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04-16-2010, 12:14 PM | #721 |
shadow of a doubt
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I dunno, I'd like to think so. From an in-game perspective it's difficult to say. Won't go through Greenie's posts now looking for clues but the way I recall things she called me probably innocent or something to that effect. So did lots of other people. And I was hardly the only one Greenie called innocent... From a RL-perspective I think you or Agan are much better judges than me.
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04-16-2010, 01:11 PM | #722 | ||||
Woman of Secret Shadow
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And what do you mean by unsure? I read her posts and wrote what impressions I got. Then I made my conclusion about her based on the said impressions. I'm not sure she's guilty, but I just fail to see why appearing unsure when making an analysis is a sign of innocence. Quote:
As for the "lynchable Inzil", you might notice it was partly my effort that made him lynchable - because he was my top suspect. Glirdy and sally pretty much slipped under my radar all the time - which you should know they wouldn't have done if I had been their fellow. I don't like your points against me. They're not enough to make me think you're a wolf after all you've done, it's just that they're bad.
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04-16-2010, 01:12 PM | #723 | ||||||
shadow of a doubt
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If you are still around Nerwen (what time is it in Oz now?) I'd like to know what you mean by "over-literal"? Quote:
Here's Morsul's response btw: Quote:
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In retrospect Nogrod did looked a likelier wolf than Shasta. Sally And Glirdan I'm still amazed we nailed so quickly and still don't really understand just how it happened. After a quick review I can see why Nogrod was lynched, though. At the time of voting however I was behind in the reading (still am, but slightly less so) and I'm just loath to jump on a bandwagon without good reason.
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04-16-2010, 01:19 PM | #724 |
shadow of a doubt
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Well, the points that Nerwen brought up are fairly obvious, aren't they. Not voting on now proved wolves the last two days and seemingly standing up for at least one of them, namely Glirdan. With result in hand these points gave me a good night's IC sleep confident that the remaining wolf would not come after me.
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04-16-2010, 01:21 PM | #725 | |||||||
Reflection of Darkness
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From YesterDay
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04-16-2010, 01:22 PM | #726 | |
shadow of a doubt
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Yeah but it's very childish, isn't it? And not at all helpful for the village if he is innocent, nor helpful for him if he is a wolf. It could easily be a desperate bluff.
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04-16-2010, 01:23 PM | #727 |
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Not necessarily. I would have been surprised/slightly embarrassed too if my top suspect had been revealed as the seer.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
04-16-2010, 01:24 PM | #728 |
Reflection of Darkness
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I still have more to say, but I'm off my work shift and need to leave now. I'll be back later.
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04-16-2010, 01:26 PM | #729 | |
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Huh a couple of days ago I wouldn't have believed I'd be defending Morsul...
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04-16-2010, 01:33 PM | #730 | ||||
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Reply to the faggot lion ;)
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And no need to get so jumpy. *raises eyebrows* PS. And I don't want to start an innocent-Agan vs innocent-Lommy argument (since we have avoided it this far, I'm actually surprised ) nor a wolf-Agan vs innocent-Lommy argument started by the person first mentioned to get people think it's another innocent-on-innocent row and thus makes them both look innocent. edit: xed with everything since Brinn's first edit2: marked a quote
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04-16-2010, 01:46 PM | #731 | |||||
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And I don't want to start an argument either, it just happened! Anyway while Lommy was writing her charming little post I looked through the thread to see who had used their retractions, and I don't like the result very much... In addition to some dead people, only Lottie and me don't have ours left. Okay I suppose it could be worse too, if only a few refused to let go of theirs and there were more wolves left.
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04-16-2010, 01:59 PM | #732 | ||
shadow of a doubt
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Edit: Agan: Lottie too still has hers left. I remember her retraction was late. Again, why is this a problem?
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04-16-2010, 02:07 PM | #733 | ||
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04-16-2010, 02:27 PM | #734 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Agan's... defending me
There are many reasons to vote oneself... Frustration For the greater good to have a unanimous vote(Happened a few games ago) and others... My vote is definitely not out of frustration.
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04-16-2010, 02:30 PM | #735 |
shadow of a doubt
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So either we have Morsul the Martyr or Morsul the Desperate Lone Wolf? Voting on him does seems like a win-win scenario and at the moment I'm willing to oblige.
But I'm also concerned about the lack of other serious candidates. And Agan, wouldn't you save yourself by retracting and re-voting if you had the chance and it was your only chance? Regardless of the role? Edit: To clarify, an innocent saving himself from being lynched by re-voting may also get the real wolf lynched and thus be good for the village.
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04-16-2010, 02:35 PM | #736 | ||
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Yeah Morsul wouldn't have thought so?
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FYI, I'm trying to go through Nog's interactions with others in order to supplement Lommy's extensive wolf post analysis (mainly because I think it was a darn good way to do it ). However I'd love to go to sleep in half an hour so it might be I don't have to complete it.
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04-16-2010, 02:52 PM | #737 |
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Here and reading, and can I just say I don't like how everyone is dismissing Morsul simply because of the way he acts? People change the ways they act all the time.
Alright then.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
04-16-2010, 02:54 PM | #738 |
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Alright, I've seen a few things in Morsul's posts that are making me think something interesting.
++Morsul I should be around (but distracted) for the next two hours or so, if something comes up.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
04-16-2010, 02:59 PM | #739 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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Shasta I wonder what was interesting in my posts that you saw. But hey good vote.
Here's a thought... there are 7 ordos left YAY! but one is cursed they don't even know they're cursed I certainly hope we get us a wolf... But if not maybe the unicorn(we have a chance of getting our folks back) or cursed the las wolf truely is alone Oh and one more thing Shasta has good reasoning and I think she's innocent. Skip on the other hand would be happy to oblige my easy lynch. Jumping on a bit of bait? --Morsul ++Skip
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04-16-2010, 03:07 PM | #740 |
Woman of Secret Shadow
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++Nerwen
For reasons already explained. I'll be around at least until I've done the Nog thingy... However I don't think I'll analyse it any further than that (sorry but I need my sleep, even if it's weekend) but at least it's there in case somebody else has more time and energy.
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04-16-2010, 03:14 PM | #741 |
shadow of a doubt
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Alright.
++Morsul Better him than me (apart from what I've already said)! Going out now for a bit but might be back briefly in a couple of hours.
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04-16-2010, 03:16 PM | #742 | ||
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Okay, back. I didn't read deeply the Nerwen-Agan-whatnot-whatever disputes, so I am going to reread them again properly to see what was going on there. Meanwhile, comment on other posts:
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Generally speaking, if I went with sort of my line of thought how it was all the time and not admitting any possibility of suddenly turning my world upside-down because of being paranoid that Nerwen, Agan or somebody might be Wolves, then I would basically seek for the Wolf between Shasta or Mira the most. There is one reason why I think Agan might be innocent, also because I believe Greenie would have dreamed of her. I mean, have Aganzir running unchecked, I think she would have looked into that. I think now it's really a pity that she did not get to reveal her dreams to us! Unless she really dreamed only of dead people. But that sounds quite unlikely - also exactly because of what I have just said about Agan. So now I am going to reread, then reread somehow further into the past, and then hopefully even further, and if I am not asleep by then, I will do something about it. EDIT: x-ed since Morsul
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04-16-2010, 03:17 PM | #743 |
Woman of Secret Shadow
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Nogrod & people
I excluded dead people + Lottie because they didn't seem so important. I also left out Nog's day 4 posts, mainly because I personally think we can't make much of them plus I want to go to sleep. Sorry I'm not any more useful.
Also, I hope I didn't miss any posts... I just searched the thread for "nog." Nog on others DAY 1 -says Agan is more concerned about her image -attacks Inzil for saying winty's vote receives scrutiny -disagrees with Agan about getting rid of the retrackies -gives winty a newbie pass on day 1 -says Mira could be a sneaky wolf but voting for her would be a shot in the dark -some things about Agan bother him but not enough to lynch her -can't read Shasta but his jump on Morsul looks bad -Nerwen speaks sense and is dangerous "unless one has reason not to suspect her," hopes her argument with Agan wasn't wolf-on-wolf -Legate speaks sense and is dangerous "unless one has reason not to suspect him" -Morsul darn suspicious = normal Morsul, easy voting target -skip has been making sense -Brinn reasonable and scary DAY 2 -says there are points against*[Glirdan and] Brinn to a lesser degree (& fair points against sally & Zil) -Agan more innocentish than not -skip feels good -Mira doesn't feel honest and her winty vote is too easy, resemblesShasta's ramblings about Morsul/winty -Morsul gets lynched a lot, not saying he isn't a wolf but he's a too easy suspect -winty looks suspicious but is most likely just a newbie DAY 3 -if Glirdan's a wolf Lommy looks innocent, skip harder to place -d2 Agan added a new voting candidate (Zil), possibly trying to save sally & Glirdy -d2 Shasta's vote isn't the best for helping a fellow but introduced a new candidate (Morsul) -d2 Mira voted easy (winty), introduced a new candidate as well -d2 Morsul possibly a wolf playing it risky -d2 Nerwen looks good for adding a vote for a wolf -d2 Legate & winty made good votes -d2 Brinn's vote good too but she didn't mention Glirdan at all -notes that skip defends Glirdan -tries to buddy up with Agan who said she didn't get Green's suspicion of him -if Glirdan's a wolf, Shasta & Mira look quite bad and Agan relatively bad -doesn't know about Mira, tells we can lynch her if we want but he doesn't have an opinion ** Others on Nog DAY 1 -Agan has him in Nonsense category -Lommy is disturbed by his manner of creeping and grinning but otherwise he's ok -Legate agrees that Lottiewagon is strange -Brinn agrees with him about the reason for keeping her retraction -Shasta says Nog misinterprets mistakes again DAY 2 -if Legate had to choose a wolf from each bandwagon, he'd say Brinn or Nog from the Fea wagon -Legate agrees with Nog that if sally had wanted to save Lottie she wouldn't have voted for him -Lommy doesn't like Nog's reaction to her & Green's Lottie votes, names Nog as one of her suspects -Agan is not on Nog's wavelength but thinks he looks good & wolfish Nog wouldn't have brought up points against Fea -Nerwen thinks Nog's row with Inzil doesn't look good but might be a language problem -Brinn finds Nog reasonable -Agan doesn't think Nog is guilty but isn't convinced about his innocence -Legate says he's hard to work it (listed under in uffish thought he stood) DAY 3 -Shasta criticises Nog's calling winty an easy lynch, suggests saying that is just an excuse to suspect anyone who suspects winty -skip doesn't like Green's suspicion of Nog -Nerwen agrees with Nog that Glirdan's playing style is always suspicious DAY 4 -Shasta didn't like Nog's insistence that many people were voting for the easy lynches when Nog did it himself too -Nerwen makes an analysis (d1) and says he doesn't look furry but she wouldn't be too surprised if he was -Legate thinks the Greenie kill might have been intended to frame Nog although he could be a wolf too; Green didn't necessarily dream of Nog -Lommy believes Green dreamt of Nog -Nerwen says he could go either way (d2 posts) -Nerwen seriously considers voting for him after post 587 -Brinn thinks the possibility of Nogwolf is realistic although it could've also been a framing attempt (unlikely though) -Nerwen says he doesn't look as bad as Glirdan did but is leaning furry -Lommy quite confident about Nog's guilt -Agan not surprised if Nog's a wolf, prepared to vote for him -Legate repeats the possibility of the wolves wanting to frame Nog -Agan votes for Nog -Lommy votes for Nog -Legate rambles about Nog; "possibly suspicious but don't make sense"; wonders whether he should join the Nogwagon -skip is starting to get worried about Nog but votes for Shasta -Shasta will probably vote for Nog -Legate suspects Nog -Shasta votes Nog -Legate votes Nog -Brinn says Glirdan's d1 comment on Nog looks very wolf-on-wolf -Brinn votes Nog, saying she's surprised if he's innocent -winty votes for Nog -Nerwen votes for Nog but "if anybody else really jumps out I may switch"
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 04-16-2010 at 03:19 PM. Reason: xed with skip & Legate |
04-16-2010, 03:20 PM | #744 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Okay and since Morsul did it, now I can say it aloud, that's exactly what I have been thinking he's going to do. The action may of course not imply anything in general if just anybody did it, but given Morsul-logic, if I try to imagine it from his perspective, it makes me think him more innocent. Maybe also Shasta, but there's a questionmark over that.
EDIT: x-ed with Agan
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04-16-2010, 03:22 PM | #745 | |
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I'm going to sleep soonishly (unless you suddenly start to post something very interesting ).
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
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04-16-2010, 03:35 PM | #746 |
Reflection of Darkness
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winty: I just can't see him being a wolf. If he were one, he probably would've had more guidance on the first Days. He looks like a confused newbie innocent to me.
Mira: I don't suspect her because even with time constraints, I think she would be more devoted to the game as a wolf. I just can't see a Mira-wolf miss voting for two Days considering her participation would be more important than ever with all her packmates gone. Aganzir: Scares me a little bit. I agree with some things she says and I think she made a good case against Nerwen. The problem is an Agan-wolf is capable of making brilliant cases against players in order to get them lynched (I would know). The only reason I'm leaning more towards innocence is that I'm not sure she would make such a strong case as a wolf when she needs to last several Days in order to win. If Nerwen turns out innocent, that would make Aganzir look bad which is not what a lone wolf wants when they need to survive three more Days to win. Shasta: I'm very uncertain about him. It'd be interesting if he were a wolf, and I wouldn't put it past Nogrod to suspect his final packmate if he thought it would help. Of course, this tactic was already tried and failed, so maybe not. Reading Shasta's posts, there's nothing that jumps out at me as seriously suspicious, but I'm still not sure. Nerwen: Suspicious. While her voting record may seem good, the timing on her votes is not. And the reasons she comes to for voting the wolves has been rather wishy-washy...she certainly hasn't been eager to lynch any of them. The open case she's done on me doesn't feel all that innocent...it's her hesitance that makes me skeptical. Legate: I don't know. His posts often end up becoming a blur to me because they're so long, but from what I got reading, he seems genuine. But the problem is that Legate can be really sneaky...sometimes when he seems least suspicious, he turns out to be a wolf. I don't see any reason to suspect him right now, but I would just like to keep an eye on him. Morsul: His behaviour in this game seems typical of him. I can't see him being so clever or bold to vote fellow wolves from early on and then toDay vote for himself to make himself look innocent. Those are some very risky moves for a wolf to make. I do think it's less likely he's a wolf and would rather not see him lynched toDay. Skip: While he's done some suspicious things, his intentions behind his actions seem good and his words genuine. He could very well be a clever newbie wolf...I can see him pulling it off. I'm still leaning toward innocence, but I'm a little more unsure of it compared to other players in that category. Lommy: I think she's innocent. I can't remember her having any hesitance in suspecting and voting for the wolves...I doubt a wolf would be so eager to lynch all her fellows and I don't think Lommy's the type who'd want to be a lone wolf. I also agree with her on many points, particularly the list post she made about other players. If Lommy is a wolf, I'd have to give her mad props because I just don't see the slightest bit of wolfishness in her.
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04-16-2010, 03:39 PM | #747 |
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And then your other post which talked about a "plan"... do you really want me to spell it out for the class, Morsul?
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
04-16-2010, 03:41 PM | #748 | |
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I don't like the votes against Skip and Morsul. I'd far rather see Shasta, Agan or Nerwen gone toDay, in that order more or less. edit: xed with Brinn and Shasta, corrected quote markings
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04-16-2010, 03:42 PM | #749 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
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why not?
1. Morsul thinks he's clever 2. Morsul isn't subtle 3. Morsul let's his plan slide
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04-16-2010, 03:44 PM | #750 | |
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I think Morsul's the Unicorn and would like to trade him out, hopefully for Greenie.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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04-16-2010, 03:50 PM | #751 | |
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++Morsul For reasons previously stated and since he's the only one who's really jumped out at me. This might change if I get the chance to go over some things more closely, but wanted to make sure I didn't miss deadline again.
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04-16-2010, 03:53 PM | #752 |
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If Morsul is the Unicorn and wants to come out, it would make more sense NOT to lynch him. We'd have another known innocent and the chances of getting Greenie back are already quite slim...
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04-16-2010, 03:56 PM | #753 |
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...and will just get slimmer as the game goes on. One could also argue that now is the best time to do it, as we aren't down to the point where lynches are crucial.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
04-16-2010, 03:59 PM | #754 |
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I just thought of something - Lommy, we really never agree on anything, do we?
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
04-16-2010, 04:00 PM | #755 |
Shady She-Penguin
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Vote count
Morsul 3 Skip 2 Nerwen 1 right? Don't like it, especially if Morsul indeed is the Unicorn (well lynching him would be better than lynching an ordo, but still not good). ++Nerwen She's the only one of my suspects who we can get lynched toDay. I'm trusting Brinn to back me up on this - if she does and Winty doesn't appear and no one retracts, Nerwen should be dead meat and hopefully (although I'm not too optimistic) game over. edit: xed with Shasta x2
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04-16-2010, 04:00 PM | #756 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
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Anyway, sort of generally... if I think about voting... Not voting Mira, because she could hang around for a while yet and then be modfired if she does not participate. If she does, we can at least read something from her and see. Not going to vote her now when she hasn't been around for a while. Not voting Morsul, said above, generally now leaning to think him innocent. Not voting Lommy. If there is anybody innocent around here, it's her. Not voting Agan either. I believe she is innocent. (Okay, though actually now Lommy has disputed that dream thing, so I might recheck it. Still, otherwise, not really suspecting her... or sort of "would like not to suspect her". Because I am sort of restraining myself from starting to think her a Wolf, because if she is, I am going to hate her.) Now we are getting into the harder part. Not voting skip? Because if he is a Wolf he would deserve it and at least we could lynch him in every consequent game? I am not really sure. Brinniel. Nerwen. Not really suspecting either of them. Brinniel maybe even less. Actually after her last posts I think her innocent. Nerwen, I think I am getting paranoid, maybe I need to re-read some of her older posts. Her summary as made by Agan does not make me suspect her, as many of the points she brings up there are explainable to me and I don't see anything suspicious in them. But then... now not sure if the rereading is going to accomplish much, to be honest. If she is a Wolf, the only way to incriminate her is to dream of her or to find her through her packmates. WW is not much around... his voting list speaks partially against him being a Wolf. Does that leave Shasta... I need to re-read him as well. EDIT: x-ed since Mira and all... okay...
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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04-16-2010, 04:02 PM | #757 | |
Werewolf Psychic
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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04-16-2010, 04:10 PM | #758 |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Haha forgot that Legate exists. Sorry darling! Doesn't change the situation much, though. Only means that Brinn if Nerwen is your main suspect it means you had better only vote after Legate has gone to sleep. (Don't really want to see Skippy lynched as I think him a probable seer dream.)
Shasta, I think "never" is too strong a word. I'd say "we agree very seldom." I just think that I would rather try our chances on a wolf toDay and if we lynch an innocent, see the Unicorn go for example next Night with a slightly smaller chance of getting Greenie back and thus rob the wolf of a Night-kill rather than lynch the Unicorn toDay and have a slightly bigger chance of getting Greenie back and thus rob us of a lynch. Anyway, now that we have found one wolf from her posts, her coming back doesn't matter so much anymore. It would be nice to get a known innocent or two, but to lynch the Unicorn just for the slight chance (1/5) of getting that doesn't make any sense to me. edit: xed with Shasta
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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04-16-2010, 04:12 PM | #759 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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04-16-2010, 04:15 PM | #760 | |
Shady She-Penguin
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: In a far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 8,093
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Quote:
PS. It's getting late here. I'm off to brush teeth and change into pyjamas. I'll check this thread in 10 minutes, post if there's something worthy of commenting and go to sleep.
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Like the stars chase the sun, over the glowing hill I will conquer Blood is running deep, some things never sleep Double Fenris
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