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08-17-2009, 06:13 AM | #841 | |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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Quote:
I also thought Inzil's vote suspicious. So I decided to do what I thought was best.
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08-17-2009, 06:33 AM | #842 | |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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Quote:
As for the last minute voting yesterDay. It really makes sense for alona to save herself. After closer inspection sally did say she would break up a tie. So her switching her vote makes sense. I'm not sure why Lommy switched her vote. I never really saw her give a reason. Just mentioned that alona should be grateful. I've never played with her before so I don't know her very well. Rikae doesn't really seem to be a baddie to me. morm has raised some of my flags. At some point in time today I'm going to have to go back and analyze morm. I'd do it this morning, but I'm not going to have enough time before I have to leave for work. Everyone else is flying under my radar as well. Which makes me think that some of the baddies are those that haven't spoken much. However it'd be highly unlikely that they ALL aren't speaking. Which means that I've got plenty of analyzing to do today. People I'd like to analyze today because they are flying below my radar: Nessa, Nerwen, and Mac.
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08-17-2009, 07:00 AM | #843 | |
Shady She-Penguin
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As for my vote - Alon was pretty neutral on my books while Inzil was slightly (but only slightly) suspicious. I was mentally prepared to retract from Shasta to Inzil in order to save morm. I even wrote that post: "--Shasta, ++Inzil, Morm should be grateful." And that grateful comment came because morm and I have old rivalries so it would be quite extraordinary for me to save him. Then, the situation changed quickly and I just replaced morm's name with Alona's without thinking much and posted it. That's it for those who have asked.
Then, the kills. I believe phantom was killed because he seemed like a seer dream and possibly also because he is a dangerous opponent (mayhaps he was getting too close to the truth with Shasta and/or Rikae and they decided to eliminate him with the seer-dream cover?) Brinn, then. I don't know why people find it so surprising. You can't expect a pattern based on one single kill. I think Brinn was possibly picked for suspected wolvishness or giftedness, and probably at least for being improbable wolf kill. (Hmm, don't ask why she'd be an improbable wolf kill. Probably because she had come under more suspicion than many others.) I don't like the way Form speculates about the bear kills. It looks like he's been thinking of bear tactics far too much for his own good, which could point at him being the bear himself, or possibly being a wolf. I get weird vibes of Autume. She seems somehow very reserved and defensive and agreeing with people. But I don't know if it's just her style, I've never played with her before. Morm - to me, Rikae is a big questionmark. I suspect her to some extent, but then again she has this big innocence show going on and claims she wouldn't do this and that as a wolf and accuses people for thinking that she's either stupid or evil and calculating if they suspect her of something like that, so I'm not sure. Sally seems to be very much like her usual self, she tends to be jumpier (mmh she actually is a bit jumpy now but not as jumpy as she tends to be a wolf) and more careful when being a wolf. So I'm not sure about her either but she's leaning innocent. Alona's use of smileys is kind of disturbing. Greenie has complained to me before for suspecting her on grounds like that, but really, the overt use of smileys - especially sad smiley, normal smiley and eek smiley - or using them in wrong places gives a dishonest or trying-to-please impression, and that's what Alona is doing now. Quote:
I'm going to work now, but I'll be back in some five hours. See you all! edit: xed with Autume
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08-17-2009, 07:08 AM | #844 | |
Maundering Mage
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Quote:
Oh, but I better not suspect you too much otherwise Sally-wolf may find it 'suspicious' that somebody else has strong suspicions and the two of you would suspect me further for the simple reason of suspecting you.
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08-17-2009, 08:01 AM | #845 | |
Wight
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Quote:
Okay, I'm off to school. I'll be back around 1pm pst to post. PS: I go crazy with smileys on AIM, too.
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08-17-2009, 08:14 AM | #846 | |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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Quote:
Edit Xed with alona
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08-17-2009, 08:25 AM | #847 | ||
Maundering Mage
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Quote:
I saw this but didn't comment last night Quote:
Rikae, your Nerwen remark is interesting. I think there is merit in it. I would like investigate this further though I fear there are some time constraints as this is my first day back to work after a week off.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
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08-17-2009, 08:38 AM | #848 |
Mellifluous Maia
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Alona, earlier you seem to have said that Lommy and/or Sally was not trying to save you, since their votes crossed with yours? That doesn't make sense - if their votes *hadn't* crossed with yours, the fact that yours saved yourself would speak in their favor, but since they crossed, it doesn't make any difference.
Lommy's explanation for the "grateful" comment sounds believable enough, although there is still something that makes me uneasy about her. I think the trio of Sally/autume/Alona just has to contain at least one wolf - I have a feeling knowing one of their roles would help sort out the others. EDIT: X'd with Morm. EDIT again: "her" not "he" for Lommy. |
08-17-2009, 08:42 AM | #849 |
Mellifluous Maia
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What Nerwen remark, Morm?
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08-17-2009, 08:56 AM | #850 |
Mellifluous Maia
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One other thing - I don't like Nessa's commentary, although I'm not sure if it's just because I disagree with her/don't like the style, or whether it's really suspicious. She seems detached, just here to make comments of questionable value. Day 1 she looked like she was encouraging people to vote randomly, and now she's saying she doesn't like how "divided" the village has become - it just seems fishy, as though she's saying "concentrate on a couple innocents, so I and my buddies don't have to worry" or something. Nothing wolves like better than a swiftly rolling bandwagon for an innocent (and they are free to stand aside and say "I told you so").
Considering that... why has there not been more analysis of yesterDay's voting, anyway? The Zilwagon needs a closer look. |
08-17-2009, 09:06 AM | #851 | |
Mellifluous Maia
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Wait just a minute here. Sally's running around toDay saying she said beforehand that she would break a tie, therefore her vote isn't questionable... but this was in her vote post:
Quote:
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08-17-2009, 09:08 AM | #852 |
Mellifluous Maia
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And Autume really gives me the impression of protecting Sally now. Something's not kosher.
And with that, I achieve the elusive quintuple post! |
08-17-2009, 09:14 AM | #853 |
Maundering Mage
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My mistake, I remember the remark but I thought it was you. It was Mac, my mistake.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
08-17-2009, 09:18 AM | #854 | |
Maundering Mage
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Quote:
__________________
“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
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08-17-2009, 09:59 AM | #855 |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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I misunderstood what you were saying then.
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08-17-2009, 10:20 AM | #856 | |
Maundering Mage
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Quote:
Yet you seem jumpy so I am glad to know of it. My vote is going to Autume or Sally.
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“I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo. "So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.” |
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08-17-2009, 10:45 AM | #857 |
Mellifluous Maia
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Lisssstses, precious.
Look what Rikae writes! It is young, it is tender, it is nice! Read it!
Suspicious alonariel- For reasons given yesterDay (seems to be trying to win people over, inconsistent) plus people seem to be protecting her. Seems to be using newness as a bit of a shield. autume- Not making a lot of sense (although could be newbieness to blame), going with the flow overmuch, odd interactions with Sally and Alona. sally- Both unsubstantial and touchy, weak and misleading defense re: vote, seems to be protecting alona. Hard to read: Durelin- She's posted very few times, although they were longish posts. There doesn't seem to be anything our of the ordinary, but she is capable of doing that as a wolf, so no read. Formendacil- He seems to be staying outside the hotter debates and not particularly commiting himself to anything. A bit cautious. Lommy- Something about her makes me uneasy, although her vote-switching defense looks honest so I no longer suspect her as much for *that* reason, anyway. Mira- Seems excited, very involved, although slippery. Could be first-time baddieism or simply an extra effort to play well. Under radarish: Nerwen- Nothing she said really stuck, somehow. Lots of joking. Nessa- I feel like she's trying to stand outside of the discussion, while poking at people to stir up annoyance and debate. Doesn't seem to be really *playing* the game, somehow. Nienna- Very low-key and noncontroversial, seems either overwhelmed by RL or hiding from the spotlight. Shasta- Definitely cast in shadows, that's all I can say. Leaning innocent: Macalaure- I'm more confident of his innocence than anybody. morm- Controversial, aggressive, but feels honest and mormlike. Rikae- Well, actually I'm confident of my innocence, too. Of course, even if all my "suspicious" people are evil, this means I'm unsure about or trusting at least two baddies. Better look more closely... Also, way too many people are under the radar for this point in the game. That's one thing that I dont' like about Nessa's comment on division: if anything, there are too many people in this village who haven't come under any scrutiny. Everybody should feel some pressure at some point, just to see how they react. Even if we don't catch the wolves, the least we could do is make them earn the win, instead of coasting there in the shadows! |
08-17-2009, 10:49 AM | #858 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Sally:
Day One
47 - banter… will need to vote early because she may not be around 51, 59, 65, 68, 76, 79, 82, 85, 87, 89, 91, 93, 96, 108, 111, 114, 122 - banter 72 - thinks Hakon looks fishy… too eager 98 - explains to Phantom that baddies can leave clues as well 102 - agrees with Phantom but says that she thinks that if gifteds were going to leave clues they would do it anyway and if they weren’t then his advice probably falls on deaf ears 104 - feels that if the wolves want to fake reveal then there is nothing really that the gifteds can do about it, but they can try 106 - still talking about codes - thinks that if you leave a code and you die your code dies too but if you leave obscure enough hints someone might catch on 109 - A hunter’s logical picks can help the village if they know them 218 - Hints should be obscure, early deadline isn’t going to work, surveys were confidential, Hakon seems ‘undevious’, bear discussion: if given the option we should lynch the bear first, explains things to Hakon, we can’t control the bear, doesn’t like Day One, is most suspicious of Hakon, says that if she is a bear she would want to kill the wolves but says that since she is ordo that is of no consequence, Hakon should drop the bear thing before she votes for him, enjoys Morm’s vote and retraction and vote again for Hakon 219 - wants to talk about something un-bear related 223 - threatens to vote for anyone else to discuss the bear 253 - Phantom’s a nutjob 259 - thinks Phantom’s suggestion that people vote for Fea is weird 274 - refuses to discuss surveys, offers herself up for lynching if it will save a gifted, votes Hakon 281 - really doesn’t want to talk about surveys 300 - thinks Hakon is by far the most suspicious so retracts and locks in her vote for Hakon 458 - trusts Phantom in RL so that may bleed into game but she is willing to give him the benefit of the doubt, has no feelings about the newbies, Rikae scares her, thinks Pitchwife’s vote for her screams wolf 464 - Pitchwife is bothering her but she can’t change her vote so she is just letting everyone else know 469 - thinks Pitchwife is more concerned with the way votes make him look than the actual vote count Day Two 544 - thinks that Pitchwife’s vote for her Day One might have been a hint because she was offering herself up if it was to save a gifted 547 - clarifies for Zil that she locked in her vote for Hakon because she was pretty sure he was the most suspicious at the time 551 - wonders why the bear picked Hakon and wishes people to discuss it while she is sleeping 628 - explains that she locked in her vote because she didn’t think she was going to be back for deadline and didn’t want people wondering if she was going to retract, list with Morm being the only one suspicious, votes Morm because he was saying that it was stupid to vote for Hakon and yet he voted for Hakon as well. 651 - agrees with Mac and is willing to look at Zil again 668 - offers herself up on the lynching pile 673 - won’t die just to satisfy Phantoms bloodlust but will if it saves a gifted 699 - rather not have a tie 703 - Phantom song: It seems she is suspicious of Rikae, Autume, and Shasta?... though I’m not sure… and now that I look ahead this might just have been for the song to make sense 711 - thinks Morm and Zil are suspicious and that Zil is just screaming at to be voted 716 - asks Phantom what he thinks of Morm and Zil 721 - wants Phantom to be innocent 724 - thinks she is going to have to take a look at Shasta at some point but won’t be voting for him 764 - retracts for Morm and changes to Zil who she thinks is more suspicious than Alona Day Three 775 - is going to pull up Brinns posts 785 - explains that she wanted to break the tie that is why she changed to Zil 791 - wonders if Rikae seems a bit eager to suspect her 794 - still suspects Morm 797 - allows Rikae to suspect her as long as it is done for good reason 802 - suspects Morm because he is grasping at straws and for looking for guilt where there is none 806 - defends herself, is going to analyze Alona as well because she is looking suspicious 809 - calls Morm a wolf 837 - Nerwen looks shiny to her (which I assume means innocent) It is really nice being able to see all a person posted and go through it step by step. To me Sally is not looking particularly wolfish. Her constant offering herself up for lynching is sort of weird but that might just be her being a nice ordo… it could also be her trying to seem like a nice ordo. Her changing her vote to get rid of the tie seems fine to me. She did state many times before she changed that both Morm and Zil looked suspicious so breaking a tie in favor of someone she finds suspicious seems fine. What does worry me just a little is how she begins suspect people just based on others suspicions not necessarily anything that said person did to deserve these suspicions. If that doesn’t make sense I can clarify. For me Sally is probably about ľ of the way up on my suspicion list. I’d like to hear what others think of her as well.
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08-17-2009, 10:59 AM | #859 |
Mellifluous Maia
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Nienna, although Sally said she'd vote to break a tie, she actually was creating a tie with her final vote (or rather, thought she was, and says so in the vote post). Now she uses tie-breaking as an excuse anyway.
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08-17-2009, 11:15 AM | #860 | |
Shade of Carn Dűm
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It seems that I have accidentally created some confusion. Below I thought that when Sally voted for Dun she was voting for Durelin.
So where I put Dun 1 it should actually read morm 1, Inzil 5. At this point alona has 4. So sally did break the tie. Lommy's vote would make it Shasta 1, and Inzil 6. I am terribly sorry for any confusion I have caused. Quote:
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08-17-2009, 11:23 AM | #861 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Sorry, I got quite ill last night so I ditched the computer in favor of....well, not being here. Heh.
And Morm, I 'calmed down' last night because I went to bed. Nothing more. ETA: Oi! It submitted my post before I was finished! Well, in that case I'll just say that I'll be back in a second. Fell asleep last night before I could do/finish my Brinn analysis, so I'll wrap that up quick and then I might have an announcement to make. We shall see.
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08-17-2009, 11:33 AM | #862 |
Mellifluous Maia
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autume, yes, Sally broke the tie - but she didn't know that's what she was doing at the time, as her vote post clearly shows! She can't use that as an excuse now.
Furthermore, it's irrelevant how alona's retraction reflects on Sally's and Lommy's, since they all crossed with each other. Sally, making an "announcement" at this time, if I understand you properly, would be needless and, therefore, exceedingly suspicious. |
08-17-2009, 11:44 AM | #863 | |
Wight
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Quote:
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08-17-2009, 11:45 AM | #864 | ||
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
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Quote:
Quote:
Hello all, btw. Sally, Nessa, Nienna, Mira, Lommy, alona, autume...so many to lynch, so little time...I guess I need to pick a few favorites. I must say I could almost thank the wolves for taking phantom's advice, but I also think they are silly for actually listening to him. It's funny to me that there was some quiet consensus that he was the Night 1 Seer dream...as usual? Perhaps we should lynch all you people who are convinced of such. Or maybe we should lynch everyone with a sick sense of humor. <_< >_> |
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08-17-2009, 11:46 AM | #865 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Quote:
That wasn't even close to what I meant, but thanks for that. Finishing my Brinn analysis now, if I may. EDIT: x'd with Alona and Durie. And I'll admit to editing my post for the re-tie. I'll explain in a minute.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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08-17-2009, 11:47 AM | #866 |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
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Hmm maybe I'm sexist.
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08-17-2009, 11:49 AM | #867 | |
Mellifluous Maia
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Quote:
EDIT: X'd with Durie, Sally and Durie again. |
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08-17-2009, 11:53 AM | #868 | ||
Mellifluous Maia
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Quote:
Quote:
++Sally |
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08-17-2009, 11:59 AM | #869 |
Wight
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So why all the scrutiny on me for the last-minute retractions? It wouldn't have made a difference whether or not it was me or Dun (is that the nickname we decided on?) who was lynched, the village would still be down an ordo toDay.
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08-17-2009, 12:01 PM | #870 |
Wight
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Just wanted to add - Art class let out early, which is why I'm on now. I should be shopping for supplies for Wednesday's class, but well, you know how addicting this game can be...
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08-17-2009, 12:03 PM | #871 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Quote:
K, finished (more or less) with my Brinn analysis, and it should be up shortly. As promised.... So when I made my vote post yesterDay I re-tied when intending to break the tie. Saw that I'd x'd, edited it in, then realized I'd retied. Put it an apology about the retie and since I wasn't seeing straight (quite literally) it's in the actual post rather than the edit. If you want to lynch me for it, fine. It was an honest mistake and one that I'd like to thank Durie (I think, or at least she's the one who I saw quoted the post and actually saw my whoops) for pointing out to me. Brinn analysis up shortly. Then....I think I'll give our resident psychic (Shasta) a lookthrough before I make my announcement/thing. EDIT: x'd with Alona twice. Oh, and I guess Rikae's voted for me. Heh, didn't catch that. Go me.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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08-17-2009, 12:05 PM | #872 | |
Mellifluous Maia
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Quote:
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08-17-2009, 12:14 PM | #873 |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,063
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Nienna and Mira - both 'analyze' (=summarize, but that's what nearly everyone does) and come to very forced conclusions.
Nessa - No substances whatsoever. Nor anything amusing. If you're the cobbler you should be louder and less worried about lynching a wolf. Sally - Bad reactions, weird vote (seems to mean one of two things right now), post #544 when talking about Pitchwife's vote for her... alona and autume - Jumpy, defensive, while agreeable, and highlighting new-ness. Let's see some backbone! They're probably lowest on my list if only maybe because I have no background with them. Lommy - Feels calm but sneaky, and I haven't agreed with anything she's said as I recall, which is odd to me. Hmm have I ever seen a Lommy-cobbler? Nerwen - Not sure. Feels innocent, but... Form - Feels innocent. Rikae and Morm - I've been agreeing with them quite a bit, and am starting to feel uneasy about it. Mac and Shasta - Who? |
08-17-2009, 12:15 PM | #874 | |
Mellifluous Maia
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Quote:
1) where is the post in which Durie pointed it out to you? I only see her talking about her own un-bolded vote. 2) why did you use doing what you said you were going to do, ie, tiebreaking, as a vote explaination toDay without explaining all this? 3) ...gotta check something... |
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08-17-2009, 12:19 PM | #875 | |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
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Quote:
Not what I was pointing out, as no one could know that's what you did/meant to do. |
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08-17-2009, 12:20 PM | #876 |
Estelo dagnir, Melo ring
Join Date: Oct 2002
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Sally's talking about my post #864.
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08-17-2009, 12:20 PM | #877 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Quote:
2: Because I didn't realize I'd done it until....erm, post 864. 3: Okie dokie. Enjoy. And really, if I did something that dumb I rather deserve to be lynched. (Not looking for sympathy, I really do feel stupid.) The problem is that if you lynch me you're lynching another ordo, so just take that into consideration. Oh, I've not posted my analysis. Crap! *hangs head in shame* Thought I had.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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08-17-2009, 12:21 PM | #878 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
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Fair enough. See the end of my last post.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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08-17-2009, 12:23 PM | #879 |
Mellifluous Maia
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yes, I was right.
3) Sally, if you only crossed with Alona, and not with Durie, you were re-tying the votes as far as you knew at the time you posted. Durie put Alona at 4, while Inzil and Morm were at 3. You then (as far as you knew) tied Inzil with Alona. Usually detailed explanations of errors and misunderstandings look innocentish (and you know that, Sally), but this just looks like a tangled web of lies that keeps getting worse and worse. EDIT: far as you knew, not know. Also X'd with Sally, Sally, Durie, Durie. |
08-17-2009, 12:25 PM | #880 | |||||||||||||||||
The Sweetest Spoiler
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K, so I know some of these posts are rubbish and I'm sorry, but I'm quoting them anyway in the hopes that maybe I/someone else can figure out why she was killed. It's possible the bear thought she was leaving a hint or something, so it's best to have everything in one place.
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Really, though, I've got nothing. Quote:
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On a serious note, she's (of course) saying that we're silly for lynching Pitch, and she's trusting Phantom, but this was a village wide mood, so why her? Quote:
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I know I had something more to say but I lost it. It boils down to this. Brinn didn't say much, and her (granted mostly random) votes were both for Morm. I think Morm's not that transparent, but it could either be a setup from the bear or Morm could assume that we'd think that highly of him and use it against us. Or, sadly, it could still just be random. (Blah, all of that to say I don't know? I feel cheated.)
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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