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05-13-2020, 11:47 AM | #1121 | |
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05-13-2020, 11:48 AM | #1122 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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But Huine's position there is really interesting! Would he say basically anything, knowing everybody knows he's a wolf and it could be used against his pack? Would he bluff? Double bluff? How did he and Galadriel arrive to the conclusion of voting Brinn on Day3? Since they had to discuss openly on the thread, is it possible Huine let slip something that the innocents that joined the QT later can use (or have already used by voting Lhuna)? Is it possible the QT didn't just get lucky in their guess about Lhuna but they actually knew she was a wolf? I would really REALLY like to know what's going on in the QT. But I should probably be careful what I wish for... And by the way, I still maintain that them dropping off the Brinn vote as soon as the innocent majority took over is a point in Brinn's favour. The innocents in the qt thread have read what lead to Huine and Gal picking Brinn for the second Day in a row, and they're in a much better position to judge Brinn's connection to Huine than we are. edit: xed with #1114 and onwards
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05-13-2020, 11:50 AM | #1123 | |
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05-13-2020, 11:52 AM | #1124 | |
Gruesome Spectre
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x/d with Steve
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05-13-2020, 12:04 PM | #1125 | ||
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This all being said, ironically enough Eönwë's #1115 might be the first post of his in this game that I find both very sensible and genuine in tone. ~*~ Quote:
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Last edited by Thinlómien; 05-13-2020 at 12:05 PM. Reason: added a comma because I didn't understand my own sentence without it :D |
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05-13-2020, 12:10 PM | #1126 | |
Gruesome Spectre
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05-13-2020, 12:18 PM | #1127 |
Wight of the Old Forest
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Are we just picking the two most likely wolves as per Greenie's analysis now?
I get where the suspicion of Ka comes from, but I wouldn't want to vote her after she just defended me against Shasta, because it would feel mean. ToMorrow is another question, depending on what happens till then. For the Cuties: +- Eönwë (loose thread in the Gordian Knot) +- Zil (not fully convinced but rather than anyone else at this point)
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05-13-2020, 12:22 PM | #1128 | |||||||||||||||||
Werewolf Psychic
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Here's the exchange in its entirety. Quote:
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So this bit from Ka is based off a faulty premise to begin with. Moving on - Quote:
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Re: Rune - here's the flip-flop in its entirety. Quote:
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------------------ To sum this whole thing up - I feel strongly that this is opportunistic-Ka. Lommy mentioned earlier that I haven't been talked about or suspected much until today. That makes the timing of this suspicion from Ka fairly suspect, IMO. Added to that is how quite a chunk of it is based on a faulty premise and something I consider flimsy at best (holding my vote til late) - the whole thing makes me feel strongly that Ka doesn't actually believe this case of hers, and simply put it together to give the appearance of hunting wolves (and pointing at an opportune target that's been mentioned by several people today as "someone to look at.") The most damning thing, though, IMO, is this - Quote:
Yet there's no real mention of Eonwe at all in Ka's recent stuff, when Eonwe seems to have been picking up suspicion from the rest of the village. And her QT vote was for me. It really smacks of Ka distancing from Eonwe, in my opinion. Now I know there have been posts since my last, so I'll go look at them.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV Last edited by Shastanis Althreduin; 05-13-2020 at 12:35 PM. |
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05-13-2020, 12:23 PM | #1129 | |
Werewolf Psychic
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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05-13-2020, 12:25 PM | #1130 | |
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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05-13-2020, 12:27 PM | #1131 | |
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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05-13-2020, 12:27 PM | #1132 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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Shasta, in your long post you attribute this quote
Quote:
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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05-13-2020, 12:29 PM | #1133 |
Laconic Loreman
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A Kath-alysis
Day 1 Big contribution to the day was arguing that the proposed vote for the QT, was not Legate's idea, but G55's. Legate added to it, but she was the first to point out it originated from G55. Questions Huey about his suspicions of Mac. Suggests Mac and Pitch are the next big dust up brewing. (Turned out to be G55 and Rikae). Votes G55. I can't see anything suspicious with Kath's Day 1 actions...other than she did vote on Day 1. She seemed primarily focused on LGP that dominated the earlier half. Settled on G55 for trying to pass the responsibility of the proposed voting onto Legate. Day 2 Analyzes the Day 1 vote. Most suspicious vote she seemed to be saying came from Eonwe's throwaway to Urwen. Primary contribution I would say is she doesn't follow along with those saying Rikae's death framed them. Thinks more likely wolves were gifted-hunting. Votes Inzil for pressing on about Kit being a ranger. Day 2 was between Mac and Huey, but Inzil vote looks reasoned. Day 3 Defends why she voted for Inzil and Lhuna was her 2nd choice. Reasons being how Kit appeared to be pressed too much into revealing by Inzil and Lhuna. Votes Inzil again. Her focus this day is on those who were pressing Kit on Day 2. Those were 2 quite lengthy posts. Day 4 Seems to disapprove of all the revealing going on from the first 3 days. Her first post of the day focused on sally's reveal and how everyone reacted. Questions me if I believed sally's reveal. Proposes to QT to vote either Inzil or Lhuna. Looks through Lhuna's post, decides to vote Lhuna. Puts Lhuna up to 5, Eonwe 3. Vote looks solid. If Kath was a wolf, she pretty much stabbed Lhuna in the back and turned the knife. I haven't looked at her posts yet today. Want to try to get to a few other people... Overall impression is feeling innocent. She focuses on one path each day, doesn't get sidetracked by all the other stuff going on. A decisive vote to lynch Lhuna when a wolf still could have saved her. I also really just enjoy her style of questioning. It's direct and straight forward. No veiled suspicions or tricks. A simple "Did you believe sally's reveal or not?" "What did you mean with the Legate-G55-Pitch kerfuffle from Day 1?" She's probing for information, but they're not "gotcha" questions, I don't feel like I'm walking into a trap with her questions. So yeah, not sure, but feel good.
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05-13-2020, 12:30 PM | #1134 | |
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For what it's worth, Lommy, this discussion with Eonwe you're having is making me feel better about you.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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05-13-2020, 12:30 PM | #1135 | |
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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05-13-2020, 12:32 PM | #1136 |
Laconic Loreman
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Well, I was going to do a Ka-alysis, but I see I've cross posted with some current action regarding THE Ka and Shasta so I will read that now.
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05-13-2020, 12:32 PM | #1137 |
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Crap, yeah, it's Ka. There's a lot of formatting in that post. I'll fix it.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
05-13-2020, 12:40 PM | #1138 |
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I feel like I'm almost certainly going to vote for Ka now, but I also kinda want to hold my vote until the end on general principle.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
05-13-2020, 12:43 PM | #1139 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Well, when you put it that way....
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05-13-2020, 12:43 PM | #1140 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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Boro's analysis of Kath makes her look quite good, but I have to disagree about the Lhuna vote. Even if Kath had voted Eönwë, Lhuna would still have been on the lead because she reached 4 votes first. There would have still needed to be more subsequent votes for Eönwë than for Lhuna to save her, and that's why I don't think Kath's vote was that pivotal. Sure, she was in a place to give Lhuna a fighting chance. But I don't think she was in a place to save her. I can see a packmate not considering it worth it.
(Given that I'm quite suspicious of Eönwë, I can't help but to think what if the two bandwagons actually formed between two wolves yesterDay and they weren't (in a position to be) decisive enough to try to turn the tide. In that case no one's Lhuna-vote makes much difference except maybe the very first ones. But yeah this is a whole another kettle of fish again.) PS. Quote:
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05-13-2020, 12:43 PM | #1141 |
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
05-13-2020, 12:44 PM | #1142 |
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
05-13-2020, 12:59 PM | #1143 | |
Laconic Loreman
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I'm anxious to see who the QT gives us to think about today. Does anyone have a tally of our proposed votes for the QT?
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05-13-2020, 01:00 PM | #1144 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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QT vote
The Quarantine Thread has given its vote.
++ Rune Son of Bjarne (Son of Marx)
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05-13-2020, 01:02 PM | #1145 |
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That is... not where I expected them to vote, given the day's discussion. Hmm.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
05-13-2020, 01:02 PM | #1146 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Agreed. Wonder how they got there.
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05-13-2020, 01:03 PM | #1147 |
The Werewolf's Companion
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O....kay....Not what I expected at all.
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05-13-2020, 01:05 PM | #1148 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Could lightning strike two Days in a row? There are some sharp people over there, no question. It isn't the way I would have voted toDay, but then I seem to recall saying that yesterDay....
x/d with Lottie
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05-13-2020, 01:05 PM | #1149 |
Everlasting Whiteness
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Rune? That is a surprise!
I was holding on to see what the QT vote would be, but I do have to go, and I don't have time to look into the possible reasoning behind this, so I will go with what I said earlier. ++INZIL
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05-13-2020, 01:06 PM | #1150 |
Wight of the Old Forest
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Dang. How likely is it that Lhuna decided this vote?
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05-13-2020, 01:07 PM | #1151 | |
Gruesome Spectre
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Well, at least she's consistent. x/d with Pitch
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05-13-2020, 01:07 PM | #1152 |
Shady She-Penguin
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I am also very surprised.
I'm taking this as "stop taking Rune's innocence for granted" at the very least. But enough reason to do a legate180 and vote him? Ehhhhhh......... I need to think this over. Possibly look at Rune's posts if I have the time (there aren't that many and they aren't that long). edit: xed with the last three
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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05-13-2020, 01:08 PM | #1153 |
Gruesome Spectre
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Don't the innocents have a majority? Lhuna would only have the power to break a tie.
x/d with Lommy
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05-13-2020, 01:09 PM | #1154 |
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Interesting.
I saw logic in Lommy's reasoning that Rune could be innocent with the theory that Legate "dreamed" him and then Lhuna trying to disregard that possibility. However I don't think Rune's behavior in itself has been necessarily innocent. Considering he hasn't been heavily discussed here toDay, I wonder if the QT is reading into something we're not seeing. I'm not sure if I'm ready to follow the QT vote toDay, but I definitely think he's worth taking another look at.
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05-13-2020, 01:10 PM | #1155 |
Shady She-Penguin
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Possible but I would say quite unlikely. Only if the dead innocents made a mess, basically.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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05-13-2020, 01:10 PM | #1156 |
Laconic Loreman
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Fascinating...
Hmm, well maybe I can do a look through Rune. Yesterday I was already suspicious of Lhuna. Maybe just a knock on our head saying Rune's been passed over/fallen off the side of the road lately, should get discussing him. It would take a lot more than the QT vote today to get me seriously considering Rune.
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05-13-2020, 01:10 PM | #1157 |
Wight of the Old Forest
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Yes. I meant whether there was a tie and she broke it. But we can't know that.
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
05-13-2020, 01:12 PM | #1158 |
Gruesome Spectre
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QT contains:
G55 (Cobbler), Rikae (Innocent), Huey (Infector), Kit (Ranger), Sally (Hunter), Legate (Innocent), Lhuna (Infector), and Lal (Innocent). Five Innocents against three baddies. x/d with previous four
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05-13-2020, 01:13 PM | #1159 |
Gruesome Spectre
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I can't see them splitting their votes. Surely there was a bloc against the evil contingent.
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05-13-2020, 01:14 PM | #1160 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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If Rune is a wolf, I would hazard a guess that THE Ka is too. Remember how she compared me and Lhuna's arguments (in a manner that I can't call anything but weird) and came to the conclusion that mine is better? How convenient if Rune was her packmate and she was basically saying "shh Lhuna, let the innocents faultily conclude our packmate is innocent". edit: xed with everyone
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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