) Loslote (Ordo) Nerwen (Moviephile) IT IS NIGHT 4. Dreamer, Guardian, and Moviephiles get busy.
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Music alone proves the existence of God. |
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#200 |
Gruesome Spectre
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Heaven's doorstep
Posts: 8,036
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The dark skies above the facility were fitfully illuminated by the bright, full moon peeking through breaks in the high clouds.
Inside, most of the trapped inhabitants lay fitfully sleeping. Three of their number did not sleep. Two figures walked silently, purposefully toward their intended target, one with a small vial of liquid in hand. They did not feel the eyes upon them, straining to keep them in sight through the shadow, nor did they notice footfalls behind them at a respectful distance. As they reached their victim they stopped short, savoring the moment. The vial was opened, a hand began to tip it. Suddenly, a silver ball flashed through the air and struck the back of the second figure. A stifled cry of surprise was voiced, and the first quickly secured the vial. Both ran off into the darkness. The firer of the ball nodded in approval at the way the improvised slingshot had worked. It was amazing what one could do with a paper clip, a rubber band, and a ball bearing. Heading back to bed, two of the group were bitterly disappointed, another quite satisfied. The "Living" Sally Coppermirror Kitanna Lommy Shasta Kath Boro The "Dead" Professor Inzil Legate (Ordo) Greenie (Ordo) Nogrod (Ordo) Loslote (Ordo) Nerwen (Moviephile) IT IS DAY 4
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Music alone proves the existence of God. |
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