Werewolf IX: the Saga Owns You and You Know It

[wilwarin538]

Originally posted by Shelob
though I didn't know that Menel was actually a sherrif,

He was?!? And I thought he was a wolf like us! He had me fooled.

[Shelob]

Be Quiet...

Mormegil was the sherrif.
Meneltarmacil was the wolf.
Mithalwen was the person I almost voted for on Day 2.
M is the letter too many people have begining their names.

Thank You.

[The Saucepan Man]

Originally Posted by Shelob

Mithalwen was the person I almost voted for on Day 2.

I too would have voted for Mithalwen on Day 2 ... had she been playing.

Having reviewed my notes, it has become clear to me that one can analyse 'til the cows come home and still be completley, utterly and hopelessly wrong.

Here are some gems:

On analysing the Night 2 kills:

Glirdan is almost certainly not the Bear (and therefore may be worth keeping around).

Kitanna had voted for Glirdan the previous Day, and I figured that the Bear would not take the risk of killing someone who voted for them when he could kill almost anyone else with little risk. I figured wrong!

On Day 2:

If the Wolves are trying to set up Alcarillo, we need to look at:

Gil-Galad
Azaelia
WaynetheGoblin
Folwren
Glirdan

As I understand it, the Wolves were trying to set up Alcarillo. But working that out sent me in completely the wrong direction!

After learning the Night 3 kills:

The phantom had two dreams: probably SpM and mormegil. Possibly Shelob.

This is about the only thing I got right all game ...

I am now pretty certain that Shelob is innocent and most likely the other Shirriff.

I can't remember why I thought this now. It was something that Shelob said about mormegil or vice versa. I compounded my error by compiling the following list at the outset of Day 3:

*Top suspects: Azaelia, Glirdan, Kath and Holbytlass.
*Level 2 suspects: Folwren, Gil-Galadand Nilpaurion.
*Don’t knows: Cailin, Durelin, WaynetheGoblin.
*Non-Wolves: Meneltarmacil, Shelob, wilwarin.

Now that's just ridiculous. But it was based on my belief (on the basis of what I thought was pretty good evidence) that Azaelia was a Wolf, and also my assumption that Shelob was the other Shirriff. At least when Nilp revealed himself, I was able to move Shelob off the bottom row. In fact, she went straight up to a Level 2 suspect.

Of course, things changed during the course of the Day and, had I not died on Night 4, I would have been looking at Holbytlass, Kath and Shelob very closely. Maybe I would have followed through with my suspicions of Shelob. But I suspect that it's more likely that I would have voted in a similar way to the other innocents on Days 4, 5 and 6.

So you see Wolves. You really didn't need to kill me at all.

[Gil-Galad]

one thing that got me mad is that, you accused me of being a wolf because i was quiet, so i defended myself then you accused me for that...

[Glirdan]

On analysing the Night 2 kills:

Quote:
Glirdan is almost certainly not the Bear (and therefore may be worth keeping around).

Kitanna had voted for Glirdan the previous Day, and I figured that the Bear would not take the risk of killing someone who voted for them when he could kill almost anyone else with little risk. I figured wrong!

Well, I'd say you were completely off there Saucy!! I'm quite surprised at how long it took for people to suspect me of anything on Day 1. Which just proves that I did a pretty good job avoiding suspicion for the time.

[Feanor of the Peredhil]

tp: ooooh, I understand now about Saucie. See, I knew the roles of who you dreamt about, but I didn't know the exact identities. Except for Shelob. I found it hilarious that you died just as you hit spot on. Omniscience is fun.

[Glirdan]

Poor phantom couldn't tell anyone about his dream of Shelob. And it probably could have helped the villagers or myself to win!!! Drats!!! CURSE YOU WOLVES!!!!!!!

[Nilpaurion Felagund]

Glirdan, was it your intention to act all close with morm and then to kill him suddenly? It sounds like a very bold plan for a bear.

[Glirdan]

Glirdan, was it your intention to act all close with morm and then to kill him suddenly? It sounds like a very bold plan for a bear.

From the start of Day 2, I said to myself that I had to get someone completely unsuspected to cast suspicion off of myself and by unsuspected I mean no one would think that I would go after him because of the "bond" we had. I wasn't thinking of morm right from the start. About half way throught the Day, I decided to get rid of morm because he was the one I was acting close with and I thought no one would have suspected me. Obviously, it didn't quite work. I was a little over dramatic which was probably why more suspicion was cast on me.

Now I want to know why no one suspected me of being the bear, but always the wolf. Anybody care to answer?

[Shelob]

*Non-Wolves: Meneltarmacil, Shelob, wilwarin.

I figured we had you confused to no end...I hadn't realized we were doing that well.

Originally Posted by Glirdan

Now I want to know why no one suspected me of being the bear, but always the wolf. Anybody care to answer?

Probably because the wolves are more likely to slip up. A wolf has to try and not only protect themselves from suspicion but also to make sure that they're protecting their fellow wolves. A bear only has themselves to protect so it's somewhat easier for them, they don't have to worry about slidding suspicion of themselves and onto their friends.