WW LLXVIII: Yar Har Har and a Bottle o' Rum

[Paranoia]

It's been awhile since anyone on the ship's seen land, no part thanks to the Cap'ns dreadful navigation skills, having misplaced the ship once on a beach. Three of you start a talkin' amongst yourselves. Talkin' about how a mutiny is needed.

Talk of plungin' the ol' cap'n into the briny.

Too bad the briny deep got to ye first. No sooner the three fishmen climb aboard and murder the scurvy dogs talking trechery, they stole their clothes and started masqueradin' as 'em. As if that'd fool a normal 'uman! O' course, the people on this ship tend to be plastered more 'n most so you might not notice it but hey cut a pirate a break! Drinkin' all the rum is hard work!

Meanwhile, Captain Paranoia fumbles about his pocket, looking for his oft misplaced keys. Cursin' something most foul (primarily about some dark sea deity or the other), he storms off in the opposite direction o' his cabin....

----Night Zero Continues until 1:00 PM CST!----

[Blind Guardian]

Arg! The Guardian of the Blind is here!

[Paranoia]

*Cap'n Paranoia thwaps BG* Get back ter sleep, ye' scurvy dog!

[Paranoia]

~~~Plum Incompetent~~~

As Cap'n Paranoia stumbles across the deck in his drunken stupor, he bumps into three figures. Recognizing them as his crew through his drunken stupor, he wraps his arms around the fishmen's, and starts dragging them off behind him, singing a good ol' ditty.

Before the fishmen could deal with this critical annoyance, and just kill the drunken old coot, he breaks off and dances off merrily to the other side o' the boat.

After puking up around several hours worth of booze hounding, the ol' Cap'n notices somethin' in the water as day breaks.

Blood.

Stirrin' up a ruckus, the cap'n starts hollering for the crew to assemble on deck.

Paranoia (NPC)
Zul
Nerwen
Blind Guardian
Rikae
Macalaure
Gilrdan
Wilwarin
Boromir
The Elf-warrior

Morsul the Dark
Shasta


The Dead.
Eönwë - Ordo - Death via Cannonball Day One
autume98 - Cultist - Throat punctured through Night One
Though mutinous dogs all, they all line up obediently as the dear ol' cap'n rants and raves about there bein' a murderer (or two. or three.) on board.

Except he does a head count, notices yer all there, and gets confused for a good hour before storming back into his quarters hootin' in hollerin' about not havin' enough booze and that the sun be playin' tricks on his eyes. Wild eyed, the last thing he tells you lot before slamming the door to the cabin and lockin' it is to sort the mess out yerselves and to make the culprits walk the plank. Or if that don't work on some preposterous fishman servant o' the kraken on board, t' make it work or walk thar plank yerself.

----DAY ONE HAS STARTED! GET TO IT, YE LAND LUBBERS!----

[Blind Guardian]

Ohi! Sorry. Wait it started. And I'm going to bed.

[Nerwen]

Arr! This be shapin' up fer to be nigh as rum a viyage as that one o' Black Death Brinn's!


So, Cap'n Paranoia be still among the livin'? I'd a reckoned them swabs o' fishmen would send he to Davy Jones afore ye could say "Shiver me timbers!"

[Nerwen]

It be main quiet aboard. Where be the rest o' the crew? Show a leg, ye scurvy dogs!

[The Elf-warrior]

Inzil, the error I thought I spotted was that Nerwen was suspicious of Blind Guardian and Eönwë. Yeah, that's probably a mountain out of a molehill. I'm not even sure now I can call what you said a full fledged error.

Originally Posted by Inzy

You changed your mind about Nerwen in your next post, but you seem to have totally forgotten about 'accusing' Rikae. And I, not Rikae, was your initial focus toDay.

I can see your point. After all, it was Rikae who initially seemed to think that Nerwen was only accusing Blind Guardian. However, speaking of mountains out of molehills, the line that made me suspicious of Rikae turns out to an injoke from RL werewolf.

Glirdan, my vote for Eönwë is suspicious. It's very exculpatory of me to say that now. Here's why I voted for Eönwë:I noticed that my two possible suspects, Nerwen and Rikae, had a grand total of one and zero votes while Morsul and Eönwë had a number of votes on them. Why do I list Nerwen too even though I backed down from suspecting her? It's the thought process that went through my head.

So I thought I'd make my vote count (and ward off accusations of making a throwaway vote), and I thought Eönwë was more suspicious of the two top vote getters. The arguments against him seemed sensible to me although I personally hadn't gotten a bad feeling about him like I did with Rikae. Also, Morsul's vote seemed in character for him to me, thus rendering it a flimsy ground for suspicion in my mind.

Rikae, in regards to misunderstanding the rule of three, I see your point. However, I was under the impression that it didn't work.

[Macalaure]

Some comments and then off to analysing votes.

I don't like Wilwa's vote analysis very much. All it considers is vote placement, which, with few people around until the deadline, is not in the voters' hands too much. With this little to back up the analysis, her conclusions seem too certain.

Inzil is quite defensive about EW's analysis, not giving any other input so far toDay.

Glirdan looks better toDay, although his jump on EW is a bit too quick, I think.

Originally Posted by Rikae

Apparently he votes Eonwe because he feels the Morsul-voters are a rescue party?

Not really. I had my own suspicions of Eonwe and agreed with other people's. I was still undecided, though, and the Morsul-waggon suddenly running away with somewhat sketchy votes kind of forced my hand. Eonwe was my best suspect and my only chance at doing something about the Morsul-votes.

[Inziladun]

Originally Posted by Glirdan

And just because you're the first one who voted Eonwe makes you look completely innocent?? I would beg to differ. If anything, all of us who voted for him should be under some suspicion today and I will not deny that those of us who voted later probably look more suspicious.

This reaction looks rather strange to me. Wilwa didn't say she was innocent, said nothing about her vote at all.

Originally Posted by Glirdan

But for me, who is really jumping out at me is Elf-Warrior. When I had voted yetserDay, I was under the impression that only Boro and I were the only two who had not voted at that point, thus making me think I had two options: 1) Break the tie or 2) Throw away my vote. I wasn't going to throw away my vote seeing I actually had some suspicions yesterDay. Then, eight minutes after I had voted and two minutes before deadline, EW pops up, votes Eonwe and completely sealed his fate. This smells very fishy to me..

This TEW suspicion makes me wary as well, since it seems to be just latching onto what I said of him earlier.

Originally Posted by wilwarin538

Uhm, I actually didn't say anything about my vote looking bad or not. I don't really make a habit of anylysing my own votes. So I don't know what you're saying, cause I never said my vote made me look innocent. (though, it doesn't really make me look bad, in comparison to later voters)

Your vote in itself being the first doesn't make you necessarily look more innocent than the later ones, since laying the groundwork for a bandwagon can be done by a wolf in relative safety. However I have no particular reason to suspect you at the moment, as you've been fairly sensible.

Originally Posted by The Elf-warrior

I can see your point. After all, it was Rikae who initially seemed to think that Nerwen was only accusing Blind Guardian. However, speaking of mountains out of molehills, the line that made me suspicious of Rikae turns out to an injoke from RL werewolf.

It just looks odd that you completely abandoned that suspicion of Rikae in favour of voting Eönwë, not even mentioning it again, even though you posted early toDay before Rikae explained herself.

[Glirdan]

So I'm in a pickel as I have to vote in about an hour and half at the latest as I probably will not be around for DL tonight....yet there is nothing really to go off of at all at the point.

I'm still quite leary of Morsul, but he hasn't said much today for me to vote him. TEW has made a slightly reasonable argument in his defense for his vote...but I still believe he warrants watching.

Originally Posted by Rikae

Nothing much to say -Eonwe is already in the lead at this point, and Glirdan's points, though reasonable, have already been said by others. A very safe vote, I'd say.

Just to point out that at the time of my vote, Eonwe and Morsul were tied in votes.

[Macalaure]

Obviously, the guilt or innocence of votes depends crucially on Morsul's role.

Eonwe -> Glirdan. Let's just skip this one.

Wilwa -> Eonwe(1). It's interesting that she mentions Eonwe for the first time in her vote post, but backs it up with several quotes (and comparatively little comment, which is suspicious already on its own). This doesn't feel right. With quotes and everything, Wilwa makes her vote reasoning look too big to think it's just an early-Day1-"I don't know what else to do"-vote. It must have been on her mind already, but then, why didn't it make the way into her earlier posts?

Morsul -> Nerwen. You can't really say anything about this vote either way.

Rikae -> Morsul(1). A bit kneejerk, but more in line with the typical "I don't know what else to do" than Wilwa.

Inzil -> Eonwe(2). It should be noted that the majority of Inzil's points against Eonwe came before Morsul showed up. His vote is therefore logical and not an attempt to save him. Whether Inzil's case is sound is another thing. I don't think, however, that Inzil is the kind of fish who would make a long pursuit of a random innocent on Day1. The one thing that worries me is

Originally Posted by Inzil

I don't guess I'll vote Morsul ToDay.

in his vote post. Even though Rikae's vote was right before his, it was just an arbitrary vote and it was not clear at that point that many others would follow (everybody else merely expressed annoyance, not intent to vote - an important reason why f.ex. Shasta voted Morsul was exactly because of the new Eonwe waggon). So, does Morsul have a special place in Inzil's mind?

Shasta -> Morsul(2). Shasta is trying to save Eonwe. Quite obviously, Morsul and Shasta are not fellow fishes. It might be that Fishasta is trying to make himself look good by distancing himself from a sketchy bandwaggon, but I don't think it's too likely.

Autume -> Morsul(3). The cobbler finds an easy victim in Morsul, possibly believing that Eonwe might indeed be evil.

BG -> Morsul(4).

Originally Posted by BG

I have a bad feeling about this but...
++Morsul

Very fishy. "I have a bad feeling" are the words of a fish knowing that the lynched one is innocent, so she can still get out of the resulting questions the next Day by saying "I thought so...". It is also, as far as I can see, the only actual point BG makes all of yesterDay.

Nerwen -> Eonwe(3). The suspicion is weak, as she admits, but if Morsul is evil, I doubt evil Nerwen would have voted to save him this obviously. If Morsul is innocent, she still could be a fish choosing between two innocents. It's hard to tell.

Mac -> Eonwe(4). I explained my reasons in my last post.

Glirdan -> Eonwe(5). The crucial vote that put Eonwe in the lead. I think the fact that Glirdan obviously made quite an effort to make up his mind well in little time makes him look ok, even if Morsul is evil. If Glirdan is evil, he certainly knows how to act.
Then again, he is an actor... hmm...

EW -> Eonwe(6). The Elf-warrior confuses me quite a bit thus far. As usual with late inconsequential bandwaggon votes, it's hard to tell. He waited til the last minutes, which is not necessarily suspicious, but he did avoid having to make the actual decision between Eonwe and Morsul.

Suspicious:
Blind Guardian

Somewhat suspicious:
Wilwa, EW

Not sure either way:
Morsul, Inzil, Nerwen, Glirdan, Boro

Somewhat innocent:
Rikae, Shasta

[Rikae]

Originally Posted by Blind Guardian

Lol the others above stated reasons not mine.

Um, ok. Which ones?

Originally Posted by Inzil

It just looks odd that you completely abandoned that suspicion of Rikae in favour of voting Eönwë, not even mentioning it again, even though you posted early toDay before Rikae explained herself.

Hm. I don't like this at all. If it looks odd (though it doesn't, really, to me), it's in a way no innocent should go pointing out for all to see.

[Blind Guardian]

Why am I suspicious? Because I didn't know who to vote for? There where two people that were either going to get lynched, you have to vote for one of them. If I voted for say Nerwen I would have had to explain my vote, going on nothing. These where the two people to vote for: I didn't like everyone voting Eönwë, but there was very little on Morsul either. I figured voting Morsul was the best thing to do. I kinda figured he wasn't going to get lynched but I figured Eönwë wasn't hairy :P Though she might have been something else, Morsul I didn't know. It was kinda a wild vote.

Edit: xed with rikae