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01-10-2011, 01:32 PM | #521 |
Fluttering Enchantment
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I hate to do this, but a girl from work who tends to call in sick at the worst times (and who thankfully won't be working for us much longer) has called in sick again, and I have to go to work. Right now.
So I need to vote, and it'll be a bit random, and I'm dreadfully sorry: ++elronds_daughter Good luck today!
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Comme une étoile amarante Comme un papillon de nuit C'est la lumière qui m'attire La flamme qui m'éblouit Fenris Muffin
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01-10-2011, 01:38 PM | #522 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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01-10-2011, 01:50 PM | #523 | ||||
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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A Little Green:
Day 1: Greenie start out with a little bickering with Agan, suggests she might be a cobbler or worse. She thinks Pitch looks like he always does (he was suspected at this time), that Nessa's defence of him was odd, and goes back-and-forth about Rikae for withdrawing her suspicion on Pitchie. No vote Day 2: Explains her no-vote: she had computer-problems. She goes on to bicker some more with Agan (harmless stuff really), shares a moment with Shasta, excuses herself for low participation and makes a list. Her only real suspect is Inzil. Quote:
Day 3: Quoting this in it's entirety: Quote:
Then she makes another list (after criticizing Legate again for his assumptions regarding the kills). Her suspects: Quote:
Goes on to vote for Inzil without further explanation after another little episode with Agan. Comments: In the light of Inzil's innocence Greenie's two votes for him looks bad, and her reasons aren't that good either. However, Innocents have voted Inzil obviously, and without a wolf down it is really hard to find a solid reason against anyone bar a bad slip. I find her bickering with Agan somewhat disturbing. Could they perhaps be fellows, making an early scene when then accuse each other. Plausible certainly, but then again, they are of course good real-life friends who enjoy each other's company and that is maybe a more probable explanation for the exchanges. Has been very careful not to put herself in the spotlight which often is a bad sign. Then again, she says she has little time. Seems more active toDay though and looks sharp. Gawd, this is also going to sound wishy-washy, but I really have no clue. If she is a wolf, her poker-face is commendable. But no, I don't think I'll be voting Greenie (though I would to save myself).
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01-10-2011, 02:02 PM | #524 |
Wight of the Old Forest
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Location: Unattended on the railway station, in the litter at the dancehall
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Duh, of course you didn't, I meant skip. No idea why you crossed my mind at that moment. Maybe I was reading one of your analyses with the other eye.
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
01-10-2011, 02:05 PM | #525 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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I'm not sure about that last sentence there, or mainly the addition in brackets. It's a weird thing to say - I would think it's pretty much obvious you are willing to vote me (or basically anyone) to save yourself, I'm not sure why you felt the need to mention it. Especially in context of the analysis of someone who doesn't look like a very likely lynch candidate at the moment. EDIT: x-ed with Pitch
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." Last edited by A Little Green; 01-10-2011 at 02:08 PM. |
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01-10-2011, 02:05 PM | #526 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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(no quote tags, to save space)
If Nessa and Inzil are fellows this would be a very bold move. Yet it makes sense I guess. ~ Skip That would be a nightmare, so have we reached the stage where Pitch, Nessa, and Inzil are just huge question marks we have to find them out or they will forever haunt us? ~ Boro Honestly after three days of this crap, I think its high time we lynch one of the two inherently confusing people. I will probably vote for Inzil/Nessa. ~ Shasta The enigmatic pair: Inzil, Nessa ~ Agan Elaboration on Inzil/Nessa - honestly, at this point, the pattern's just going to repeat itself again. If one of them don't go today, they're going to be all the discussion will be about tomorrow ~ Shasta I agree that Inzil and Nessa will continue to be a distraction and I am unhappy to see they have the focus of so much debate toDay. It might be best, as Boromir88, Shasta and others have said, to get them out of the way. ~ Cailín I think Inzil and/or Nessa would clear up the weight hanging over the council so far and clear things up for my own head. ~ Boro This bad reasoning in unison is really getting me. The fact that our presumed cobbler is joining into it prominently should make that clear if nothing else does. |
01-10-2011, 02:11 PM | #527 | ||
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
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"You can always come back, but you can't come back all the way" ~ Bob Dylan |
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01-10-2011, 02:15 PM | #528 |
Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
Posts: 3,489
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That ain't wolfin'.
That's the way you do it get your lynches for nothing, double kills for free. No, that ain't wolfin' That's the way you do it! Lemme tell ya, this pack ain't dumb maybe come under a little vague suspicion maybe throw a cobbler under the bus. We got to analyze wolfy ordos look suspicious with trickereeeey we've got to choose 'tween under the raders we got to read these submariiiiiines. I should'a got a PM from the mod I should'a learned to make them shoes look at these baddies, decimating villagers, man wish I could be one. I want my... I want my... I want my victory. No that ain't wolfin'... |
01-10-2011, 02:18 PM | #529 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
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Well, there seems to be quite a bit of analysis going on toDay, eh? I'll have to vote now, though, as I'll probably not be able to at DL. And even though I haven't heard everything that will come about, I have heard enough to make my decision.
++Legate Because what he says sounds disturbingly wolvish, if you look at it from that perspective.
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01-10-2011, 02:21 PM | #530 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
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EDIT: x-ed with skip, Rikae and Nessa. "From that perspective" - from what perspective? If you think I am sounding Wolvish then of course I do, what's that supposed to mean? If you are innocent, I would ask you to try to gather some reason...
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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01-10-2011, 02:26 PM | #531 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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01-10-2011, 02:26 PM | #532 |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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While I don't necessarily agree with lynching Nessa today, her one post so far today, in which she votes, doesn't make me very comfortable at all.
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV Last edited by Shastanis Althreduin; 01-10-2011 at 02:27 PM. Reason: X'ed with Greenie |
01-10-2011, 02:28 PM | #533 |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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And Rikae, what is this Mark Wolfler Revival supposed to mean, or do you have too much of your frustration already? Or have I been right when I was thinking that your secret and mysterious hints were actually meant for the Wolves?
EDIT: x-ed with Greenie and Shasta
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
01-10-2011, 02:29 PM | #534 | |||||||||||||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
Posts: 4,511
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Sorry it took me way too long. Blame Lommy, she was posting pictures on Facebook.
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I'm torn about wilwa. She looks pretty innocent and arguments in an innocent way, but that doesn't mean she's innocent. I think she's one of those people who just have an innocent mindset whatever her role... Last time I played she was my cobbler, and we considered killing her almost every night because she just looked so darn innocent (fortunately we didn't). I'm more concerned about skip again. He just feels way way off. Quote:
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Shasta's analysis of Mänwe looks reasonable but it's also very easy to cast suspicion on a quiet player. I know I'm flip-flopping (and will probably continue to do so till she's dead) but I feel considerably better about Rikae now that people are questioning her activities. Quote:
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I wouldn't vote for Boro today just because I find it more likely he's the cobbler. Quote:
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I really don't like skip's Greenie analysis - I'm not convinced of Greenie's innocence either, but it looks nastily opportunistic even though he says he won't vote for her today. Quote:
I feel like voting Pitch or skip today. Not Boro (if we kill a wolf today, we can lynch him tomorrow). I could imagine myself going for Cailín, Shasta, ed and Mänwe... but rather one of the first two.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 01-10-2011 at 02:29 PM. Reason: xed since Nessa |
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01-10-2011, 02:30 PM | #535 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Quote:
EDIT: wow, x-ed with Legate and Agan's novel.
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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01-10-2011, 02:32 PM | #536 | |||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
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Me neither, but in spite of it we shouldn't lynch her today.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 01-10-2011 at 02:34 PM. Reason: xed with Greenie |
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01-10-2011, 02:37 PM | #537 | |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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Quote:
More seriously: If we assume that the cobbler has some decent idea who the wolves are, he could have assumed with high probability (from the suspected wolves' behaviour) that both Inzil and Nessa were/are innocent. Everyone: Don't forget that five evil votes are against us toDay. There have been villages in the past where the baddies shrewdly took advantage of this. We should make up our minds who to vote for carefully and not spread it too much. My preferences: Tier I: Skip Tier II: Shasta or Cailín Tier III: Pitch Tier IV and higher: there are some here I still suspect, but I'd really rather not go there toDay. Last edited by Macalaure; 01-10-2011 at 02:43 PM. Reason: missing word |
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01-10-2011, 02:39 PM | #538 |
Fading Fëanorion
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
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Maybe I'm suffering from the mentioned desire of wanting to see suspicious behaviour by a suspect, but Shasta's case of Mänwe looks like he's pushing for another silent scapegoat now that Nessa is falling out of favour at last, and his case of Cailín like some mild wolf-on-wolfing.
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01-10-2011, 02:40 PM | #539 | |
shadow of a doubt
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Back on the streets
Posts: 1,125
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Yes Nessa must really love to puzzle us
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"You can always come back, but you can't come back all the way" ~ Bob Dylan |
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01-10-2011, 02:43 PM | #540 | ||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 01-10-2011 at 02:43 PM. Reason: xed with Mac & skip |
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01-10-2011, 02:47 PM | #541 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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01-10-2011, 02:50 PM | #542 | ||
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: in hollow halls beneath the fells
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Also, if Mac turns out to be a wolf, I'm going to start to vote consistently for the player I find the most innocent-looking. Quote:
edit: xed with Shasta. Sorry.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
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01-10-2011, 02:51 PM | #543 | |
Wight of the Old Forest
Join Date: Dec 2008
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Just something I noticed during a quick reread:
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And if Nessa's a wolf, she's not a survivalist, she has a deathwish. Three Nightkills pointing to her, and hardly an attempt to defend or save herself? Come on.
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
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01-10-2011, 02:53 PM | #544 |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Pitch you're hilarious (but that's true).
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. |
01-10-2011, 02:55 PM | #545 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
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Now the more I am looking at this, even though I dislike being "unsporty", won't people really like to vote for Cailín? As it mostly looks like the best if I look at my suspects, considering Greenie and Agan also mentioned considering voting her, if I am not mistaken...
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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01-10-2011, 02:57 PM | #546 | |
Werewolf Psychic
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: In fire, water, earth, and air. But mostly water.
Posts: 2,832
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Quote:
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Shasta– ... However, if he's innocent his famous clairvoyant powers must be taking the week off. Meanwhile, the Night-kills have been awfully effective– almost like we're dealing with a psychic wolf... - Nerwen, WW LXXV |
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01-10-2011, 02:58 PM | #547 |
Laconic Loreman
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I think it's obvious enough from the kills.
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01-10-2011, 02:59 PM | #548 |
Mellifluous Maia
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All I've got to say is if Wolfy McWolfypants has no better suspects for cobbler at this point than me with my silly song, it's not for lack of trying by other would-be shoemakers.
Legate's completely illogical, passively worded suspicions against me are just about enough to earn him my vote. |
01-10-2011, 03:01 PM | #549 |
Mellifluous Maia
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01-10-2011, 03:01 PM | #550 | |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
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Ah but I have. I kept wishing the wolves would try and hint to me because of my day 1 behaviour, but that was pretty much impossible because I didn't have the necessary information.
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So if Cailín is a wolf Shasta is too, and if skip is, so is Legate?
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 01-10-2011 at 03:02 PM. Reason: xed since Boro |
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01-10-2011, 03:02 PM | #551 | |
Laconic Loreman
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And with that, I'm completely caught up. Nice to see I've been stamped, labeled, and filed away. This is for posterity, so be honest, is anyone going to listen to me at this point or should I just slide on into the background and make a vote?
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01-10-2011, 03:02 PM | #552 |
Leaf-clad Lady
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I'm slightly worried about getting too paranoid. As in, someone sharing my suspicion instantly makes me feel better about the suspected person, and worse about the one who agrees with me. Gah. I'm having second thoughts on Nessa but I agree that we shouldn't vote for her toDay.
Actually. I went through the votes once again, with a hypothetical assumption that Nessa is a wolf, to see if any patterns came up. (Nessa was an easy one to begin with, since she has been suspected a lot and been in danger of being lynched thrice, so any connections with other players are more likely to show up.) What I concluded was this: If Nessa is a wolf, Rikae is one too (or else a cobbler), and vice versa. Rikae's strange retraction on Day 2 from Lottie to Inzil (both innocent, both promising lynch candidates) would make perfect sense if she was trying to save Nessa. At the time of Rikae's first vote, Nessa was on the lead and Lottie looked like the most likely runner-up for the lynch. Then Lommy gave Inzil a second vote, and Rikae switches to Inzil, bringing him to a tie with Nessa. Nessa's suspicion of Rikae and voting for her twice doesn't necessarily speak against this as Rikae was suspected by virtually no one else and faced no danger of being lynched. However, we can't conclude anything until one of them is proven innocent or guilty. Hmm, I think I'll go have another look at the votes, to see if other connetions like this come up. EDIT: Ouch, x-ed since Mac's 537. (Also, I almost typed "lynched since...")
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
01-10-2011, 03:05 PM | #553 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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And yes, she is a survivalist - we have made her so. Anyway, for me she is not the issue right now anymore.
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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01-10-2011, 03:05 PM | #554 | |
Woman of Secret Shadow
Join Date: Oct 2006
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And go on and speak, I at least am going to listen to you if you turn out innocent.
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He bit me, and I was not gentle. Last edited by Aganzir; 01-10-2011 at 03:06 PM. Reason: xed with Legate |
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01-10-2011, 03:07 PM | #555 | |
Wight of the Old Forest
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Unattended on the railway station, in the litter at the dancehall
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Well, no, that isn't suspicious. But it's remarkable that both your analyses lead to a negative conclusion on the analysee (Mänwe's more than Cailíns), which makes me wonder whether the conclusion wasn't reached beforehand and the analysis made to fit. Truth to be told, that reminds me of the Shastawolf I've seen in a few games. Not exactly happy memories.
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
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01-10-2011, 03:09 PM | #556 |
Mellifluous Maia
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: A glade open to the stars, deep in Nan Elmoth
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It's going to be amusing if Nessa does turn out to be a wolf and I get lynched because of it. Greenie's reasoning makes perfect sense and makes her look more innocent in my eyes because of it, and is totally wrong. I was paying no attention to Nessa, and switched to Inzil because I saw a chance to lynch what, in his last post, looked even more like a wolf.
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01-10-2011, 03:10 PM | #557 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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Also, don't play the martyr Boro, convince us that we are mistaken about you if that is the case. For myself, I'm having second thoughts on the identity of the cobbler as well.. EDIT: x-ed with Rikae
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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01-10-2011, 03:11 PM | #558 | |
Wight of the Old Forest
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Unattended on the railway station, in the litter at the dancehall
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Quote:
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Und aus dem Erebos kamen viele seelen herauf der abgeschiedenen toten.- Homer, Odyssey, Canto XI |
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01-10-2011, 03:13 PM | #559 | |
Leaf-clad Lady
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"But some stories, small, simple ones about setting out on adventures or people doing wonders, tales of miracles and monsters, have outlasted all the people who told them, and some of them have outlasted the lands in which they were created." |
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01-10-2011, 03:14 PM | #560 | |
A Voice That Gainsayeth
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In that far land beyond the Sea
Posts: 7,431
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Quote:
I am not suspecting you, I am wondering what the Angband are you doing.
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"Should the story say 'he ate bread,' the dramatic producer can only show 'a piece of bread' according to his taste or fancy, but the hearer of the story will think of bread in general and picture it in some form of his own." -On Fairy-Stories |
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