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04-17-2009, 02:10 PM | #481 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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Just a few comments while reading.
Bonus Votes. This talk about it not being sensible to use them unless certain the person being voted for is guilty. We would all like to believe that we alone possess all of the control over the allotted votes we were given. False. We can be forced into using them by others' actions. See, not always under the thumb of our control. If you aren't going to use your bonus votes, until you are supremely sure of your choice - then what happens when everyone else is using the weight of two votes versus your one? It isn't the same scenario as previous games. I'm not liking the interactions between Gwath and Sally. At this point in time, I will probably be voting for Sally again toDay. Usually, she is very confident in most every thing she says - or she appears supremely confident in her words. This game, she quite frequently self doubts and fishes. Nog, I only gave Sally three votes yesterDay. One regular and two bonus. *Won't follow the animated corpse of Kuru around like a lemming* *though will heed advice of suspecting everyone* xD When am I not under the radar? Even when I do bold things, I'm under the radar.
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04-17-2009, 02:15 PM | #482 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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Further on bonus votes.
We should have all come to a collective agreement in the beginning. Ha! Use one regular and two bonus votes a Day. Would've spread everything out equally for a five Day game. xD Equal weight.
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
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04-17-2009, 02:17 PM | #483 | |||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Cool down Brinn, this is only a game. And you know I love you: this is pretty straightforwards, no sarcasm or smilies included.
It's only that in this game I have reasons to believe you have a role of a baddie. Quote:
*Ponders about it: what good would there be of lynching a wolf toDay? Hard to see... what good would there be? * Quote:
What to do? Lynch those with ten votes - or create a general feeling that those having ten votes are the ones in the line for the gallows. Then the wolves need to discharge their votes and - especially if we get one toDay - then we may be able to breathe once more a little. Those with ten votes are not an asset to the village, they are a threat. They may think in their individual potholes that they are the fighters for freedom but they are the harbringers of doom in many senses. Just think there are three romantic heroes around with ten votes. One gets killed by Thurnigwethil and her/his ten extra votes are in the possession of the baddies the next Day. Then the two remaining ten-voters disagree with each other who's the wolf and vote different people. That's it. We lose. The wolves know to concentrate their votes on the "right target", we don't. The extra votes are a threat, not an asset. The extra-votes work for the baddies, not for the village, notwithstanding how important you would feel yourself to be armed with a host of extra-votes to save yourself or to make the genious saving vote for the village. You will not be given that chance. How many times do I need to say this? You're like these guys with a metal objects in their pocket thinking you will protect yourself and all of the others here heroically when your neighbours have those objects as well. But when some of your neighbours bring forwards a F-16 they have built together from their objects, it's over forbyou individuals only having the pieces in your hand. But if you take off the supplies form all, then you stand a chance for a fair fist-fight. Sorry, this romantic ideal of individuals fighting off the evil as loners doesn't work here any more than it does in reality. The baddies work as a collective and they can decide on the spot with all the knowledgwe and communication between themselves how to use their votes. We can't. Quote:
But you should actually convince us - well me at least - why what I said about your actions in the end of Day2 are not true to begin with. Getting angry or hurt is one way of trying to do it but I have seen such shows that this is not quite enough (remember Rikae back then really bringing all of us others to tears with her show - but many enough of us stood firm and lynched her, as the baddie she turned out to be). EDIT: X'd with Izzy x2
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04-17-2009, 02:39 PM | #484 | ||
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
Quote:
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04-17-2009, 02:54 PM | #485 |
Wight
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: USA
Posts: 240
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++Brinn (+1)
Despite the 10 bonus still remaining I would not classify her voting 'safe.' She was the deciding vote for Nienna and voted in the midst of the madness yesterday for Sally. The safest voters have been Formendacil, Shasta, and Greenie, who still have all 10 bonus and have also a squeaky clean record (meaning they've been staying out of the action). Formendacil: Day 1- Nilp Day 2- Greenie Shasta: Day 1- Did not vote Day 2- Formendacil Greenie: Day 1- for Agan but did not count Day 2- Nogrod Greenie had intentions of voting for the known innocent Agan, but by technicality it did not count. The placement was early, but that could just be because of an inability to be at the deadline. Are all early votes safe? (This isn't rhetorical, I really don't know) Then Gwath and Sally who have all 10 bonus votes, but on Day 1 voted for the known innocent Nienna. They were the 'middle votes' in the Nienna bandwagon. On Day 2 neither voted. The question I have is would a wolf not vote? I don't know how Gwath and Sally play, but even in the situation yesterday would a wolf not cast a vote? They would know Kuru was innocent and I would imagine a wolf would just tack on votes in that situation. Particularly Gwath who expressed a desire to save Nogrod and some suspicion of Kuru...if he was a wolf, why not tack on just a single vote?
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04-17-2009, 03:00 PM | #486 | |
Wight
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: USA
Posts: 240
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Quote:
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an eye for an eye leaves everyone blind |
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04-17-2009, 03:14 PM | #487 | |||
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
Are you for letting them to be concealed? And so, with pressure enough they would need to discard their votes as not to be identified... and we would be in less a danger. Simple, but soo hard to do in practise. But we really have this Day to stay with a chance to win this. Three wolves and a Grima with ten votes each (+ Thuringwethil with ten extra-votes) will just spell the end of this game already toMorrow. I'm amazed how few of you seem to get this. It's the end, finito, finé, konéc, kaputt, das ende, slut, loppu... if we leave three to five people with ten votes after toDay and lynch an innocent. Maybe it's then what we deserve as a "village"... Quote:
Quote:
And even if we had an innocent or two with ten extra votes the wolves can just wait how they vote and then PM a strategy to counter it with their annihiliatory number of votes they have. Sorry if I feel like pressuring this but I really think this is a question of winning or losing. No, I don't propose anything like "let's systematically give away an X number of votes". No. The wolves could hide too easily under that kind of common decision. Let's keep up the feeling that those not ready to use their votes will be the ones from whom we'll pick our lynch and see what happens. It doesn't exactly help the plan if you all come back here to disagree with it with your underlying concerns about your personal safety. Let's make the threat real. Only then will the wolves need to consider using their votes - and thence lose some of their power. Otherwise they will outwit us in no time. You may think it's no problem as it's only Day3. Sorry, this might be decided on Day4. That spells toMorrow.
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04-17-2009, 03:17 PM | #488 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
EDIT: x-ed with Nog
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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04-17-2009, 03:18 PM | #489 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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To Sally.
We will see the result of the Vampire's vote sucking. It will be reflected in the bonus vote tally. It may just be because it seems to be the current focus of attention. Yet, I think we all give these Bonus Votes too much credit, and weight. As if the three's decisions and world only revolve around how to better their situation with the BV's. They have Luthein and Finrod to worry about. As well as any other normal worries, of someone suspecting them and getting them lynched. If LUthien discovers one of them, you think their BV's could save their mate; without exposing the other two? The longer LuThien is alive, I don't think it really matters how many BV's the three have - as long as LutHien has a smattering of innocents they know about. Then again if LuthIen is alive towards the end with the three, and a few others; who can really predict how many BV's the three and LuthiEn will have with them? No one can truly predict how each day will go, with BV's, Finrod, the three, and LuthieN. Haha. That was totally for your benefit Kent. xD X'd with Nog and Green.
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04-17-2009, 03:23 PM | #490 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Quote:
Okay, I know this is a bit silly but I'm going with my gut. ++Kent Again, this is hopefully just a placeholder vote until I get back, but I'm actually getting some vibes from Kent and they're not so shiny. Also, a list, though it's going, repeat going, to change. There are three baddies and a Grima so, if I had to parcel everyone into groups right now just based on what I'm feeling, here's how it would go. Guilty Kent Lari Izzy Shasta Innocent Form Brinn Nog Nilp Fea Green Gwath Again, this is just if I had to pick the four baddies, these would be my top choices at the moment based on....well, on a hunch, really, but hopefully it's a good one. As an announcement in advance, if I'm up for lynch toDay (which wouldn't totally surprise me) and there is someone else on the block that I think is guilty, I will vote to save myself and use my bonus votes as necessary. I hope I don't have to because I'd rather have to come back and choose between the greater of two possible evils rather than a known innocent (me) and a possible/probable wolf, but as I've stated in other games, if I let myself be lynched without trying to fight back I'm doing a disservice to the village. (Also, I can kill you with my brain. Also also, I just woke up from a nap and am leaving in half an hour, so's you all know.) Will post this and see what's going on. In advance, x'd with everything since the post after Kent's vote.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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04-17-2009, 03:23 PM | #491 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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An addendum
Quote:
It's pretty hard to believe - if not totally impossible - that all the baddies would have used some of their extra-votes already. They would be lousy wolves indeed. It's perfectly possible one wolf has used some of her/his extras but I would be very surprised if two had done that. I think they've had quite an easy ride this far so why would they have botherered - when most of you seem to oppose my scheme of forcing them to use their votes and there is a crowd to blend in...
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04-17-2009, 03:25 PM | #492 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Quote:
Unless I understood incorrectly, we will see that votes have been sucked (at least in the case of a living player) but not who they've gone to until that person uses them and still has the same number of votes.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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04-17-2009, 03:29 PM | #493 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
EDIT: x-ed with Sally, Nog and Sally
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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04-17-2009, 03:31 PM | #494 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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Well yes, but why suck votes if you don't plan on using them?
X'd with Green.
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04-17-2009, 03:37 PM | #495 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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Indeed I have played with you.
Forgive me for being blunt - but your lists looks like a load of crap with some sugar on it, made to look pretty but taste gross. You say the list is going to change, then you say it is on a hunch which you hope is a good one. WHy would you want the good hunch to change?
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
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04-17-2009, 03:41 PM | #496 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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I see what you did there!
I am wondering though what would happen if, for instance....
Erm....actually I won't ask it, since it's a bit of a game mechanics question. Blast. Anyway, I want to redo my list when I get a chance, but I know I won't have time right now. Here's a couple observations. Take them however you wish, kids. Brinn makes me giggle, but in a 'I know how you feel, you poor girl' sort of way. I really don't want to see her go toDay because while it's possible she's guilty (which is a possibility for all of you, so that really means nothing, dang it) I'd like to hear more from her so I can get a better read on the girl. Kent still makes me uneasy, just in general. I don't know what exactly it is, but a lot of the things he's said have made me uneasy and while I don't want to kill him just to find out what he is I'm not going to complain if he ends up dead at the end of the Day, because I keep smelling a Kent....erm, rat. Nog seems genuine and yet at the same time I know I can't read him, so when I trust Nog completely he's generally got something up his sleeve. I actually just looked through Izzy's posts (was looking for a quote which in the end I don't think she even said, alas) and think she may be sliding down to my innocent list. We don't exactly see eye to eye, but that doesn't mean she's evil, and after seeing a couple things she's said I'll have to give her some more thought. Aaaand that's all I've got time for presently. The rest I don't know right now, or at least don't have time to talk about.
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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04-17-2009, 03:44 PM | #497 | |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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Quote:
I'll have you know that Sally Suspicion Lists are a delicacy in Nebraska, thanks very much. And as for the hunch changing, I hope it's good but that doesn't mean it is, and if I'm wrong (which I often am) I'm not going to just sit and keep the same opinions as before now, am I? (Really must dash soon, sorry.)
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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04-17-2009, 03:46 PM | #498 | |
Shade with a Blade
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Quote:
This looks pretty evasive.
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Stories and songs. |
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04-17-2009, 03:50 PM | #499 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Gwath, if you're around plese explain why you didn't vote yesterDay. I'd love to know.
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
04-17-2009, 03:51 PM | #500 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
Sadly that's a bit more complicated than that. A logical deduction from true premises is always valid and true. (how one assures oneself of whether the premises are true is a much more problematic question) A logical deduction from false premises (including at least one false premise) is logically valid as well, but might be true or false in content. (eg. "Sally is a duck"; "ducks can swim" eg. "Sally can swim" - the deduction is valid and the result is probably true, but one of the premises seems false - or does it? ) But also an illogical deduction can be true in content even if it's logically not valid - even if it rarely is. But a hypothesis is something you can test reality with by experimenting with it. An unsuccesful result shows the hypothesis was false. A succesful result is more open to interpretation. To some it "confirms" the hypothesis, to others it "gives credibility" to it, and to some it just "does not prove the hypothesis false" (falsify it).
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
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04-17-2009, 03:53 PM | #501 |
The Sweetest Spoiler
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: from beneath you it giggles incessantly
Posts: 5,789
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But I'm not a duck! Or a witch! And this isn't my nose, it's a false one!
(Sorry, I couldn't resist popping in with that. Won't see me for a few hours now.)
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"My heart always cowers behind the defense of my wit." Friendship is two pals munching on a well-cooked face together. Fenris bookworm.
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04-17-2009, 03:53 PM | #502 |
Shade with a Blade
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Well, I'm VERY busy reading the thread, but I'll oblige anyway. It was indecision, basically. I couldn't make up my mind, almost voted a couple of times, and then it was too late.
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Stories and songs. |
04-17-2009, 03:56 PM | #503 | |
Shade with a Blade
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Quote:
Yeah...ain't no way I'm disarming.
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Stories and songs. |
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04-17-2009, 04:01 PM | #504 | |
Shade with a Blade
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Quote:
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Stories and songs. |
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04-17-2009, 04:01 PM | #505 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
As for Nog - I confess I got lost about halfway through your post. I should vote very soon, but I'd like to hear a bit about who others are planning to vote. Since, as Nog has been emphasising, toDay's voting is quite important, I wouldn't want to cast a vote that turns out to be a throwaway. So, a question to those that happen to be around: who do you plan to vote? EDIT: x-ed with 2xGwathie
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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04-17-2009, 04:03 PM | #506 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
It would be quite bold from a wolf to pull that! And to be as suspicious as he once again is ("I'm VERY busy reading the thread but I will answer this as someone now makes a tiniest move to suspect me") would be just suicidal for a wolf.
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
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04-17-2009, 04:04 PM | #507 | |
Shade with a Blade
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Quote:
EDIT: Crossed with Nogrod...was that sarcasm, Nogrod? I can't tell...
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Stories and songs. |
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04-17-2009, 04:11 PM | #508 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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I read it as "I'm very busy conversing with my fellow mates right now, but I will respond anyhow."
What exactly are you referring to Sally?
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
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04-17-2009, 04:11 PM | #509 | |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Quote:
A lot depends on how extensive a read-about I will manage. The lengthier the greater the possibility these hunches will change, I presume. But I'm also open to suggestions and good cases for or against. Basically I do not trust but Kuru toDay. And as people have said; yeah he can err, but his intentions are sincere.
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
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04-17-2009, 04:12 PM | #510 |
Shade with a Blade
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Heck no! Save your votes for when you're confident that you've got a wolf! Don't disarm!
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Stories and songs. |
04-17-2009, 04:13 PM | #511 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
Another I was thinking about earlier was, in fact, Gwath, but his last few posts have seemed innocentish to me so I probably won't. EDIT: x-ed with Izzy, Nog and Gwath
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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04-17-2009, 04:15 PM | #512 |
Shade with a Blade
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Well, here's my thing with Fea: her votes for Nogrod look to me like either an innocent who's pretty convinced she's got a wolf or a cobbler trying to draw out more bonus votes from the village.
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Stories and songs. |
04-17-2009, 04:15 PM | #513 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Partly yes - or just having fun - but to be honest I basically don't believe you to be a wolf in this game. Well at least for now.
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
04-17-2009, 04:15 PM | #514 |
Shade with a Blade
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I suggest taking it at face value.
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Stories and songs. |
04-17-2009, 04:16 PM | #515 |
Shade with a Blade
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Aw, well, it's swell of you to say so.
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Stories and songs. |
04-17-2009, 04:18 PM | #516 | |
Shade with a Blade
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Quote:
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Stories and songs. |
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04-17-2009, 04:20 PM | #517 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Here and reading.
Notes on first skim-through: Greenie - I'll have to go back to my posts that day and look at who I suspected. I believe it was you, Form, and Nogrod, but I could be mistaken. I'm leaning towards Brinn being innocent right now, and would rather not see her go. She definitely has the air of an ordo who's irritated at being constantly suspected by the same person. Sidenote - has anyone else noticed that every time someone gets irritated with having to defend themselves, Nogrod brings up Rikae as an excuse to attack them anyway? I think it's happened, like... every game I've ever played with him in it. As for Kuru's idea about suspicion lists, I'll go back and formulate mine. Edit: X'ed from Izzy on.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
04-17-2009, 04:21 PM | #518 |
Ghost Prince of Cardolan
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Amongst trees.
Posts: 919
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Hahaha. Unfortunately, there is very very little that you can take at face value in this game we play called Werewolf. xD
I'm a bit concerned with Gwath's multitude of posts. Why not organize into one epic one? X'd with Shasta.
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But I was clinging to her like a homicidal monkey.
Last edited by Isabellkya; 04-17-2009 at 04:24 PM. |
04-17-2009, 04:26 PM | #519 |
Flame of the Ainulindalë
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Sorry about my broken English but I do not understand what you mean by that. The dictionary gives quite conflicting descriptions of what "swell" means.
Anyway, most of them don't suggest you were making a positive comment...
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Upon the hearth the fire is red Beneath the roof there is a bed; But not yet weary are our feet... |
04-17-2009, 04:27 PM | #520 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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"Swell" in this context means "good", Nogrod. Whether or not he was being sarcastic is a question you'll have to ask him.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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