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02-13-2006, 05:13 PM | #361 |
Energetic Essence
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Well, even though Malka's death is tragic (our poor, beloved Seer is gone), we all did make some extra cash ( ).
As for SpM's suggested double lynching plan, I'm all for it because it then gives me a 50:50 chance of finding the Wolf if we don't get him/her toDay. As he said, all are equally suspicious, yet I find that Kath and Gil are probably the two we really ought to look at toDay. Those two have been in suspcion but not enough to cause to much trouble, which would complete (I believe) Marcolie's plan: quiet:Naria; loud:TGWBS and in between: Gil or Kath. However, that does not mean we need to wholly forget Garin and Spawn. I believe that Garin is either being a very smart Wolf by being extremely loud or just a very innocent villager. Spawn, on the other had, has flown under everyone's radar and hasn't attracted much suspicion until yesterDay. So, what do we do?
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02-13-2006, 05:21 PM | #362 |
Psyche of Prince Immortal
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its probably going to be a double-lynch between me and Kath, i'm surprised i've lasted this far... my onl fault was that i didn't read Malka's post... i made an error on my part though
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02-13-2006, 05:41 PM | #363 | ||
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Quote:
I might add, Glirdan, that if we are to go for the double lynch, you will have the key role. As the only person we can fully trust, we will need you to hold your vote to the very end to ensure no Wolf/Cobbler chicanery (or to unilaterally lynch whoever might be the cause of such chicanery). If anyone isn't going to be able to vote reasonably early today, they should say so. Quote:
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02-13-2006, 05:43 PM | #364 |
Psyche of Prince Immortal
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well apaprently Malka was seer... i wasn't too sure on who she dreamed of... when i re read after voting, i saw that guy was voted wolf and you were innocent...
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02-13-2006, 05:49 PM | #365 |
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Of course, time zones might create a problem. Some may have to vote before all have arrived and said whether they agree with the plan. That makes things difficult. But it can still work.
My idea is as follows: Two known innocents and two unknowns vote for one candidate. The other two known innocents and the other two unknowns vote for the other candidate. Glirdan holds his vote to the end and, if all goes according to plan, doesn't vote. If anyone hasn't voted by that stage, he uses his discretion to ensure the best possible result. Would that be feasible for you Glirdan? Any thoughts? Is there any better way of doing it?
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02-13-2006, 05:50 PM | #366 |
Energetic Essence
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Saucy, I can not hold my vote until the very end. I will not have a chance to come back on. I might not be able to vote at all. I will try my best to vote, but (due to time zone restrictions, school, band and parents) I may not be able to. So, if I cast my vote, it will be for one of the two that I voiced major suspicion of earlier (Gil or Kath).
Edit- Cross posted with Saucy. In answer, that seems like a fine plan because then, you might not need my vote unless it comes to a worst case scenario. Here's a side-note about Form. If he tries to make us not double lynch, it's safe to say he's the Cobbler. I also suggest that we should wait for him to vote if possible.
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02-13-2006, 05:50 PM | #367 |
Psyche of Prince Immortal
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yeah i probably won't be able to get on, so i'm voting now
++Kath
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02-13-2006, 06:05 PM | #368 |
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Well, my plan is clearly not going to work.
I guess that we shall just have to see where we are towards the close of the day tomorrow. I shall try to hold my vote until near the end of the day, but I can't guarantee anything. And I guess you can't trust me 100% either. OK, so who do I think we should lynch today? I stand by what I said towards the end of the day yesterday concerning the four unknowns (so go back and read my contributions here and here if you want to know). The only thing that I would add is I think it more likely that Gil-Galad didn't bother to read much of what had been said before he voted yesterday, rather than his vote being some elaborate double-bluff. As such, I am inclined to view him, for now at least, as innocent (although still a possible Cobbler). If he is a Wolf, he deserves to win for being so convincingly naive ... I also have a serious nagging doubt about spawn. While TGWBS went out of his way to put the case for Kath's innocence, he said very little about spawn. He only really mentioned her among groups of other people, for example when he expressed the view that none of those who voted for Abercrombie were likely to be Wolves. Now, we all know TGWBS to be a subtle and crafty Wolf. I tend to think that this would be more his style when trying to clear a fellow Wolf. Plus the fact that spawn has never really attracted serious supicion still concerns me. We have been notably bad at catching Wolves in this village. We would probably never have suspected TGWBS had it not been for malkatoj. I can well imagine that the other Wolf has been equally as slippery. And dancing spawn is more than capable of carrying it off. As matters stand, I would be inclined to lynch spawn and Kath.
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02-13-2006, 06:18 PM | #369 | |
Energetic Essence
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Quote:
And I must also agree with you on the matter of Gil. I don't think that two Wolves would have been so quiet. Now I must also say that Spawn and Kath are both unnerving me. They post enough, yet just barely enough to stay out of suspicion. I believe, just as you Saucy, that we should concentrate on these two. Garin is probably, as he ha been saying for quite some time now, just been framed by the Wolves. Gil is probably either the Cobbler or just a very confused villager. So, what do we do from here?
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02-13-2006, 06:21 PM | #370 |
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Hmmm . . .
I rather doubt you are the Cobbler, Sauce. So I think the last vote can be yours--if you can do a holding pattern 'til the end of the DAY, that is.
And yes, that means I agree with the double-lynch. I mean, crikey, I was the one who first suggested it! So, is it Kath and spawn, then? I trust spawn to be innocent, if that helps. Garin looks innocent to me, but I'm not very sure. Gil-galad is very confusing, and has succeeded in avoiding serious suspicion so far. Since most of us thought that the Werewolves's plan is to have the loudmouths kill off each other, I think he's a perfect Werewolf. Glirdan, you really are the Hunter? I knew I still got it.
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02-13-2006, 06:33 PM | #371 |
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Hehe.
I just noticed that I am persistent in defending spawn. Does that make me the Cobbler?
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02-13-2006, 06:55 PM | #372 | |||
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Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
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02-13-2006, 07:07 PM | #373 | |
Energetic Essence
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Quote:
Nilp, I have not even come close to suspecting you. If anything, you've confused me this entire time. However, if anyone is the Cobbler, I don't think it's you. If it's anyone, I think it would be Form or Gil. Now, I really wish someone else would say something other than us three. It's really unnerving me even though five of us are proven innocent.
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02-13-2006, 07:13 PM | #374 |
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Sorry I've been very busy today. For what it's worth the double lynching idea makes sense to me and I think I will be able to vote late as it is a time that works fairly well for me. For my own opinion Kath is one that should go and possibly Gil. I just don't feel good about him and his vote yesterday, while explained, still seems odd enough.
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02-13-2006, 07:20 PM | #375 |
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Sorry for the double but I just need to express that I'd still like to kill Form out of principle but I realize this is foolish and we shouldn't but I still want to.
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02-13-2006, 07:38 PM | #376 |
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Morm, what are your thoughts generally on the four unknowns? I would like to hear your views on each of them, based on what has gone before, if you have the time. Why Kath? Do you think that Gil was bluffing? If not, why don't you feel good about him? What about spawn? Garin?
Sorry if it seems like I'm pressing you, but the more we share our opinions today the better chance we have of actually bagging a Wolf, rather than two innocents. So I would like to hear everyone's views on these matters if possible.
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02-13-2006, 07:39 PM | #377 | |
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Why?
Quote:
Enedwaith, about the Cobbler, if he's among the innocent, we don't care. If he somehow ends up in revealing himself, he's toast, we ignore him, but we don't have to kill him. If he or she is among the unknowns, he or she will die enedwaith, so why worry? Yeah, the Cobbler can screw the voting up. So can the last Werewolf. But I think if they have the gall to do that toDAY, then woohoo! They're dead tomorrow! Hey, vy ze vay, if Kath is the last Werewolf, how come we're getting kills? I mean, she's off in Iceland since the 10th, right?
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02-13-2006, 07:43 PM | #378 | ||
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Quote:
Am I to take it that this is your only reason for not suspecting spawn? Quote:
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02-13-2006, 08:07 PM | #379 |
Energetic Essence
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Well, I can't hold off any longer. I will cast my vote and it shall be for
++Spawn Good luck my fellow friends. If neither of them end up being a Wolf, I will try my best to find the last on, even thought he/she'd be pretty stupid to do so. Good Day!!
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02-13-2006, 08:08 PM | #380 | |
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Okay.
I give up.
I'll vote for whoever you want me to vote. Even if it's *gulp* spawn. So, tell me who I'll vote for. I'll be back in a few hours. Vzv, Sauce, here is my comprehensive theory of her innocence. It works only for me, I think. There are three possibilities for spawn 1. She's a Werewolf, and we get her DAY 1. 2. She's a Werewolf, and we don't get her DAY 1. She wins. 3. She's innocent, gets mistaken for a Seer, and killed by Werewolves NIGHT 4 or NIGHT 5. Since she didn't fall under any of the given categories, I'm confused. Quote:
Gil-galad is the one, I tells ye!
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02-13-2006, 08:13 PM | #381 |
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What a day I had and not one truffle. I think, I'll go into the bacon business thanks to these useless pigs.
I have to agree with Saucepan's math and go for the double lynching, It is normally something I oppose but this is a desparate time for the village, I am leaning Kath or maybe Gil or Spawn. Garin seems pretty cool. Without everone's cooperation this thing could backfire. Obviously. I'll just try to follow someone's lead. Hey Nilp is Kath really not around, or was that sarcasm? EDIT: I didn't like a comma
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02-13-2006, 08:24 PM | #382 |
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Garin:
She really is gone. If I remember anything, she said she'll be back before her birthday (the 16th, if you would like to know--greet her, okay?)
Must go, French class is already starting! I'm late, I'm late!
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02-13-2006, 08:35 PM | #383 |
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Bon voyage, Nilp, and I must have cross-posted like mad because I once again got distracted by something else. You pretty much answered that already in a previous post.
Look! that dog has a fluffy tail! Where was I? Why wouldn't Kath excuse herself from the game if she was not going to a viable member of the village for a prolonged period? That is more of a rhetorical question and not directed at Nilp.
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02-13-2006, 08:41 PM | #384 |
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SpM, in answer to your questions.
1. Kath has been moderately suspicious and I thought she may have been the Hunter because of the way she treated Cailin. She defended her correct? I know TGWBS did. She wasn't around yesterday, though it seems that was known and I must admit that was on of the bigger reasons I suspected her though since we already have a vote for her it might make sense to continue. 2. Gil is...well Gil and I don't ever fully understand him. He may be trying a bluff but we won't know until he's gone. Plus we're more likely to get actual incriminating evidence from Spawn or Garin Between Garin and Spawn I'm at a bit of a toss up so I'll cross that bridge when I get to it.
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02-13-2006, 09:32 PM | #385 |
Dead Serious
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Interesting day...
Here I am, after a hard (well, for a lazy guy like me...) day's work, and I'm catching up on all of the Day's events... I'd almost like to go for the Double-Lynch. Morm and me! What do you say? Oh, yeah... I don't want to die, and we're both on the "Definitely Not Werewolves" list, so even if we're Shirriff Cobblers, we don't get to die... So, of those who ARE on the "Not Definitely Not Werewolves" list we have: Spawn, Kath, Garin, Gil-Galad Of these four, I'm tempted to cross Garin off right away. I'd also like to cross Kath off. I don't know why. Somehow, they just seem.... I don't know... not into this game deeply enough.... Spawn definitely has the right profile for it. Relatively noisy, not intrusively so, lots of good analysis, seemingly helpful. We know she's smart enough for it. We know she's got the experience. The only question is: is she? And... strange though it seems to be for me to say it, I have to wonder if Gil-galad might not be the Werewolf. Time and time again, villages lynch him because he's confusing, or ignore him because he's confusing, and time and time again he's innocent. What if this is the time when he actually is a Werewolf- and we were all too confident in the "Gil could never be a Werewolf" attitude to think it... All in all, I think Spawn the best candidate for today, but forgive me! I cannot shake the idea of Gil as the dark horse candidate we've all been ignoring.
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02-14-2006, 12:09 AM | #386 |
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Here goes . . .
Votes:
Kath - 1 (Gil-galad) spawn - 1 (Glirdan) I will not vote for spawn toDAY. So, sorry, Kath ++Kath
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02-14-2006, 12:50 AM | #387 |
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I still think the double-lynch is a good idea but I need to make a vote sooner than later. I am surprised at Mormegil's comments but I can understand the extra stress as master smith to all of those bothersome apprentices. I will likely follow Sauce's lead but I don't want to make the clinching vote due to my status. One of us four is a wolf...
Spawn's posts have been concise but well-thought. Mostly non-incriminating, but that in itself could be incriminating. Gil hasn't said much except the occassional poking in for a couple sentences and a quick vote. He seems purposely mysterious. Or maybe just apathetic because he is an ordo? Kath- Well, if she is not participating she best be removed because she offers the village nothing. She will likely get my vote, but right now I want to want to wait. This might be my day's lengthiest passage. For I must truffle hunt in the morn' (My time) and will have little time to say much and should probably be sleeping already. I still think the double lynch is a good idea but if we have to lose someone it should be the non-participant. Garin- Needs to start working-out again because he is letting himself go to pot. Form- Mormegil has it out for him and I think the fact that Form hasn't attacked me is making Mormy suspect me. Well, this is too political for me. I only mention Form because he has been brought up as a vote. If I survive the day I promise we will feast on my fattest pig. Sorry, there's no truffle gravy but it seems this land is cursed. Perhaps, you noticed.
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02-14-2006, 01:20 AM | #388 | |
Dead Serious
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Quote:
How's this: You are a filthy pig-farmer by occupation, and you're a dirty Werewolf by night. I wouldn't be surprised if those pigs of yours have had a fine feast on your victims at night! Watch out for Mad Pig Disease, if they have. Seriously, you are so evil, Sauron himself looks like Neville Longbottom. That better? Wouldn't want you to feel like I was no suspecting you...
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02-14-2006, 01:43 AM | #389 | |
Mischievous Candle
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Quote:
Well, well, according to Sauce, I've been acting like a good innocent should and that's why I'm now suspected to be a wolf? I guess it makes as much sense as anything here on the last Days. Besides, I myself have been wrong with my accusations so many times that I can't really blame you who think that I'm a wolf. Anyway, I think a double lynching is a good idea. I'm just a bit frustrated to know that the other one (i.e. me) will be innocent. I'm inclined to agree with mormegil here (what a surprise...) that we should lynch Kath and Gil toDay. It would be still possible to do that even though I already have one vote, but whatever you decide, I vote accordingly. So, is it already agreed that I'm a goner, or shall I go back to do more research about other unknowns?
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02-14-2006, 05:27 AM | #390 | ||
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Just popping in quickly for now ...
Current votes:
Kath - 2 (Gil and Nilp) Spawn - 1 (Glirdan) Votes to come - 6 (SpM, Formendacil, mormegil, spawn, Garin, Kath). Quote:
As I am sure you will understand, spawn, I cannot necessarily accept your statement at face value. Quote:
Incidentally, you may rest assured that I personally probably have as much at stake as you do here. If we choose wrongly, the Wolf will kill again. He or she will not go for Glirdan but rather, I suspect, for me.
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02-14-2006, 05:55 AM | #391 | |||||
Mischievous Candle
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Isn't it silent here? Stupid time zones...
I went through all TGWBS' posts, but couldn't find anything that would have pointed at someone being more suspicious than another - except maybe his post #214: Quote:
Oh, and to clarify my last post: Quote:
Quote:
Here's the post count of those alive: The Saucepan Man 54 Garin 45 mormegil 35 Glirdan 32 dancing spawn of ungoliant 24 Nilpaurion Felagund 23 Formendacil 16 Gil-Galad 12 Kath 9 Besides, the amount of posts itself doesn't make someone look guilty or innocent, I think, but the contents of the posts. Quote:
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02-14-2006, 08:57 AM | #392 |
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So SpM have you come up with our official plan yet?
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02-14-2006, 09:31 AM | #393 | ||||
Mischievous Candle
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Quote:
*sigh* It would be so much nicer if the last wolf could just reveal him/herself. It would save us from a lot of trouble, really, but I guess that ain't going to happen. Therefore, I might just continue talking to myself since everybody else seems to be on some inconvenient time zone. Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
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02-14-2006, 09:54 AM | #394 | |
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Quote:
I have been looking back on the events of the past few Days (again ), and all I have time to say for now is that dancing spawn does come across very much as innocent. That is one of the reasons for my concern about her - but really. If she is a Wolf, she has been doing a fantastic job of hiding it. I am beginning to doubt my earlier assessment of her. And my initial concerns about Garin are beginning to re-establish themselves. Just on the basis of some of the things that he has said. If he is a Wolf, he has been taking risks. But, who knows? Anyone else care to take a look at him? One thing is for sure. We do need to make some decisions. Since you all seem to be trusting me (which will be the death of me tonight ), I think that everyone but me should vote no later than half an hour before the deadline, allowing me to cast the final vote (if needed). Anyone who does not do that will look very suspicious in my eyes. Oh and, for what it's worth, I am pretty certain now that you are the Cobbler, morm. Do you know who your ally is?
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02-14-2006, 11:00 AM | #395 | ||
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Posted by Form:
Quote:
Quote:
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02-14-2006, 11:27 AM | #396 | ||
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Back shortly ...
... but, in the meantime ...
Quote:
Quote:
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02-14-2006, 12:53 PM | #397 | |||||||
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Well, it's really buzzing around here, isn't it?
I have reviewed the thread once more, and I am afraid that it has got me little further. Any one of the four unknowns could be a Wolf. But here is where I am. I, personally, am discounting Gil-Galad. He has acted how I would expect him to act. And I put his recent behaviour down to not paying attention, rather than a bluff. TGWBS frequently mentioned him as being a possible Wolf, often in the same breath as he mentioned Naria (the quiet ones together). I don't think that he would have commented about both of his compadres in this way so frequently. Finally, I just don't think that two Wolves out of three would have voted so infrequently. If Gil is a Wolf, hats off to him (and his fellows). I could go either way with Kath. I have found little more to go on than I set out earlier. However, I still think that she should be one of our lynch candidates today. She is currently contributing nothing. She already has two votes. And there are reasonable grounds on which to consider her guilty. Quote:
Quote:
Then there are some of the things that he has said: Quote:
And what about his treatment of Cailin? Quote:
Quote:
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Then there is his seeming reluctance, on Day 4, to accept that malkatoj was the Seer. Quote:
Ah well. there we have it. Not conclusive, but then none of the cases are. However, I have come round to the view that our lynchees for today should be Kath and Garin. If spawn is a Wolf, I will be otherwise preoccupied for a very long time in kicking myself. I will have to leave shortly, but I hope to be back an hour and a half before the deadline. We should try to agree on our lynchees at that point and then agree how everyone should vote. As I said, all votes should be in by half an hour before the deadline (although we cannot rely on Kath turning up to vote). I will be able to hold my vote until just before voting closes. If you cannot avoid voting in the meantime, please try to vote in a way that still allows a double lynch.
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Do you mind? I'm busy doing the fishstick. It's a very delicate state of mind! |
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02-14-2006, 12:56 PM | #398 | ||
Mischievous Candle
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Quote:
I may have to vote within an hour, I hope that I have more time, though, but I can take a look at Garin if an analysis from a suspect will do. It won't be that profound because of the lack of time, but I can try. Quote:
Edit: Sauce got there first.
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Fenris Wolf
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02-14-2006, 01:19 PM | #399 |
Shade of Carn Dûm
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Ciudad de Lago del Sal
Posts: 331
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Rebuttal: I read anger into Cailin, I really did, perhaps it was a reactionary response to her accusations.
I have made many posts but haven't said a whole lot, it is my style, I've strived for quality over quantity but it pales in comparison to others. I said i would follow Saucepan's lead. Does that mean I should vote for myself. I was inclined to vote for Kath. My feelings about Spawn: It could be a sneaking in under the radar tactic. EDIT: Whatever this 'radar' thing is.
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I am a sick man ... I am a spiteful man. I am an unpleasant man. I think my liver is diseased. Fyodor Dostoevsky "Notes From the Underground" Last edited by Garin; 02-14-2006 at 01:33 PM. |
02-14-2006, 01:29 PM | #400 | |
Mischievous Candle
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Nice analysis, Sauce.
All I can add is what I already said in my post #270. I found it funny that shortly after Márcolië had said that her main suspects were Naria and Garin, Garin went to cast his vote for Márcolië just because her post #259 looked wolvish to him. I'm up for lynching Kath and Garin toDay. Quote:
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Fenris Wolf
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