I think this will be the Nth time I say this, but let me try and formulate it this way (if it would finally hammer in to some thick skulls around...
).
Nogrod's werewolf-rule for Day1
On Day1 never vote a player who actually "invests in the game", takes time and effort to actually produce ideas, reads and comments on others, builds or tries to build cases... throwing her/his neck forwards in general.
Elucidation of the rule
Those people can be read on later Days much better than those who act like submarines - and it is fair to let those people play who actually play and sink the submarines.
First amendment to the NwwrD1
If one of the people referred to in the NwwwD1 as "those who invest into the game" turns out so suspicious that there is a clear and open argument beyond any reasonable doubt that the person is a baddie, then neglect NwwrD1 and vote for the person.
Second amendment to the NwwrD1
If there is no overwhelming argument on anyone fitting the description of "those who invest into the game", then try to affect the lynching as to save those you think fit the description or who feel the most innocent.
Third amendment to the NwwrD1
If there is no overwhelming argument on anyone fitting the description of "those who invest into the game" and there is no chance to stay around at the deadline and affect the voting, then pick the most suspicious person from the low-posters / non-involveds and hope for the best.
My late dinner is ready and cooling... More thoughts soonish.