Tol-in-Gaurhoth IV (The Saga, erm, Still Continues...)

[Eomer of the Rohirrim]

On DAY 1, there were five villagers who attracted votes. One is now dead. So there were four obvious suspects in the village at the start of the day. Why on Middle-earth would a wolf-Eomer (who already had adversaries in Fea, who voted for him, and littlemanpoet, and likely the rest of the village angry with me for killing the Guardian) why would this wolf-Eomer then go all out to lynch the phantom and Saurreg? It's not because of any 'special powers'; I think I have pretty good reasons.

Phantom, whether you like it or not, you will not last long. What I hope is that we lynch you tonight and get to burn your foul werewolf carcass. This seems pretty unlikely because most villagers think you are innocent. The werewolves are likely to go after you in the night if you are innocent. Regardless of what happens, suspicion over you will not rest and the villagers will lynch you in the next couple of days. I'm sorry, but you brought it on yourself with this plan of yours.

You accuse Werewolf-Eomer of thinking the phantom and Saurreg to be the Shirrifs. This is a straightforward role-reversal of my actual opinion that you are both werewolves, because you are labelling me as a werewolf and thus a werewolf must think you two are Shirrifs (apologies for the awful wording). This does not make sense. I came to separate conclusions that you are different werewolves, and the little correspondence between you two simply sweetened the deal. If I know that you are both innocent, it is utterly ridiculous for Werewolf-Eomer to assume that you two are the Shirrifs because of that one tiny comment. That's lazy reasoning from you, and frankly I would expect better from an innocent villager.

This is how the phantom chose to avoid suspicion over Azaelia's death: I would have made a better kill and you know it Eomer. Um....actually I don't know it. What would constitute a better kill? Apart from you phantom, I see no better kills in this village. There are a couple who were safe and many who were options for the snarling beasts. You accuse me of killing Azaelia? Well, I can offer no real defence. It certainly fits together. Just like it would fit in the plans of every other villager. So I'm not going to offer a half-baked defence because there is none. Oh, apart from 'I didn't do it'. But what's the point in saying that?

'Azaelia was extremely unlikely to be gifted' - Ok, but who else was? Except you, of course, phantom.

You seem to think that you are being set up phantom. Well, I can tell you a little story about someone who is being set up. A certain sea-faring rapscallion who finds himself being mercilessly attacked by the wolves, simply because he spotted a mistake. How clever of you to get the I'm being set up! chant going before anyone else, phantom. What better way to gain sympathy? It disgusts me. The person who is crying about set ups is the very one who knows their ins and outs better than any other. The phantom is very clever but that will not save him. Not in the end.

As for Saurreg, his defence does not satisfy. Even if he did think that voting hours would be extended, he did say that he probably wouldn't need to vote. His contribution smacked of a 'Well, goodnight! Try to sleep well' No indication that he would come back to vote later on. No suspects really mentioned and no proper defences offered.

And just notice the desparate wolves helping each other out. I know the phantom's next move, the one he makes when my striking corpse is floating in the sea; he will turn on his wolf ally. Or would have done had I not guessed this. O no, you two are in it deep now.

Whichever one you want to choose my friends. It seems like I will attract more votes but so be it. The phantom and Saurreg are two of our werewolves, that is my guess. If you decide to kill me then I won't be (too) angry. After all, the wolves are deviously tricky. But when my innocent body is there for you all to cry over, remember my words.

I'll be back to vote later; whichever one, the phantom or Saurreg, offers me the best chance of staying alive I will choose, though I fully expect to be leading the way. It's two wolves against one innocent. The odds are not in my favour.