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08-19-2009, 04:44 PM | #1201 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Hmm, Morm, you seem to bangwagon quite a bit, I've noticed after reading some. Quite suspicious if I may say so.
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08-19-2009, 04:48 PM | #1202 | |
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The bet-hedger in me likes the latter, but the village in general (despite not agreeing on who is furry), seems to think we've a good chance of catching a wolf or bear today, and with two deaths looming tonight and the Cobbler being more of a nuisance than a danger, I'm inclined to strike more boldly than my nature would prefer.
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08-19-2009, 04:54 PM | #1203 | |
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What difference, if any, makes you assume someone might be a Wolf or might be a Bear? Because a lot of the gut-feeling suspicion going around might, in fact, be accurate about Good or Evil, but I scarcely see how it can distinguish between Union and Free-Lancer. Secondly--okay it's more of a comment than a question--I'm rather amused that, since he's the other people who started the whole anti-me waggon, that Morm is apparently coëval with me in your suspicions.
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08-19-2009, 04:54 PM | #1204 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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I'm sorry about my early-vote again. I always have trouble with deadlines being in the middle of the night.
++Morm
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08-19-2009, 05:04 PM | #1205 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Popping to the grocery store but I wanted to mention/ask something.
Lommie, the people you say you will vote are the people who are on your wolf list. Doesn't it make more sense to go after your bear candidates first and decrease the number of Night kills? I don't know if it's just me or if that's weird. Of course she's not around but I look forward to seeing her response when she gets back.
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08-19-2009, 05:04 PM | #1206 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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I'm thinking of voting Morm because he's been avoiding the noose for too long and his role would undoubtedly reveal stuff. But then again, I'm not sure if a wolf would insist so strongly on being the Night-kill and I want to lynch him exactly because he could be either a wolf or the bear. Should I vote Form then? He seems a lot more innocent now that he has come back. Mira? Sally? Nerwen? Argh... I'll go brush my teeth and think about my vote meanwhile. edit: xed with Sally
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08-19-2009, 05:09 PM | #1207 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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I said rather clearly that I want to vote Form or morm because they could be either bears or wolves. And if I end up voting you, Nerwen or Mira - and not Durelin, Rikae and Mac - it's just because I prefer voting a likely-ish wolf to a possible bear. After all, we're here to eliminate all the baddies, not shoot wildly at possible bears until we run out of people who turn out to be innocent.
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08-19-2009, 05:09 PM | #1208 | |
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I'm really not sure I trust this vote, given Nessa's overall quietness in the game, but I definitely like it. And I'm irked enough with Morm I'm inclined to go much the same way myself. Nice to see I wouldn't be alone.
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08-19-2009, 05:13 PM | #1209 | |
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Or, well, I guess I should say "clear trail insofar as anything in this game is clear"--but I'm sure you all assumed that anyway.
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08-19-2009, 05:16 PM | #1210 | ||
Wisest of the Noldor
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Quote:
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EDIT:X'd with Form.
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08-19-2009, 05:22 PM | #1211 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Quote:
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08-19-2009, 05:24 PM | #1212 | |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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So far with what I've read, I'm beginning to have second opinions about Lommy. The biggest thing that comes to my mind at this point is they way she saved Alona on Day 2. There have also been some comments and an overall vibe coming from her. I still think morm is suspicious. At this point it looks like my vote will either be for Lommy or morm. However I have only read up to this point, so it could still change.
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08-19-2009, 05:28 PM | #1213 |
Wisest of the Noldor
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All right. Preliminary vote here, will change if needed, blah, blah blah.
++Morm 1. Because he's too darn edgy by half, even for him, and I'm getting an increasingly strong "killing machine" vibe off him. 2. Because I agree with Lommy that his death will tell us more than most people's (especially mine). 3. Because his name just looks so much better in red. I never thought green was his colour! EDIT:X'd since myself.
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08-19-2009, 05:31 PM | #1214 |
Dead Serious
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I think it does. If you can distinguish between a Wolf and a Bear--and you've got equal reason for thinking both--it should make a difference, insofar as it seems likely to me that you'd rather rid the village of the Bear, rather than the Wolf. At least, that's what I would think, since I'd prefer one kill per night rather than two, though I suppose it's possible you'd prefer to weaken the team players, on the hope the remaining wolf will eat the bear, or vice versa.
My point, basically, is that it would affect your vote, if you could be sure of the distinction. More likely, I suppose, it's unlikely that you'd get the "all other things being equal" end of it, and either the potential bear or the potential wolf would be a more powerful argument on its own--but not necessarily.
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08-19-2009, 05:34 PM | #1215 |
Shady She-Penguin
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Well, Autume, it is the ultimate question again, would a wolf try to save a fellow or sacrifice her to look better? I think I've done both in the past, there are no clear answers. I wouldn't probably done that to save Alona, had I been her fellow wolf, but I cannot say for sure, and you can't of course take my word for it (especially as I'm unsure myself).
++Formendacil More innocent right now or not, he's suspicious enough to get my vote. I actually suspect morm a bit more than him, but this village looks a bit like turning into a huge mormwagon (I know, only one vote so far but quite a lot of people are very suspicious of him), so I think a vote for Form should provide an option. If we lynch Form and he's innocent and later turns out morm was guilty, I'll probably bang my head against the wall. edit: xed with Nerwen (what did I say ) and Form
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08-19-2009, 05:50 PM | #1216 |
Maundering Mage
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I was going to ask this of Lommy but I will ask it of both of you now, what pray-tell would my death tell you when I turn out to be an ordo?
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08-19-2009, 05:51 PM | #1217 | ||
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Quote:
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Edit: x-ed with morm
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08-19-2009, 05:51 PM | #1218 |
Mellifluous Maia
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What am I missing here? Morm was tied with a known wolf twice, and now he's the first to get two votes? It looks like Alona's wolfishness means nothing at all to anyone, since no one seems to be willing to reevaluate yesterDay's suspicions in light of it.
Nessa, Nerwen, do you really think the wolves would have allowed two of their pack to end up tied for the lynch yesterDay? If you think Morm is the bear, do you honestly think it's better to shoot for one of one bear than one of two wolves? Please answer. Neither of you has explained much of anything in this game, and it's high time you did. Also, I just thought I'd throw this out there: I think Lommy is the bear. |
08-19-2009, 05:54 PM | #1219 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Interesting thought. For some reason toDay (more recently) I've been getting baddie vibes from her, but I was thinking wolf. What gives you the bear idea?
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08-19-2009, 05:54 PM | #1220 |
Maundering Mage
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No you're right of course, I mean I started Day 1 by voting for Hakon, clearly a bandwagon. On Day 2 I voted for Rikae, I might have been number 2, again clearly a bandwagon and it is to be remembered that I had to vote early and leave for the rest of the day to travel across country. On Day 3 I voted for Alona a wolf which also saved myself...very suspicious band-wagonning going on here.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
08-19-2009, 06:00 PM | #1221 |
Mellifluous Maia
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I also don't like the way the group of autume, Mira, Nienna, Nerwen, Nessa, and to some extent, Sally hang together in their votes, do not bother to explain anything, and refuse to absorb new information as it becomes available. This is half the village, and obviously they can't all be evil, but some of them seem to have dubbed themselves unofficial cobblers. None of the morm-voters seem to have made any effort to analyze each other (beyond saying they would) and none seem to even acknowledge that, had a coin flipped differently, they would have let a wolf get away.
Of these, autume seems perhaps honestly misguided, Mira may just be busy, and Nessa is a newbie who might not know what's expected of her (although she ought to, by now), and Sally seems at least more independent, though I'm tempted to call her the ringleader. Nerwen and Nienna, however, know better. They're hiding in a pack, and I know they're capable of more... I can't believe they do so out of concern for the village's best interests. |
08-19-2009, 06:00 PM | #1222 | |
Maundering Mage
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HEY EVERYBODY!!!! She talked about the bear so she must be the bear herself *waves arms frantically* Everybody run and hide... Seriously though Lommy, I understand what you are saying but you keep insisting that because somebody talks about the bear and how they might behave or what not they are likely bear candidates, what about those who talk about those who are likely bear candidates because they talk about the bear? Seriously are you the bear Lommy, just tell me you know you want to scream it out.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
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08-19-2009, 06:02 PM | #1223 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Quote:
EDIT: x'd with Morm. Lol.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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08-19-2009, 06:02 PM | #1224 | |
Maundering Mage
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I wonder Rikae are you considering voting for Sally? Sally, Nienna, Form or Lommy are my most likely candidates, it may be necessary to change to save my life again, but it might be nice to get some consensus now if we can. Mac and Durelin what are you two thinking? Autume is seeming more innocently misguided today especially the more recent posts.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
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08-19-2009, 06:02 PM | #1225 | |
Mellifluous Maia
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I'm not really planning on hunting the bear toDAY, though. That's best left for later, I think. |
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08-19-2009, 06:03 PM | #1226 |
Fluttering Enchantment
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Had to say this really made me giggle, hehe.
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08-19-2009, 06:03 PM | #1227 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Crap. I have to go in ten minutes. I'll be back around an hour before DL, but I've not finished my thing on Nessa. *headdesks herself for messing around so much this afternoon* I'll post the bits from Day One and see if I can finish Day Two before I leave, savvy?
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08-19-2009, 06:04 PM | #1228 |
Mellifluous Maia
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08-19-2009, 06:07 PM | #1229 | |||||||||
The Sweetest Spoiler
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NESSA DAY ONE
Stealing Mac's plus and minus thing, because....well, it's awesome. Quote:
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Yeah, well.... +0 Quote:
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For those of you at home, the total so far.... Liking points (her posts, not Nessa herself of course): 0 Suspicion points: -3
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
Last edited by satansaloser2005; 08-19-2009 at 06:10 PM. Reason: miscounted. whoops! |
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08-19-2009, 06:07 PM | #1230 |
Maundering Mage
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Really though village we are on the edge of disaster if we don't do it right today. We have 12 total if we kill an innocent today and assuming the wolves don't kill the bear that is 9 tomorrow with 3 being evil, one more day like that and it's basically over.
Rikae, I am beginning to wonder if we should hunt the bear in more earnest today. If we do get him/her today than we are really well positioned for the coming days to win.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
08-19-2009, 06:08 PM | #1231 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Ahhhh. Lol if I was evil I'd say thank you then. As it is I won't demand an apology either. And really, Nerwen's my biggest fan, so you never know.
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08-19-2009, 06:10 PM | #1232 | |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Second: Nessa is raising some flags. I'm not comfortable with her No Vote yesterday. She has been awfully quiet throughout the game. However that may mean nothing. Third: I'm glad I'm not the only one feeling bad vibes coming from Lommy. Edit: x-ed with #1220 to here
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08-19-2009, 06:11 PM | #1233 |
Laconic Loreman
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Nienna will also be hampered late due to work.
End Note.
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08-19-2009, 06:12 PM | #1234 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Have to go, sadly. I'll finish Nessa (that's what she said) when I return.
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08-19-2009, 06:22 PM | #1235 | |
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If Morm is the Bear, then relations to a Known Wolf means precious little or nothing. Any association to be drawn would be as spurious as between an Ordo and a Known Wolf--and just as impossible to tell apart from non-spurious relationships. Secondly, it has happened before that two wolves have been on the block at the same time--an antsy situation for the Wolves, certainly, but not, simply on the basis of that, a reason to discount shared lupinity. All the same, I think you're right about this mostly removing Morm from the list of likely wolves. But that doesn't mean he's not still suspicious; it just mean that as suspiciou-Morm he's more liable to be the Bear. Liable to be the Bear, I note, on the grounds that he's suspicious and seemingly not connected to our Known (dead) Wolf--not the more spurious grounds of "he talks about bears so he is one."
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08-19-2009, 06:24 PM | #1236 | |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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I have believed that one of these are a wolf for a while now. I don't remember if I put anything about some of the people that have been quiet. I might not have after my vote on Day 1. I do think that one of these possibly two of these are a wolf. They just haven't posted a lot for me to get a feel for them. Edit: x-ed with Form
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08-19-2009, 06:32 PM | #1237 |
Mellifluous Maia
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08-19-2009, 06:36 PM | #1238 |
Fading Fëanorion
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Those morm suspicions are hard to get rid of, indeed. If I would understand why people think he's the bear, I might get it, but would still think that we have better things to do toDay than chase after the faint hints that the bear might have left. Since I don't understand those suspicions, all I can do is shake my head. I'm particularly worried about Nerwen, who has been casting strange votes for several days now.
I'm at a complete loss as to why Lommy concluded morm was suspicious. I'm also surprised how quickly she adopted my suspicion of Form. I'm quite confident of my case, but I'm surprised nevertheless. I also don't think that the pursuit of Sally is the greatest idea. She's a cobbler at best, in my opinion. Since it has been requested, my preferences: Good idea: Form, Nerwen, Nienna Bad idea: Autume, Lommy, Mira, Nessa, Sally Very bad idea: Durelin, morm, Rikae On second thought, let's lynch Sally for plagiarism! |
08-19-2009, 06:40 PM | #1239 |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
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I definitely feel there is something wrong with Lommy and have felt so from the time she first started posting.
Now the question to me is - go for a simply evil-looking Lommy...wolf or bear, I am not at all sure...OR go with evil-looking with more wolf-y connections. Of course, she did save alona! While I am uneasy about morm (in a bearish sense), I think it is compeltely bizarre that Nessa, Nerwen, and Form have completely passed over the fact that we lynched a wolf yesterDay! To a certain extent they all seem to be on a different planet from the rest of the game. I get the same sense from Lommy...at least she did an alona-related analysis, though one of her probable-mates was morm... Anyway, since I know it's a concern... My bear-suspicion of morm began only toDay, I will tell you that. And I do not feel at all confident enough to vote for him. |
08-19-2009, 06:45 PM | #1240 | |
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But... really. Alona was lost in the mess Day 1, looked suspicious on Day 2 and even more suspicious when other people mysteriously appeared to save her (though now that I mention it, why aren't they more suspicious?), and was clearly in danger all day yesterday, died, and here we are. Well, that's my reasoning anyway...
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