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Old 09-20-2008, 08:37 AM   #565
Macalaure
Fading Fëanorion
 
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: into the flood again
Posts: 2,911
Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.Macalaure is a guest of Elrond in Rivendell.
A look at Isabellkya


Day1

#47 makes some semi-serious comments on Rikae and Fea.

#82 thinks it's possible Shasta voted Boro out of revenge. Says it would be nice to catch a wolf on Day1, "but I don't think it HAS TO HAPPEN". Sympathizes with Brinn but doesn't think I had evil intentions when going after her.
"It doesn't have to happen" combined with "It happened!" is a little strange.

#103 ponders Shasta a little and then says
Quote:
I am off now..so, I suppose this is a throw away vote at best..

++CoD
Throw away? If she said it was a random vote, I would believe her, but the second vote for CoD at this point was by no means a throwaway. Why did she say this?


Day2

#160 explains her vote with
Quote:
Wow.
What a strike of luck.
My voting on CoD was pretty darn random. I was trying to make a vote while trying to get out the door at the same time. His voting of Day One stood out in my mind the most, so I figured heh why not.
Not exactly consistent with what she said before. Nothing new either.

#194 will look at Nogrod and Boro because of buddybuddy-ness and a "few things Nogrod said". She says she wants to look at Sally for the point Boro brought up earlier.

#204 detailed analysis of Nogrod and Sally. Concludes she will keep an eye on Nogrod. No clear conclusion on Sally.
This one looks actually pretty genuine.

#225 good observation about Lalwende

#233 votes Nogrod


Day3

#281 wonders why Brinn was killed because she expected another trail-less kill. Gives a vote tally without comments.

#283 questions Lal

#316 accuses Boro of copying his arguments

#320 defends her accusation and herself

#349 explains herself to Boro about her points about the relation between Boro and Nogrod

#359 contemplates Lal's cobblerdom (part of that is pondering her giftedness, which raises my eyebrow) says she will vote Nogrod or Sally

#377 votes Nogrod

A bit defensive this day.


Day4

#449 makes good points against Nogrod

#476 after Nilp revealed, she thinks McCaber and I are innocent, Boro, Lal, and Fea could be cobblers, Nerwen and Mith she's undecided about. No wolf suspects there! Other than that, the list almost scarily coincides with my own suspicions.

#489 had a closer look at Mith and didn't find anything too alarming

#498 votes Fea because everyone else looks innocent, cobblerish, or should be left to Nilp

Now, at first glance this looks all rather innocent, and it probably is, but I could also see this scenario: Izzy is very consistent about Nogrod and Sally. Now Sally was dead and Nogrod innocent. As a wolf, you usually have to make fake cases against some innocents, but you'd like to minimize their number in order to minimize retaliation. Did Izzywolf choose Nogrod to be her perpetual scapegoat? And then, after he's innocent, she's a bit lost and can't get herself to make a new fake case against an innocent, simply because what everyone else does is just so darn innocent (in the wolf's eye (I at least always feel that way as a wolf))?


ToDay

#532 defends her vote to Boro

#544 says she will look at Mith, Nerwen, and Fea. This statement about Boro is quite fishy:

Quote:
Since Lal died as the Cobbler, I suppose that puts Boro in a bit of better light. Leaving him either innocent or wolf. Though, Sally's vote for him on Day 1 is kind of bugging me.


Well, well, a clear-cut wolf suspect surely looks different. There are a few things that look fishy, and under the magnifying glass (and given the surrounding statements), her Day1 vote doesn't look perfectly innocent anymore.
She suspects Sally but doesn't vote for her. This could indicate that CoD's death was not intended and she'd like to keep Sally around, but at the same time can't overlook the suspicious things Sally did.

PS: this is definitely the last long analysis I will do in this game. Even for a more quiet player it's starting to become seriously toilsome.
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