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08-05-2009, 10:11 AM | #121 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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I'm on lunch break so I should be around for a while if anyone has questions or whatever.
So far I'm a little concerned about Mac. He has been doing the most analyzing so is not being analyzed. His suspicion of me had no real grounds except that he didn't like my phrasing?... I'm happy he has now backed off and put me on the innocent side of the list but he really started the bandwagon for me which would have saved Sally. I'm going to keep looking and I'll update as needed. Boro is seeming innocent for me right now. I think it was his banter with Sally at the beginning. It didn't seem wolf on wolf but more wolf on innocent.
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Puddle! Puddle! Last edited by Nienna; 08-05-2009 at 10:12 AM. Reason: bolding |
08-05-2009, 10:31 AM | #122 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Oh, I've got my eye on Mac too– he sort of started this "the kill could point to Nerwen" thing, after all. (However, I always like to puzzle out the possible reasons for a no-trace kill myself, so I don't want to read too much into that.)
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08-05-2009, 10:36 AM | #123 | ||||
Wight
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Seeing Form on the nice list, I was a little surprised - I noticed his attempt to cast suspicion elsewhere for Sally as well. And though nice doesn't mean innocent, he was wary of voting for both Nerwen and Sally. Quote:
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08-05-2009, 11:12 AM | #124 | |
Wisest of the Noldor
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Believe it or not, that happens quite a lot, but I think it's pretty unlikely in this case. Sally's delay in voting Nienna to save herself is slightly eyebrow-raising, but she was probably waiting to see which out of Nienna and I would get the most votes.
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"Even Nerwen wasn't evil in the beginning." –Elmo. |
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08-05-2009, 11:14 AM | #125 | |||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
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08-05-2009, 11:50 AM | #126 | |
Laconic Loreman
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Getting the votes and stuff together from yesterday now
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08-05-2009, 12:31 PM | #127 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: The other side of the fish bowl
Posts: 267
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This is all very interesting indeed. I'm really not sure what to think at this moment. In hindsight I probably shoulda posted my suspicions about Nienna before I did. Alas, that does me no good.
Now after taking a look at the voting I don't think Nienna is a wolf. It would've been a lot easier for her to vote for someone else then vote for Sally making it a wolf on wolf vote.
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08-05-2009, 12:54 PM | #128 | |
Laconic Loreman
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But seriously for Day 1, I can't think of a better reason yet to vote for someone than besides a player who just comments on the activity, not really offering an opinion, and tries some jokes to look nice (it's the fair to be wary of, not someone who will call a rat a rat). Sometimes I'm pretty cheerful, if there's a good lot of posting, but I called Inzil a commentator last game because that's what he was doing and only offering his opinion on completely irrelevant matters like whether a wolf would openly like blood or not. I got the same commenting feel from autume's first couple posts (and after the point when the true suspicions were supposed to start) - and I mentally graded her list a "D-'' ...oops I just made a joke. I was going to analyze the votes, but seeing as from the morning I missed Mac's posting of votes and analysis, all I can really say is for the most part I agree with it, but will point out the differences... None of the sally voters strikes 'wolf on wolf' to me, so I'm not sure why there are suspicions around Nerwen? She was pretty set on either Fea or sally right when they first voted for her. The only reason her vote came when it did, is because she was in a position where it was reasonable to withhold her vote in case she had to safe herself. Plus...well she got a wolf, a wolf she suspected almost immediately. Nienna looks the most innocent, for that end of the day bit with sally. When sally first voted for Nienna, I thought she never retracted, therefor it shouldn't count and wondered if sally was going down in 'style' to try and protect a wolf-Nienna. However, based on what sally said and Lari counted it for a tie, than I'm assuming sally was purely voting for Nienna to try and save herself, not as some sacrificial trick to help Nienna. Does that make any sense? I'm afraid it makes sense in my head, but out on the screen it might not. I'm worried about Formendacil's vote for Hakon, more so than Mac. It could be genuine confusion, caused by Form joining us late and trying to read through the day. But I don't know that rushing could also just be a wolf-Form joining in late, seeing sally in trouble and trying to figure out what to do to save her. I want to hear more from Form about his vote, he should now have plenty of time and not be rushed by the DL.
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08-05-2009, 03:01 PM | #129 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: May 2009
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I think we can rule out Alona from being a wolf. From the few games I have read through newbies are almost never wolves. One thing all of you need to realize is that if Nienna truly is innocent then she will most likely be killed off real soon. That way we have no one we can say is definitely innocent.
There is no reasoning behind this but I just have a hunch that Mac is the ranger. I tend to run off my hunches since last game I had a hunch that Pitchwife was the ranger and I was right.
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08-05-2009, 03:20 PM | #130 | |
Wight
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Hakon: You said there's a fair chance I'm not a wolf, but didn't regard me as an innocent. Do you have a hunch about my role like you do Mac's?
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08-05-2009, 03:27 PM | #131 |
Laconic Loreman
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My first game I was the seer, I did adequately enough, it was SpM who took over and won it for us, but I agree with alona we shouldn't rule out anyone for any role based on how many games someone has played. Some mods pick players, some do a type of random hat pull, others do a mix. There's really no way of knowing. Hunches are good though, because hunches are starting points, now you have to have reasons for your hunches, care to explain Hakon?
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08-05-2009, 03:40 PM | #132 | |
La Belle Dame sans Merci
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Seriously, I repeat: I don't know if you're evil, and right now I don't care. Boromir seems to be making sense, Hakon's logic seems flawed, but I'm not sure if that's because he's new or if it's because he's trying really hard. I'm very distracted by the presence of the mods, though, so I'm going to pay attention to them for a bit.
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08-05-2009, 03:40 PM | #133 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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I agree with Boro on what he said about Mods... It has been my experience that some people request roles and then the mods can decide if they want to heed this requests or not. Most try for random but it is not often easy.
EDIT: x-ed with Fea
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Puddle! Puddle! Last edited by Nienna; 08-05-2009 at 03:41 PM. Reason: x-ed with Fea |
08-05-2009, 03:55 PM | #134 |
Laconic Loreman
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I can tell you how I'm going to choose roles for my upcoming game But that won't be relevant, so you'll just have to wait, and I doubt Lari would like someone advertising during her game.
So onward with suspected book wolvery, I think this topic has had enough air time(as long as I get the last word)
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08-05-2009, 04:00 PM | #135 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Moddess here...
No I wouldn't...but at some point I would like to know
And, for reference because there is discussion, the roles were random. A hat was used to pick them.
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08-05-2009, 04:16 PM | #136 | |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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I can't believe that nobody has thrown in a bit of basic werewolf lore yet: If you have a hunch about the gifteds, unless you're evil yourself, for crying out loud - shut up! With very few exceptions, you're only helping the wolves!
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Boro=evil. |
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08-05-2009, 04:28 PM | #137 | |
Wight
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08-05-2009, 04:41 PM | #138 | |
Laconic Loreman
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This isn't the normal Ranger and I don't know why you jumped on me asking about Hakon's hunch. For all you know I could be the ranger and curious to Hakon's reasoning and trying to protect myself. (I'll say now before I get bombarded against by more people I'm not the Ranger...but whatever) It's more evil that 2 people immediately jump out on me asking Hakon to explain himself.
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08-05-2009, 04:53 PM | #139 |
Wight
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I wasn't trying to tag team you about questioning Hakon; I even asked a question of him. There's no need to get defensive (unless it's a guilty conscience speaking); as it is, you explained why you wanted to know about Hakon's hunch and it can be left at that. For now.
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08-05-2009, 04:54 PM | #140 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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OMGUS much, Boro? (Wow, I used a Mafia term.)
Here and reading. Foremost in my mind today is Fea vs. Nerwen, and of the two I think Nerwen the more likely to be innocent... but this could just be the general innocent vs. innocent that seems to happen every game.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
08-05-2009, 04:59 PM | #141 |
Dead Serious
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Well, said Form, I'm back...
Which is to say that I've read over the thread, with greater detail here, less detail there. Unfortunately, as usual, I'm not having wolves leap out of the shadows and declare themselves--which is a crying shame, since that means I can look forward to the tedious task of trying to sort things out the old-fashioned way. On the very recent (relative to the rest of the day) note that Mac could be a Gifted/Wolf and Boro would be stupendously foolish to point out the former if that's the case... I haven't got any good reasons for thinking it at the moment, but as far as all that goes, my gut is on the side of Boromir and says that Mac could be a WW. The point was raised earlier that I might be a late-coming wolf voting Hakon in the hopes of saving Sally--I'm not, but I'm not so young at this as to think you'll take my word for it. The point has also already been made, I think, that Mac could have been doing the same thing with his Nienna vote. Oddly, perhaps, that line of reasoning doesn't especially bother me--if, indeed, it's true (as we cannot tell till the post-game) what Mac says about not knowing Nienna's Day 1 Death-Penchant. Perhaps this is just me and the skewed perspective of having visited said Downer. However... even if Mac didn't seem guilty on the start-a-different-bandwaggon note, he does seem extra jumpy about Boro at the moment, and as I don't really know what to make of that, I'm inclined to ascribe it to Wolvery. More anon...
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08-05-2009, 05:11 PM | #142 | ||||||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
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That is utter nonsense. Yes, the ranger is better protected and is able to take two night kills away from the librarians if revealed. But if he has to protect himself he cannot protect the seer twice and thus give us two additional dreams out of a revealed seer. Two dreams at the end of the game can be deciding! You know that well. Almost like the hunter? What threat is attacking the ranger to the librarians? None, except for losing kills. Quote:
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Alonariel - you voted for me yesterday without reason and you still think I'm suspicious... mind to share why? Form, I'm jumpy about Boro because he did something an innocent Boro would not have done. Would a wolf-Boro do it? Not sure, maybe not, because it would be too risky. Would a cobbler-Boro do it? Yes. (Note that I said Boro=evil, not Boro=wolf.) Anyway, with the Snitch's power the way it is, I would not consider lynching him a waste in the least. |
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08-05-2009, 05:12 PM | #143 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Well, I fear being the first to vote, but RL restricts me from posting right up to the 1am deadline in my timezone. Now, going off of earlier musings of my own rather than the frenzied topics of Fea and Nienna is how I'm going to vote.
++Brinn Now, before anyone demands the 'why', you can find my reasons already stated in post #119
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08-05-2009, 05:21 PM | #144 | |
Dead Serious
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(Although... I still have the cold today, and absolutely puttered my way through work in a sitting standstill, so if you want to feel sorry for me, now's the day to do it--the cold's worse--but fuzzy though the edges of my skull are, I still think I can reason and gut-instinct with my usual catastrophe.) Anyway, what was basically going through my mind yesterDay was what I told Mac about his vote for Nienna: I really didn't like it, for the simple reason that it came, more or less to my eyes, out of nowhere, and--given the knowledge stowed away in some back compartment of my mind about Nienna being the new Saucepan Person for an abnormally high Day 1 deathrate, it seemed--if any vote on Day 1 can seem so--like a potentially malicious vote. More obviously so that than the whole morass of Nerwen and Sally You also have to remember, Boro that yesterday was a Day 1. I may have decided that Mac's vote for Nienna was wrong, but that's hardly enough of a reason right there to jump on a Sally or Nerwen bandwaggon. Who to vote for then? Well, the usual Day 1 conditions held, and I went for someone who wasn't objectively all that suspicious, but had just touched my instincts the wrong way, so felt more appropriate than a jump-on bandwaggon vote. Call me timid, but I don't like casting potentially decisive votes on Day 1. Given that I don't feel there are generally any good reasons to think someone's guilty on Day 1, it simply puts way too much emphasis on a vote I'd rather not make. If we'd have gone by mere alarm-setting off, I'd have voted Mac, but I'm still good enough at second-guessing myself to say that that would have been the usual Day 1-jumping-at-shadows.
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I prefer history, true or feigned.
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08-05-2009, 05:27 PM | #145 | ||||||
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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- Based on the Wilwa kill, I think Fea is innocent. The Fea I know wouldn't hide behind a no-trace kill (at least, I don't think she would.)
- Based on Mac's #106 - specifically this: Quote:
- Since I now begin to think badly of Mac, this post of Fea's catches my attention: Quote:
- I agree with Nerwen's #109 (partially because she echoes my now-top-two suspects). I have to ask, though, why all this heaping suspicion on Nerwen? - Fea mentions Nerwen again in #110, but Mac thinks her innocent in #111. I'm not sure which looks worse here, but I'm thing Mac for his 180. - Boro's #113, especially this: Quote:
- Regarding Fea: Quote:
- Nessa's #119 about Brinn seems well-thought-out, but I do have to wonder how much of Brinn's post was IC. Her reason for voting Nienna does seem weird, though; it might as well have been random, so why not just say that it was? - This quote by Alonariel strikes me as odd: Quote:
- Mac again, #125: Quote:
- Hakon's #129, about how we can rule out Alona, is wrong (as people have said, I think?) Newbieism doesn't preclude one from being a wolf. Edit: X'ed with Formendacil.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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08-05-2009, 05:29 PM | #146 | |
Dead Serious
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But I'm still not sold on it. Boromir's reasoning makes sense to me, and, anyway, I'm not sure why he would have picked Sally. If, as a Cobbler, he thought her innocent, then he's giving shelter to an Innocent--which makes no sense. If he thought her a wolf, it certainly would certainly give her protection, if the seer bought it--but would the seer buy it? And what reason would Boro-Cobbler have for thinking Sally a wolf at that stage in the game? Yeah... not sold on it... And Brinn has earned a vote. That's... actually not a bad case, prima facie, but I don't know if I like it yet. Nessa seems to be one of those players that stays comfortably below the surface--or, in other words, I can't read her.
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08-05-2009, 05:29 PM | #147 | ||
Wight
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I was originally going to vote for Sally, but thought that she was playing the part of a wolf far too obvious to actually be a wolf. As it was, I was wrong. I had had you in the back of my mind throughout Day 1 mostly because of your suspicion of Nienna when I felt there was no basis for it. Whether that was wrong or not as well...we'll soon find out, I suspect. Quote:
I hope this explains some of my vote, even if it may be a little muddled. My voting for Day 1 had come after a very long day working with children, whose funny way of viewing the world does not always leave me with a very clear head afterwards.
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08-05-2009, 05:30 PM | #148 | |||
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You should also consider it's an attempt by me to catch wolves in it's track...whether it's Hakon or another trying to turn the conversation. This is part that frustrates me the most, instead of waiting to see what happens, or try and figure out what someone is up to, anything that seems tricky or secretive is taken as a sign of evil. News flash, this is not always the case, innocents can use their own secrets to try and catch wolves, but when you immediately jump after someone and make them explain themselves, it makes the whole thing moot. I would have thought I proved trustworthy enough after I came clean about my failed intentions with sally, yesterday and my blatant indication that I still had a few tricks up my sleeve. You also should not downplay wolves missing kills, failed kills give us more days. For what it's worth I was purposefully trying to get people's reactions to Hakon and see if that would reveal anything, or if anyone was trying to steer conversation. As it is now, however and my intention is spilled, well I'm willing to let the matter lie where it is. If you desire to continue to pursue about the Ranger go ahead. Quote:
I'm not infallible, I'm capable of mistakes and blunders and flubs like anyone else, but if I have my own rationale for doing what I do, hopefully that's enough to get trust. Edit: crossed with everyone since Nessa's vote for Brinn.
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Last edited by Boromir88; 08-05-2009 at 05:34 PM. |
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08-05-2009, 05:33 PM | #149 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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08-05-2009, 05:42 PM | #150 |
Laconic Loreman
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My trust in Lommy's innocence in Brinn's game was a big help, when you have nothing else that's what it takes working together and trust. I'm not talking about willy-nilly just whoever you want to trust, it takes gut feeling and of course proof that you can, which is what I am trying to display in my honest responses. No one will take me at my word for it, but I'm being straight with everyone about what I'm doing. Take it or leave it.
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08-05-2009, 05:42 PM | #151 | |
Dead Serious
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I prefer history, true or feigned.
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08-05-2009, 05:44 PM | #152 | |
Wight
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And although the moddesses stated that there were no hints in their narration, they didn't say that players couldn't hide hints in their own narrations: so why isn't what Sally said IC fair game for deciding whether or not to vote for her? It was her attitude IC and her subsequent defense against the votes for her that created suspicion, in my view.
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08-05-2009, 05:46 PM | #153 |
Wight
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Being this is my first (official) game, I wonder if people have hidden clues to their identity in their avatars before?
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08-05-2009, 05:49 PM | #154 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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08-05-2009, 05:50 PM | #155 | |
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Of course, after the game these things can be the most blatant of referents back, but in-game I've never seen them indicative. Caveat: I could be horribly wrong. 'tis possible...
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I prefer history, true or feigned.
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08-05-2009, 05:53 PM | #156 | ||
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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Boro, are you aware how defensive you are about this? I could backpedal and believe your intentions and call it a difference of opinion, but it's all a bit too much to make me change my mind. |
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08-05-2009, 05:57 PM | #157 |
Laconic Loreman
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I wouldn't say so...for me I'll just say whatever my role is my coyote avatar is completely incidental. I had it before I even started playing in WW, and even before I expressed concerns it would automatically make people think I was a wolf. To which, I was assured that usually avatars, sigs, whatever aren't meant to be taken 'seriously.'
I will add however, it is a reason to at least start looking, or focusing on someone. If your reason is just a person's avatar alone, that's pretty poor, it's like suspecting someone for their placement of smilies or exclamation marks. However, it could be a reason to at least focus on someone and see if how they act, or their behavior, 'fits' their avatar, or whatever it is.
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08-05-2009, 06:00 PM | #158 | |
Wight
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Noted
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08-05-2009, 06:03 PM | #159 | |
Laconic Loreman
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I'm defensive because this is the exact argument I've had with other people in Fea's Republic game. It truly is something that frustrates me and I wish people could understand it. If you want to know more about it, I can tell you more, but I have a feeling no matter what I say about it, it won't change your mind Mac. So, I'm moving on to other things. I'm telling you though you don't have to be immediately reactionary, give some time for things to play out, it doesn't even have to be a day, could just be a few hours. Then next time I probably won't get so defensive.
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08-05-2009, 06:34 PM | #160 |
Laconic Loreman
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I'm going to put some Mac and Cheese in my system, when I get back, final thoughts on innocents/guiltys and my vote.
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